전체 #27 · shadow_watch
ASYS · Amtech Systems, Inc.
Semiconductor Materials & Equipment · Opportunity 62.55, Risk 45.29, Confidence 79.34, Research Rank 58.40; 현재 선정 경계 64.72 미만
Research Rank
58.40
Opportunity
62.55
Risk
45.29
Evidence Confidence
79.34
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$14.62
전일
-2.92%
52주 위치
60일 변동성
98.42%
동종 39종목 대비 위치
마커는 이 종목, 세로 눈금은 전체 평균입니다.
기회이 종목 62.55
최하 46.95평균 67.34최상 84.31
위험이 종목 45.29 · 낮을수록 유리
최하 20.99평균 42.85최상 64.40
신뢰이 종목 79.34
최하 79.34평균 83.46최상 85.42
Research Rank이 종목 58.40
최하 47.49평균 62.36최상 75.32
감성이 종목 52.67
최하 47.33평균 51.29최상 55.33
SA 의견·팩터 등급
의견 · 등급 (1~5)
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수 | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | — | 4.27 | — |
| sa analyst | 보유 | 3.00 | 1 |
| wall street | 강력 매수 | 5.00 | 1 |
팩터 등급 추이
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | B- | C+ | B- |
| growth | A | A- | A- |
| profitability | C+ | B- | D+ |
| momentum | B | A+ | A+ |
| revisions | A+ | A- | A |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | — | 25% | — |
| business quality | — | 20% | — |
| valuation | — | 15% | — |
| price trend | 43.57 | 15% | 6.54 |
| analyst opinion | 77.27 | 12% | 9.27 |
| news sentiment | 52.67 | 8% | 4.21 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 66.15 | 30% | 19.84 |
| expectation valuation | — | 25% | — |
| profitability cashflow | — | 20% | — |
| negative events | 20.00 | 15% | 3.00 |
| opinion data instability | 20.66 | 10% | 2.07 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Sep 2026 | 0.33 | — | 0.33 | 0.33 | 1 |
| EPS · Sep 2027 | 1.25 | 278.79% | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1 |
| REVENUE · Sep 2026 | 85.80M | 8.11% | 85.80M | 85.80M | 1 |
| REVENUE · Sep 2027 | 120.00M | 39.86% | 120.00M | 120.00M | 1 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q3 | 0.10 | 0.10 | +0.00% |
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 0.08 | 0.05 | +60.00% |
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.01 | 0.07 | -85.71% |
| EPS · FY2025Q4 | 0.07 | -0.03 | +333.33% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q3 | 22.38M | 21.50M | +4.11% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 20.47M | 19.50M | +4.96% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 18.97M | 19.00M | -0.14% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q4 | 19.84M | 17.00M | +16.72% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / EBITDA (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Price / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| Revenue Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EBITDA Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Net Income Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Return on Common Equity (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Cash From Operations (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 52.67; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-08-07 · Eudaemon Research
앰테크 시스템즈: AI 수요는 입증됐지만, 이제 현금이 스스로 가치를 증명해야 한다
- Amtech Systems delivered a strong Q3, with revenue and gross margin reaching the upper end of guidance and orders accelerating.
- ASYS’s shift toward advanced semiconductor packaging and AI-related business is driving higher margins and improved profitability, while weaker SiC segments are shrinking.
- A recent $60 million equity raise and CEO transition signal a new phase, but the deployment of excess cash remains uncertain.
- I rate ASYS a Hold, as valuation is not compelling until management demonstrates a clear, value-accretive capital allocation strategy.
positive 2026-05-26 · Gytis Zizys
Amtech Systems: 성장 가속 시 높은 리스크에도 불구하고 큰 잠재력 보유
- Amtech Systems (ASYS) is an asset-light, niche supplier for AI-driven advanced semiconductor packaging, with a 430% share price surge over the past year.
- ASYS's Q2 '26 saw revenues up 31% y/y and gross margins at 47%, driven by a shift to higher ASP AI packaging products.
- Management guides for Q3 revenues of $20.5–$22.5m, expects strong operating leverage, and plans to scale R&D rather than capex.
- I initiate ASYS with a buy rating, anticipating further top-line acceleration, margin expansion, and multiple contraction as advanced packaging demand grows.
neutral 2026-03-11 · Stella Mwende
Amtech Systems: 2026년 고수익 사업 확장을 목표로 하다
- Amtech Systems is rated a hold, reflecting its expansion into high-margin advanced packaging and a debt-free balance sheet through 2026.
