전체 #13 · shadow_watch
AGYS · Agilysys, Inc.
Application Software · Opportunity 72.13, Risk 37.70, Confidence 84.07, Research Rank 66.54; 점수 경계는 통과했으나 Application Software 업종 상한 3개 적용
Research Rank
66.54
Opportunity
72.13
Risk
37.70
Evidence Confidence
84.07
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$116.41
전일
-1.25%
52주 위치
60일 변동성
49.07%
동종 39종목 대비 위치
마커는 이 종목, 세로 눈금은 전체 평균입니다.
기회이 종목 72.13
최하 46.95평균 67.34최상 84.31
위험이 종목 37.70 · 낮을수록 유리
최하 20.99평균 42.85최상 64.40
신뢰이 종목 84.07
최하 79.34평균 83.46최상 85.42
Research Rank이 종목 66.54
최하 47.49평균 62.36최상 75.32
감성이 종목 52.67
최하 47.33평균 51.29최상 55.33
SA 의견·팩터 등급
의견 · 등급 (1~5)
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수 | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | — | 3.15 | — |
| sa analyst | 보유 | 3.00 | 1 |
| wall street | 강력 매수 | 4.50 | 8 |
팩터 등급 추이
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | D- | C- | D+ |
| growth | B | B | C- |
| profitability | B | B | B |
| momentum | A- | D+ | D |
| revisions | C | A+ | C |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | — | 25% | — |
| business quality | — | 20% | — |
| valuation | — | 15% | — |
| price trend | 79.96 | 15% | 11.99 |
| analyst opinion | 63.71 | 12% | 7.65 |
| news sentiment | 52.67 | 8% | 4.21 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 49.49 | 30% | 14.85 |
| expectation valuation | — | 25% | — |
| profitability cashflow | — | 20% | — |
| negative events | 28.00 | 15% | 4.20 |
| opinion data instability | 16.89 | 10% | 1.69 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Mar 2027 | 2.46 | 37.22% | 2.36 | 2.81 | 8 |
| EPS · Mar 2028 | 3.20 | 30.33% | 2.86 | 4.05 | 8 |
| EPS · Mar 2029 | 4.51 | 40.99% | 4.06 | 5.34 | 3 |
| REVENUE · Mar 2027 | 370.82M | 16.13% | 369.33M | 372.05M | 8 |
| REVENUE · Mar 2028 | 433.58M | 16.93% | 424.36M | 462.20M | 8 |
| REVENUE · Mar 2029 | 513.02M | 18.32% | 485.75M | 552.00M | 3 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2027Q1 | 0.49 | 0.40 | +21.74% |
| EPS · FY2026Q4 | 0.63 | 0.50 | +26.72% |
| EPS · FY2026Q3 | 0.42 | 0.46 | -7.84% |
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 0.40 | 0.38 | +4.35% |
| Revenue · FY2027Q1 | 87.68M | 85.98M | +1.97% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q4 | 82.95M | 81.56M | +1.70% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q3 | 80.39M | 79.07M | +1.67% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 79.30M | 76.87M | +3.17% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / EBITDA (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Price / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| Revenue Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EBITDA Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Net Income Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Return on Common Equity (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Cash From Operations (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 52.67; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
negative 2026-07-28 · Gary Alexander
애질리시스: 강한 성장에도 급등한 밸류에이션이 추가 상승 제한 (투자의견 하향)
- Agilysis has rebounded sharply, driven by guidance increases and anticipation of its major Marriott PMS deal.
- I am moderating my rating to neutral, as the current $102 share price reflects a balanced bull-bear case and stretched valuation.
- AGYS is AI-resilient with embedded property management software but faces margin deficits and potential demand shifts toward vacation rentals.
- At 7.5x EV/FY27 revenue and 31.2x EV/FY27 adjusted EBITDA, the company's valuation already prices in significant upside from the Marriott deal.
neutral 2026-05-19 · Gary Alexander
Agilysys: 성장세와 이익률, 변곡점에 진입하다
- Agilysys, Inc. is demonstrating a profitability inflection, driven by AI-enabled cost efficiencies and robust recurring revenue growth.
- Q4 delivered record sales, 12% y/y revenue growth, 18% subscription growth, and 600bps EBITDA margin expansion to 25.9%.
- FY27 guidance calls for 14–16% revenue growth, 30%+ subscription growth, and a 24%+ adjusted EBITDA margin, excluding potential Marriott deal upside.
