전체 #11 · shadow_watch
APPS · Digital Turbine, Inc.
Application Software · Opportunity 80.77, Risk 55.05, Confidence 81.37, Research Rank 67.75; 점수 경계는 통과했으나 Application Software 업종 상한 3개 적용
Research Rank
67.75
Opportunity
80.77
Risk
55.05
Evidence Confidence
81.37
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$10.76
전일
-2.98%
52주 위치
60일 변동성
111.60%
동종 39종목 대비 위치
마커는 이 종목, 세로 눈금은 전체 평균입니다.
기회이 종목 80.77
최하 46.95평균 67.34최상 84.31
위험이 종목 55.05 · 낮을수록 유리
최하 20.99평균 42.85최상 64.40
신뢰이 종목 81.37
최하 79.34평균 83.46최상 85.42
Research Rank이 종목 67.75
최하 47.49평균 62.36최상 75.32
감성이 종목 51.33
최하 47.33평균 51.29최상 55.33
SA 의견·팩터 등급
의견 · 등급 (1~5)
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수 | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | — | 4.94 | — |
| sa analyst | 매수 | 3.75 | 4 |
| wall street | 강력 매수 | 5.00 | 3 |
팩터 등급 추이
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | C | B- | B+ |
| growth | B | B+ | A |
| profitability | C- | C- | C- |
| momentum | A+ | A- | C |
| revisions | B+ | A- | A+ |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | — | 25% | — |
| business quality | — | 20% | — |
| valuation | — | 15% | — |
| price trend | 83.39 | 15% | 12.51 |
| analyst opinion | 89.11 | 12% | 10.69 |
| news sentiment | 51.33 | 8% | 4.11 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 84.12 | 30% | 25.24 |
| expectation valuation | — | 25% | — |
| profitability cashflow | — | 20% | — |
| negative events | 24.00 | 15% | 3.60 |
| opinion data instability | 14.41 | 10% | 1.44 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Mar 2027 | 0.73 | 29.46% | 0.71 | 0.74 | 2 |
| EPS · Mar 2028 | 0.95 | 31.03% | 0.93 | 0.97 | 2 |
| REVENUE · Mar 2027 | 662.67M | 17.23% | 660.21M | 666.80M | 3 |
| REVENUE · Mar 2028 | 732.48M | 10.54% | 722.93M | 744.50M | 3 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2027Q1 | 0.19 | 0.14 | +35.71% |
| EPS · FY2026Q4 | 0.16 | 0.09 | +88.24% |
| EPS · FY2026Q3 | 0.18 | 0.12 | +56.52% |
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 0.15 | 0.05 | +200.00% |
| Revenue · FY2027Q1 | 165.98M | 149.98M | +10.67% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q4 | 142.55M | 133.23M | +7.00% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q3 | 151.40M | 145.72M | +3.89% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 140.38M | 127.00M | +10.53% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / EBITDA (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Price / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| Revenue Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EBITDA Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Net Income Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Return on Common Equity (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Cash From Operations (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 51.33; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-08-08 · David Zanoni
디지털 터빈, 탁월한 2027회계연도 1분기 실적…강한 성장세 지속 전망
- Digital Turbine delivered a standout Q1 FY27, with 27% revenue growth and 217% non-GAAP EPS growth, beating consensus estimates.
- APPS raised FY27 guidance, now targeting $650–$670M revenue and $145–$155M adjusted EBITDA, citing AI-driven gains and international expansion.
- Valuation remains reasonable at 19.6x FY27E EPS, with consensus expecting 29.5% EPS growth and ongoing margin expansion supporting the investment case.
neutral 2026-08-05 · Ryan Canady
디지털 터빈: 모바일 광고 턴어라운드, 실적 서프라이즈로 입증
- Digital Turbine, Inc. is positioned as an undervalued player in the mobile advertising sector, with a transformative strategy underway.
- APPS is evolving into a distribution layer for the mobile economy, aiming to provide alternative channels for app developers beyond traditional app stores.
- The newly launched Launchpad platform enables on-device discovery and direct-to-customer installs, offering flexibility and control for app developers.