- ASYS is transitioning to a semi-fabless model, aiming to scale production, reduce capex below $1 million, and leverage AI-driven demand in thermal processing.
- Despite a projected 2% YoY revenue decline in 2027, ASYS is undervalued with a potential 10% upside, contingent on executing a $5 million buyback.
- Geographic revenue growth is strongest in Asia, but tariff risks and execution of the repurchase program remain key valuation risks.
neutral 2025-12-17 · The Alpha Sieve
Amtech Systems: 각광받는 이유는 분명하지만, 지금은 추격매수 금물
- Amtech Systems (ASYS) has delivered exceptional YTD returns of 118%, outperforming micro-caps and the semiconductor sector by a wide margin.
- ASYS's Thermal Processing Solutions division is benefiting from AI-driven demand, coupled with useful recurring high-margin revenue.
- ASYS's SG&A base has been curtailed, lesser funds are being tied up in working capital and it now has a leaner, asset-light operating model.
- ASYS is set to see growth of 134% in its EBITDA base next year, more than justifying its EBITDA multiple of 14x, while its earnings multiple of 40x is cheaper than peers.
- Despite all these merits, we would advise investors not to chase the stock and wait for a pullback.
positive 2025-09-25 · Individual Trader
Amtech Systems: AI 관련 장비 매출 성장세에 힘입어 '매수'로 상향 조정
- Amtech Systems maintains a range-bound stock pattern, despite a recent multi-month rally, with shares facing significant overhead resistance near $12.
- Recent Q3 results showed a 26% sequential revenue jump to $19.6 million, driven by strong performance in both Thermal Processing and Semiconductor Fabrication segments.
- AI infrastructure spending boosts ASYS's Thermal Processing segment, while the company strategically grows recurring revenue alongside capital equipment sales.
- Despite near-term momentum, long-term investor psychology and low trading volumes suggest caution, as sustained upside beyond $12 remains uncertain.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $18.68 | 66.37 | 42.62 | 63.26 |
| 2026-07-16 | $18.26 | 65.86 | 42.95 | 62.82 |
| 2026-07-17 | $16.71 | 65.44 | 43.05 | 62.51 |
| 2026-07-20 | $16.67 | 65.90 | 42.65 | 62.93 |
| 2026-07-21 | $16.32 | 65.83 | 42.44 | 62.92 |
| 2026-07-22 | $17.98 | 63.77 | 46.20 | 58.95 |
| 2026-07-23 | $17.34 | 64.85 | 45.63 | 59.70 |
| 2026-07-24 | $17.25 | 65.02 | 45.41 | 59.85 |
| 2026-07-27 | $15.89 | 64.20 | 45.53 | 59.33 |
| 2026-07-28 | $15.41 | 62.99 | 45.54 | 58.62 |
| 2026-07-29 | $14.68 | 62.88 | 45.52 | 58.55 |
| 2026-07-30 | $13.65 | 61.00 | 46.79 | 57.18 |
| 2026-07-31 | $14.79 | 60.60 | 47.07 | 56.89 |
| 2026-08-03 | $15.34 | 62.58 | 46.75 | 58.13 |
| 2026-08-04 | $15.70 | 64.25 | 46.82 | 59.11 |
| 2026-08-05 | $17.44 | 69.58 | 47.47 | 62.15 |
| 2026-08-06 | $16.01 | 64.99 | 46.30 | 59.65 |
| 2026-08-07 | $14.95 | 64.78 | 45.18 | 59.75 |
| 2026-08-10 | $15.53 | 63.56 | 46.04 | 58.93 |
| 2026-08-11 | $15.09 | 65.36 | 45.99 | 60.02 |
| 2026-08-12 | $15.40 | 64.79 | 45.51 | 59.78 |
| 2026-08-18 | $16.86 | 72.68 | 45.41 | 64.53 |
| 2026-08-19 | $16.88 | 72.93 | 45.34 | 64.70 |
| 2026-08-20 | $14.82 | 64.63 | 46.03 | 59.57 |
| 2026-08-21 | $14.62 | 64.61 | 45.91 | 59.58 |
| 2026-08-24 | $14.63 | 64.88 | 45.77 | 59.77 |
| 2026-09-01 | $14.62 | 62.55 | 45.29 | 58.40 |