- I reiterate a Buy rating, as AGYS is well insulated from SaaS disruption and positioned for further upside with the Marriott rollout pending.
positive 2026-01-27 · Gary Alexander
Agilysys: 건강한 조정, 매수 기회 (상향 조정)
- Agilysys shares fell over 10% post-earnings despite a beat-and-raise quarter, presenting a compelling buy opportunity after a 30% pullback.
- AGYS is diversifying beyond hotels, with growing traction in cruise ships, casinos, and increased cross-sell of products like Book4Time and foodservice solutions.
- Approximately two-thirds of AGYS revenue is recurring, underpinned by complex, sticky implementations and robust attach rates in new deals.
- The upcoming Marriott PMS rollout is a major near-term catalyst, expected to be heavily margin accretive and potentially surprise to the upside.
positive 2025-10-28 · Gary Alexander
Agilysis: 강력한 크로스셀 모멘텀, 그러나 이미 주가에 반영된 강점 (투자의견 상향)
- Agilysys surged ~20% post-earnings, reversing earlier losses, but the current valuation appears stretched despite strong Q2 results and raised guidance.
- AGYS demonstrates robust cross-sell momentum, especially with foodservice products, and is close to launching its largest-ever Marriott PMS deal.
- Risks include macro headwinds in the travel sector, lower gross margins than SaaS peers, and rich valuation multiples after the recent rally.
- Rating is raised to neutral; while downside is limited by small/mid-cap rotation and growth, high valuation warrants a wait-and-see approach.
negative 2025-10-21 · Sandeep Nital David
Agilysys 2분기 프리뷰: 리스크는 하방에 집중 (투자등급 하향 조정)
- Agilysys shares are up 60% since my Buy recommendation in April.
- Results have since been solid, with organic subscription revenue growth sustaining near 25%.
- However, valuation looks expensive at 30 times FY27 adjusted EBITDA, especially when compared to relevant peers.
- There is a limited margin of safety at this valuation, particularly if the Marriott rollout faces delays.
- I am therefore downgrading the stock from Buy to Hold.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $104.26 | 74.52 | 43.02 | 69.86 |
| 2026-07-16 | $104.26 | 74.82 | 42.55 | 70.20 |
| 2026-07-17 | $110.03 | 75.41 | 42.85 | 70.56 |
| 2026-07-20 | $106.68 | 75.01 | 43.22 | 70.17 |
| 2026-07-21 | $106.28 | 75.04 | 43.04 | 70.24 |
| 2026-07-22 | $100.65 | 67.15 | 37.79 | 63.38 |
| 2026-07-23 | $97.04 | 66.17 | 37.17 | 62.89 |
| 2026-07-24 | $95.01 | 65.22 | 37.19 | 62.29 |
| 2026-07-27 | $98.54 | 64.88 | 37.28 | 62.06 |
| 2026-07-28 | $103.24 | 65.67 | 37.44 | 62.52 |
| 2026-07-29 | $110.70 | 70.55 | 37.77 | 65.53 |
| 2026-07-30 | $113.69 | 70.05 | 39.71 | 64.81 |
| 2026-07-31 | $107.65 | 73.87 | 40.30 | 67.09 |
| 2026-08-03 | $105.16 | 68.62 | 40.31 | 63.77 |
| 2026-08-04 | $109.68 | 73.34 | 40.43 | 66.73 |
| 2026-08-05 | $111.27 | 73.27 | 40.08 | 66.76 |
| 2026-08-06 | $110.74 | 72.99 | 39.82 | 66.63 |
| 2026-08-07 | $107.58 | 73.25 | 39.93 | 66.78 |
| 2026-08-10 | $108.58 | 73.34 | 39.92 | 66.83 |
| 2026-08-11 | $106.98 | 72.34 | 39.35 | 66.32 |
| 2026-08-12 | $106.57 | 72.35 | 39.43 | 66.31 |
| 2026-08-18 | $111.33 | 74.31 | 38.56 | 67.73 |
| 2026-08-19 | $111.96 | 74.93 | 38.61 | 68.11 |
| 2026-08-20 | $116.71 | 76.76 | 38.79 | 69.23 |
| 2026-08-21 | $113.38 | 76.61 | 38.85 | 69.12 |
| 2026-08-24 | $113.80 | 77.05 | 38.86 | 69.39 |
| 2026-09-01 | $116.41 | 72.13 | 37.70 | 66.54 |