전체 #23 · shadow_watch
APPS · Digital Turbine, Inc.
Application Software · Opportunity 75.73, Risk 47.39, Confidence 95.28, Research Rank 69.01; 현재 선정 경계 71.55 미만
Research Rank
69.01
Opportunity
75.73
Risk
47.39
Evidence Confidence
95.28
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$9.82
전일
-1.31%
52주 위치
65.19%
60일 변동성
113.61%
SA 의견·팩터 등급
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수(1~5) | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | Strong Buy | 4.92 | — |
| sa analyst | HOLD | 2.66 | 3 |
| wall street | STRONG BUY | 5.00 | 2 |
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | B- | B+ | B |
| growth | B+ | A | A |
| profitability | C- | C- | D+ |
| momentum | A | D- | A- |
| revisions | A+ | A | C- |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | 75.00 | 25% | 18.75 |
| business quality | 77.80 | 20% | 15.56 |
| valuation | 78.03 | 15% | 11.70 |
| price trend | 71.17 | 15% | 10.68 |
| analyst opinion | 79.87 | 12% | 9.58 |
| news sentiment | 55.67 | 8% | 4.45 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 85.13 | 30% | 25.54 |
| expectation valuation | 43.58 | 25% | 10.89 |
| profitability cashflow | 23.20 | 20% | 4.64 |
| negative events | 24.00 | 15% | 3.60 |
| opinion data instability | 27.14 | 10% | 2.71 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Mar 2027 | 0.76 | 35.71% | 0.68 | 0.84 | 2 |
| EPS · Mar 2028 | 1.06 | 39.47% | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1 |
| REVENUE · Mar 2027 | 645.28M | 14.16% | 640.00M | 650.55M | 2 |
| REVENUE · Mar 2028 | 715.61M | 10.90% | 715.61M | 715.61M | 1 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q4 | 0.16 | 0.09 | +88.24% |
| EPS · FY2026Q3 | 0.18 | 0.12 | +56.52% |
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 0.15 | 0.05 | +200.00% |
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.05 | 0.08 | -37.50% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q4 | 142549000.00 | 133225120.00 | +7.00% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q3 | 151399000.00 | 145723540.00 | +3.89% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 140377000.00 | 127000000.00 | +10.53% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 130926000.00 | 121944220.00 | +7.37% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (TTM) | 18.43 | 26.12 | -29.45% | B |
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | 13.09 | 24.75 | -47.11% | A- |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (TTM) | NM | 35.16 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (FWD) | 995.00 | 33.20 | 2,896.81% | F |
| valuation | PEG GAAP (TTM) | - | 0.89 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | 0.69 | 1.35 | -48.92% | A- |
| valuation | EV / Sales (TTM) | 2.71 | 3.78 | -28.28% | B- |
| valuation | EV / Sales (FWD) | 2.37 | 3.50 | -32.12% | B- |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (TTM) | 14.44 | 19.53 | -26.09% | B |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (FWD) | 10.62 | 14.72 | -27.84% | B |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (TTM) | 44.19 | 28.14 | 57.02% | C- |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (FWD) | 11.62 | 19.40 | -40.08% | B+ |
| valuation | Price / Sales (TTM) | 1.99 | 3.68 | -45.93% | B |
| valuation | Price / Sales (FWD) | 1.86 | 3.37 | -44.79% | B |
| valuation | Price / Book (TTM) | 6.23 | 4.06 | 53.63% | C- |
| valuation | Price / Book (FWD) | - | 4.69 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (TTM) | 28.72 | 19.21 | 49.54% | C- |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (FWD) | 12.79 | 18.88 | -32.25% | B+ |
| valuation | Dividend Yield (TTM) | - | 1.15% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | 15.24% | 11.36% | 34.17% | B- |
| growth | Revenue Growth (FWD) | 13.42% | 11.99% | 11.94% | C+ |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (YoY) | 206.67% | 14.90% | 1,286.76% | A+ |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (FWD) | 34.52% | 18.71% | 84.53% | A- |
| growth | EBIT Growth (YoY) | NM | 17.19% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EBIT Growth (FWD) | NM | 20.77% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (YoY) | NM | 17.08% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | - | 17.54% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (YoY) | NM | 12.73% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (FWD) | NM | 17.58% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS FWD Long Term Growth (3-5Y CAGR) | 18.98% | 18.92% | 0.32% | C+ |
| growth | Levered FCF Growth (YoY) | -20.31% | 8.54% | NM | D |
| growth | Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth Rate (FWD) | - | 17.43% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (YoY) | 251.89% | 15.41% | 1,535.03% | A+ |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | - | 17.12% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | ROE Growth (YoY) | NM | 3.24% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | ROE Growth (FWD) | - | 5.62% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Working Capital Growth (YoY) | 115.13% | 8.14% | 1,315.04% | A |
| growth | CAPEX Growth (YoY) | 11.44% | 13.92% | -17.85% | C+ |
| growth | Dividend Per Share Growth (FWD) | NM | 5.93% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | 1 Year Dividend Growth Rate (TTM) | - | 4.83% | - | NOT COVERED |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | 48.59% | 49.88% | -2.58% | C+ |
| profitability | EBIT Margin (TTM) | 6.13% | 7.61% | -19.41% | C+ |
