전체 #35 · shadow_watch
ALGM · Allegro MicroSystems, Inc.
Semiconductors · Opportunity 56.83, Risk 45.25, Confidence 85.42, Research Rank 55.39; 현재 선정 경계 64.72 미만
Research Rank
55.39
Opportunity
56.83
Risk
45.25
Evidence Confidence
85.42
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$36.25
전일
+1.34%
52주 위치
60일 변동성
91.46%
동종 39종목 대비 위치
마커는 이 종목, 세로 눈금은 전체 평균입니다.
기회이 종목 56.83
최하 46.95평균 67.34최상 84.31
위험이 종목 45.25 · 낮을수록 유리
최하 20.99평균 42.85최상 64.40
신뢰이 종목 85.42
최하 79.34평균 83.46최상 85.42
Research Rank이 종목 55.39
최하 47.49평균 62.36최상 75.32
감성이 종목 52.00
최하 47.33평균 51.29최상 55.33
SA 의견·팩터 등급
의견 · 등급 (1~5)
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수 | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | — | 2.90 | — |
| sa analyst | 보유 | 3.00 | 1 |
| wall street | 강력 매수 | 4.66 | 12 |
팩터 등급 추이
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | B- | D | D- |
| growth | A | A | A- |
| profitability | C+ | B- | C+ |
| momentum | C- | B+ | A- |
| revisions | C+ | C+ | B- |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | — | 25% | — |
| business quality | — | 20% | — |
| valuation | — | 15% | — |
| price trend | 40.07 | 15% | 6.01 |
| analyst opinion | 63.00 | 12% | 7.56 |
| news sentiment | 52.00 | 8% | 4.16 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 66.24 | 30% | 19.87 |
| expectation valuation | — | 25% | — |
| profitability cashflow | — | 20% | — |
| negative events | 20.00 | 15% | 3.00 |
| opinion data instability | 20.18 | 10% | 2.02 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Mar 2027 | 1.03 | 90.32% | 0.97 | 1.14 | 12 |
| EPS · Mar 2028 | 1.50 | 45.97% | 1.32 | 1.76 | 12 |
| EPS · Mar 2029 | 2.09 | 39.07% | 1.70 | 2.48 | 6 |
| REVENUE · Mar 2027 | 1.10B | 23.34% | 1.08B | 1.13B | 11 |
| REVENUE · Mar 2028 | 1.29B | 17.30% | 1.23B | 1.37B | 11 |
| REVENUE · Mar 2029 | 1.51B | 17.23% | 1.37B | 1.64B | 6 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2027Q1 | 0.23 | 0.21 | +8.82% |
| EPS · FY2026Q4 | 0.17 | 0.16 | +3.75% |
| EPS · FY2026Q3 | 0.15 | 0.14 | +4.09% |
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 0.13 | 0.12 | +5.37% |
| Revenue · FY2027Q1 | 259.24M | 251.73M | +2.98% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q4 | 243.19M | 235.94M | +3.07% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q3 | 229.21M | 220.87M | +3.78% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 214.29M | 210.74M | +1.68% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / EBITDA (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Price / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| Revenue Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EBITDA Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Net Income Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Return on Common Equity (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Cash From Operations (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 52.00; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-07-06 · Michael Del Monte
Allegro MicroSystems: 로보틱스, 자동차, 그리고 그 너머를 아우르는 800V DC 전환 수혜
- Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. is positioned for multiyear growth via automotive, data center, and industrial robotics markets, but shares reflect much of the near-term upside.
- Key ALGM growth drivers include higher content per vehicle, data center transition to 800-VDC, and an inflection point in robotics/physical AI expected in CY27.
- ALGM’s balance sheet has improved, with leverage down to 0.65x net debt/aEBITDA, supporting strategic M&A, debt reduction, and opportunistic share repurchases.
- I assign ALGM a Hold rating with a $64/share price target (30.95x eFY28 EV/aEBITDA), citing top-of-cycle valuation and modest upside from current levels.
neutral 2026-04-26 · Andrea De Vico
Allegro MicroSystems: 차익 실현의 적기인 이유
- Allegro MicroSystems is rated Sell due to significant overvaluation, with a fair value of $20.98 versus a current price near $44.
- Current market pricing implies an implausible 30-35% revenue CAGR over five years, unsupported by historical or peer growth rates.
- ALGM's recent recovery is real, but margin compression and operational inflexibility during downturns highlight structural risks.