- Launchpad demonstrates strong incremental results, with 97% of downloads being incremental and users 40x more likely to open downloaded apps.
neutral 2026-07-01 · Juxtaposed Ideas
Digital Turbine, 과도하게 반영된 주가 급등 - 견고한 앱 디스커버리와 광고 수익화 플라이휠
- APPS' growth flywheel is driven by the growing global device footprint, the expanding telecom partnerships, and the higher demand for app distribution/engagement channels.
- This is on top of the accelerating ad monetization trends beyond the gaming verticals, thanks to the improved ad targeting/higher ROAS from their first-party user/device data.
- APPS' double beat FQ4'26/FY2026 performance and the promising FY2027 guidance underscore their resilient intermediate-term prospects, despite the projected decline in smartphone shipments in 2026.
- Despite the compelling valuations, the stock's recent melt-up has been overly done, as observed in the overbought technicals, worsened by the potential volatility from the elevated short interest.
- APPS is downgraded to Hold here, since traders may also take their profits before the seasonally softer Q3 trading months.
neutral 2026-06-24 · Bashar Issa
디지털 터바인 주식: 저평가에는 이유가 있다
- Digital Turbine, Inc. has shifted from a 2021 bubble valuation to a deep value setup, now trading at a forward P/E of 12x.
- APPS was previously valued at a forward P/E of 41x with high investor enthusiasm, but current sentiment is subdued.
- The dramatic change in valuation highlights market cycles and the potential for overlooked opportunities in APPS.
- Investor attention has faded, but the current low valuation of APPS stock may present a contrarian opportunity.
negative 2026-05-27 · Stephen Ayers
디지털 터바인: 속을 들여다보지 마라 (투자의견 하향)
- Digital Turbine is rated a "Sell" due to deteriorating underlying financials despite headline revenue and earnings beats.
- APPS faces substandard margins, high debt, and free cash flow challenges, with interest expense exceeding operating income in FY26.
- Management's FY27 guidance implies continued double-digit growth, but margin expansion remains far more critical to valuation than growth.
- My DCF and Monte Carlo analyses suggest intrinsic value is ~33% below the current price, with high sensitivity to margin improvement and dilution risk.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $9.82 | 75.73 | 47.39 | 69.01 |
| 2026-07-16 | $9.82 | 75.70 | 47.39 | 68.99 |
| 2026-07-17 | $8.63 | 74.45 | 47.82 | 67.99 |
| 2026-07-20 | $8.34 | 74.47 | 47.50 | 68.09 |
| 2026-07-21 | $8.34 | 74.89 | 47.45 | 68.39 |
| 2026-07-22 | $9.18 | 74.49 | 58.71 | 63.07 |
| 2026-07-23 | $8.49 | 70.42 | 58.99 | 60.63 |
| 2026-07-24 | $8.03 | 70.08 | 59.32 | 60.36 |
| 2026-07-27 | $8.45 | 70.15 | 59.27 | 60.41 |
| 2026-07-28 | $8.59 | 70.29 | 59.19 | 60.51 |
| 2026-07-29 | $8.46 | 68.80 | 59.17 | 59.60 |
| 2026-07-30 | $8.12 | 66.68 | 59.29 | 58.29 |
| 2026-07-31 | $8.19 | 66.84 | 59.14 | 58.42 |
| 2026-08-03 | $8.06 | 66.41 | 59.13 | 58.15 |
| 2026-08-04 | $9.00 | 64.64 | 59.59 | 56.99 |
| 2026-08-05 | $9.51 | 71.34 | 59.62 | 61.07 |
| 2026-08-06 | $13.17 | 77.46 | 59.61 | 64.80 |
| 2026-08-07 | $14.27 | 80.36 | 58.41 | 66.81 |
| 2026-08-10 | $14.34 | 79.95 | 58.12 | 66.76 |
| 2026-08-11 | $14.39 | 81.00 | 58.13 | 67.41 |
| 2026-08-12 | $13.04 | 80.36 | 58.13 | 67.01 |
| 2026-08-18 | $12.24 | 86.48 | 58.12 | 70.78 |
| 2026-08-19 | $12.12 | 86.30 | 58.13 | 70.67 |
| 2026-08-20 | $11.23 | 83.42 | 58.13 | 68.90 |
| 2026-08-21 | $10.71 | 79.73 | 58.12 | 66.63 |
| 2026-08-24 | $10.87 | 80.88 | 58.13 | 67.34 |
| 2026-09-01 | $10.76 | 80.77 | 55.05 | 67.75 |