| profitability | EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 18.77% | 12.07% | 55.51% | B+ |
| profitability | Net Income Margin (TTM) | -6.68% | 6.07% | NM | D+ |
| profitability | Levered FCF Margin (TTM) | 4.32% | 10.88% | -60.31% | C- |
| profitability | Return on Common Equity (TTM) | -21.82% | 7.52% | NM | D |
| profitability | Return on Total Capital (TTM) | 3.82% | 4.63% | -17.33% | C+ |
| profitability | Return on Total Assets (TTM) | -4.48% | 3.32% | NM | D+ |
| profitability | CAPEX / Sales (TTM) | 5.42% | 2.35% | 130.41% | B+ |
| profitability | Asset Turnover Ratio (TTM) | 0.68x | 0.63x | 8.58% | B- |
| profitability | Cash From Operations (TTM) | 41.81M | 149.24M | -71.99% | C |
| profitability | Cash Per Share (TTM) | 0.31 | 2.34 | -86.60% | D- |
| profitability | Net Income Per Employee (TTM) | -60.86K | 14.03K | NM | D+ |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 55.67; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
positive 2026-05-26 ·
Digital Turbine outlines fiscal 2027 revenue of $630M-$650M with focus on double-digit growth
neutral 2026-05-26 ·
Earnings Snapshot: Digital Turbine surpasses Q4 estimates, lifts FY2027 guidance
positive 2026-05-26 ·
Digital Turbine Non-GAAP EPS of $0.16 beats by $0.07, revenue of $142.5M beats by $9.27M
positive 2026-02-03 ·
Digital Turbine raises fiscal 2026 guidance to $558M revenue and $117M EBITDA as balance sheet strengthens
positive 2026-02-03 ·
Digital Turbine Non-GAAP EPS of $0.18 beats by $0.06, revenue of $151.4M beats by $5.68M
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-07-01 · Juxtaposed Ideas
Digital Turbine's Breakout Overly Done - Robust App Discovery And Ad Monetization Flywheel
- APPS' growth flywheel is driven by the growing global device footprint, the expanding telecom partnerships, and the higher demand for app distribution/engagement channels.
- This is on top of the accelerating ad monetization trends beyond the gaming verticals, thanks to the improved ad targeting/higher ROAS from their first-party user/device data.
- APPS' double beat FQ4'26/FY2026 performance and the promising FY2027 guidance underscore their resilient intermediate-term prospects, despite the projected decline in smartphone shipments in 2026.
- Despite the compelling valuations, the stock's recent melt-up has been overly done, as observed in the overbought technicals, worsened by the potential volatility from the elevated short interest.
- APPS is downgraded to Hold here, since traders may also take their profits before the seasonally softer Q3 trading months.
neutral 2026-06-24 · Bashar Issa
Digital Turbine Stock: Cheap For A Reason
- Digital Turbine, Inc. has shifted from a 2021 bubble valuation to a deep value setup, now trading at a forward P/E of 12x.
- APPS was previously valued at a forward P/E of 41x with high investor enthusiasm, but current sentiment is subdued.
- The dramatic change in valuation highlights market cycles and the potential for overlooked opportunities in APPS.
- Investor attention has faded, but the current low valuation of APPS stock may present a contrarian opportunity.
negative 2026-05-27 · Stephen Ayers
Digital Turbine: Don't Look Under The Hood (Rating Downgrade)
- Digital Turbine is rated a "Sell" due to deteriorating underlying financials despite headline revenue and earnings beats.
- APPS faces substandard margins, high debt, and free cash flow challenges, with interest expense exceeding operating income in FY26.
- Management's FY27 guidance implies continued double-digit growth, but margin expansion remains far more critical to valuation than growth.
- My DCF and Monte Carlo analyses suggest intrinsic value is ~33% below the current price, with high sensitivity to margin improvement and dilution risk.
neutral 2026-04-20 · Juxtaposed Ideas
Digital Turbine: Deep Value Buy Opportunity With Profitable Ad-Tech Trends
- Digital Turbine delivers robust performance metrics across On Device Solutions and App Growth Platform, thanks to the growth flywheel across app distribution and ad monetization.
- They also benefit from the new alternative app distribution trends, increased carrier/OEM partnerships, and diversification beyond gaming, fueling expanded monetization opportunities.
- APPS trades at a discounted EV/EBITDA of 6.77x while showing improving margins and balance sheet health, suggesting a deep-value investment thesis and potential for multiple re-rating.
- The stock is reiterated as a buy at this bottom, with the thrice-raised FY2026 guidance boding well for their reversal to profitable growth trends over the next few years.
neutral 2026-02-04 · Stephen Ayers
Digital Turbine: Spinning Toward A Turnaround Or Just Circling The Drain?
- Digital Turbine, Inc. faces structural headwinds: high debt, weak margins, and a challenged mobile advertising model post-Apple privacy changes.
- Despite raising FY26 revenue guidance to $553M–$558M and improving margins, APPS' free cash flow remains thin versus an 11.68% interest rate on $355M debt.
- APPS' valuation is highly sensitive to margin swings; even optimistic DCF assumptions only yield reasonable value, with downside risk if growth or margins slip.
- AI-driven initiatives like DTiQ are early-stage and require material investment, offering potential but not yet offsetting APPS' competitive and financial disadvantages.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $9.82 | 75.73 | 47.39 | 69.01 |