- Investors are advised to cash out after the stock's run-up and await tangible fundamental drivers before reconsidering ALGM.
positive 2026-02-02 · Michael Del Monte
Allegro MicroSystems, 산업 부문이 성장 주도
- Allegro MicroSystems is at the onset of a major growth cycle, driven by automotive, data center, and industrial robotics markets.
- Strong Buy rating with a $47.62/share price target is based on 32.16x eFY27 EV/aEBITDA, reflecting robust top-line and margin expansion potential.
- ALGM's data center content per rack is projected to nearly triple, while robotics and resilient Chinese EV demand offer additional growth levers.
- Financial strength is evident with improved net leverage (0.83x) and expectations for adjusted EBITDA margin to exceed 30% by eFY28.
neutral 2026-01-30 · The Value Investor
Allegro MicroSystems: 회복의 조짐에 과도한 밸류에이션 반영
- Allegro MicroSystems shows sequential revenue recovery, but realistic earnings remain weak, with stock trading at demanding 8x sales multiples.
- Allegro's automotive segment still dominates, while data center exposure—currently just 10% of sales—drives recent investor enthusiasm and aggressive price action.
- Adjusted earnings are overstated due to significant stock-based compensation; true earnings trend at only $0.20–$0.30 per share.
- Despite new sensor launches and some green shoots, risk-reward is unattractive given lagging profits and market exuberance over limited AI/data center exposure.
neutral 2025-11-06 · MarketGyrations
Allegro MicroSystems: 개선되는 분기 실적, 그러나 타 분야의 불확실성이 회복세를 가린다
- The Q2 FY2026 report shows how Allegro MicroSystems continues to recover from the downturn, but this is offset by the possibility the numbers could get worse.
- The automotive industry is facing the possibility production could get disrupted, which will affect ALGM as a supplier.
- ALGM trades at relatively high valuations, which can still be worth paying as long as it maintains very fast growth.
- There is reason to doubt ALGM’s ability to maintain the desired growth, which is why I am neutral on ALGM with a hold rating.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $52.32 | 66.84 | 49.62 | 62.72 |
| 2026-07-16 | $52.32 | 66.50 | 50.20 | 62.32 |
| 2026-07-17 | $47.12 | 65.26 | 49.71 | 61.52 |
| 2026-07-20 | $46.48 | 65.35 | 48.98 | 61.76 |
| 2026-07-21 | $46.36 | 64.78 | 48.77 | 61.40 |
| 2026-07-22 | $49.35 | 62.21 | 44.36 | 59.03 |
| 2026-07-23 | $49.87 | 64.92 | 44.51 | 60.73 |
| 2026-07-24 | $50.07 | 65.91 | 44.25 | 61.42 |
| 2026-07-27 | $46.03 | 65.41 | 42.52 | 61.47 |
| 2026-07-28 | $46.80 | 64.83 | 42.20 | 61.16 |
| 2026-07-29 | $44.52 | 63.97 | 42.26 | 60.60 |
| 2026-07-30 | $42.21 | 58.40 | 43.54 | 56.76 |
| 2026-07-31 | $41.45 | 56.90 | 43.92 | 55.72 |
| 2026-08-03 | $41.50 | 55.53 | 44.24 | 54.77 |
| 2026-08-04 | $41.52 | 57.01 | 44.12 | 55.75 |
| 2026-08-05 | $42.85 | 57.20 | 43.93 | 55.91 |
| 2026-08-06 | $41.80 | 57.37 | 43.95 | 56.01 |
| 2026-08-07 | $42.45 | 57.81 | 43.96 | 56.29 |
| 2026-08-10 | $43.77 | 57.13 | 43.87 | 55.88 |
| 2026-08-11 | $42.46 | 56.58 | 43.91 | 55.52 |
| 2026-08-12 | $42.52 | 57.29 | 43.89 | 55.98 |
| 2026-08-18 | $44.25 | 63.15 | 43.49 | 59.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | $39.39 | 57.10 | 45.31 | 55.55 |
| 2026-08-20 | $38.35 | 58.06 | 45.57 | 56.11 |
| 2026-08-21 | $37.19 | 57.73 | 45.52 | 55.91 |
| 2026-08-24 | $37.16 | 57.05 | 45.48 | 55.48 |
| 2026-09-01 | $36.25 | 56.83 | 45.25 | 55.39 |