전체 #32 · shadow_watch
ASYS · Amtech Systems, Inc.
Semiconductor Materials & Equipment · Opportunity 66.37, Risk 42.62, Confidence 93.92, Research Rank 63.26; 현재 선정 경계 71.55 미만
Research Rank
63.26
Opportunity
66.37
Risk
42.62
Evidence Confidence
93.92
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$18.68
전일
3.72%
52주 위치
67.17%
60일 변동성
98.78%
SA 의견·팩터 등급
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수(1~5) | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | Strong Buy | 4.78 | — |
| sa analyst | BUY | 4.00 | 1 |
| wall street | STRONG BUY | 5.00 | 1 |
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | C+ | C- | C- |
| growth | B+ | B+ | C |
| profitability | B- | D+ | D+ |
| momentum | A- | A+ | A+ |
| revisions | A+ | D- | A- |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | 62.50 | 25% | 15.62 |
| business quality | 68.79 | 20% | 13.76 |
| valuation | 68.50 | 15% | 10.27 |
| price trend | 44.36 | 15% | 6.65 |
| analyst opinion | 89.81 | 12% | 10.78 |
| news sentiment | 53.50 | 8% | 4.28 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 64.48 | 30% | 19.35 |
| expectation valuation | 51.20 | 25% | 12.80 |
| profitability cashflow | 24.54 | 20% | 4.91 |
| negative events | 30.00 | 15% | 4.50 |
| opinion data instability | 10.72 | 10% | 1.07 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Sep 2026 | 0.32 | — | 0.32 | 0.32 | 1 |
| EPS · Sep 2027 | 0.80 | 150.00% | 0.80 | 0.80 | 1 |
| REVENUE · Sep 2026 | 83.40M | 5.09% | 83.40M | 83.40M | 1 |
| REVENUE · Sep 2027 | 95.00M | 13.91% | 95.00M | 95.00M | 1 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 0.08 | 0.05 | +60.00% |
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.01 | 0.07 | -85.71% |
| EPS · FY2025Q4 | 0.07 | -0.03 | +333.33% |
| EPS · FY2025Q3 | 0.01 | -0.08 | +112.50% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 20468000.00 | 19500000.00 | +4.96% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 18973000.00 | 19000000.00 | -0.14% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q4 | 19842000.00 | 17000000.00 | +16.72% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q3 | 19557000.00 | 17000000.00 | +15.04% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (TTM) | 62.10 | 26.12 | 137.78% | D |
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | 56.28 | 24.75 | 127.37% | D |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (TTM) | 105.64 | 35.16 | 200.46% | D |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (FWD) | 56.28 | 33.20 | 69.51% | D+ |
| valuation | PEG GAAP (TTM) | NM | 0.89 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | - | 1.35 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | EV / Sales (TTM) | 3.92 | 3.78 | 3.80% | C+ |
| valuation | EV / Sales (FWD) | 3.71 | 3.50 | 6.02% | C+ |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (TTM) | 37.72 | 19.53 | 93.13% | C- |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (FWD) | 29.17 | 14.72 | 98.21% | D+ |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (TTM) | 53.43 | 28.14 | 89.86% | D+ |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (FWD) | 44.82 | 19.40 | 131.05% | D |
| valuation | Price / Sales (TTM) | 3.28 | 3.68 | -10.79% | B- |
| valuation | Price / Sales (FWD) | 3.78 | 3.37 | 12.04% | C |
| valuation | Price / Book (TTM) | 4.66 | 4.06 | 14.91% | C |
| valuation | Price / Book (FWD) | - | 4.69 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (TTM) | 28.64 | 19.21 | 49.11% | C- |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (FWD) | - | 18.88 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Dividend Yield (TTM) | - | 1.15% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | -13.20% | 11.36% | NM | F |
| growth | Revenue Growth (FWD) | -2.09% | 11.99% | NM | F |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (YoY) | NM | 14.90% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (FWD) | 67.69% | 18.71% | 261.90% | A |
| growth | EBIT Growth (YoY) | NM | 17.19% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EBIT Growth (FWD) | NM | 20.77% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (YoY) | NM | 17.08% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | NM | 17.54% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (YoY) | NM | 12.73% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (FWD) | NM | 17.58% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS FWD Long Term Growth (3-5Y CAGR) | - | 18.92% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Levered FCF Growth (YoY) | 32.83% | 8.54% | 284.51% | B+ |
| growth | Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth Rate (FWD) | - | 17.43% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (YoY) | 44.46% | 15.41% | 188.56% | B+ |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | - | 17.12% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | ROE Growth (YoY) | NM | 3.24% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | ROE Growth (FWD) | - | 5.62% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Working Capital Growth (YoY) | 15.74% | 8.14% | 93.44% | B- |
| growth | CAPEX Growth (YoY) | -58.32% | 13.92% | NM | F |
| growth | Dividend Per Share Growth (FWD) | - | 5.93% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | 1 Year Dividend Growth Rate (TTM) | - | 4.83% | - | NOT COVERED |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | 45.93% | 49.88% | -7.92% | C |
| profitability | EBIT Margin (TTM) | 7.34% | 7.61% | -3.53% | B- |
| profitability | EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 10.40% | 12.07% | -13.87% | C+ |
| profitability | Net Income Margin (TTM) | 3.11% | 6.07% | -48.87% | C+ |
| profitability | Levered FCF Margin (TTM) | 13.94% | 10.88% | 28.16% | B- |
| profitability | Return on Common Equity (TTM) | 4.57% | 7.52% | -39.17% | C+ |
| profitability | Return on Total Capital (TTM) | 5.08% | 4.63% | 9.91% | B- |
| profitability | Return on Total Assets (TTM) | 2.51% | 3.32% | -24.29% | C+ |
| profitability | CAPEX / Sales (TTM) | 1.61% | 2.35% | -31.32% | C |
| profitability | Asset Turnover Ratio (TTM) | 0.87x | 0.63x | 38.58% | B+ |
| profitability | Cash From Operations (TTM) | 11.00M | 149.24M | -92.63% | C- |
| profitability | Cash Per Share (TTM) | 1.68 | 2.34 | -27.99% | C |
| profitability | Net Income Per Employee (TTM) | 9,272.73 | 14.03K | -33.89% | C+ |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 53.50; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
positive 2026-02-05 ·
Amtech signals continued AI-driven growth as panel-level packaging gains traction
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-05-26 · Gytis Zizys
Amtech Systems: High-Risk, But A Lot Of Potential If Growth Accelerates
- Amtech Systems (ASYS) is an asset-light, niche supplier for AI-driven advanced semiconductor packaging, with a 430% share price surge over the past year.
- ASYS's Q2 '26 saw revenues up 31% y/y and gross margins at 47%, driven by a shift to higher ASP AI packaging products.
- Management guides for Q3 revenues of $20.5–$22.5m, expects strong operating leverage, and plans to scale R&D rather than capex.
- I initiate ASYS with a buy rating, anticipating further top-line acceleration, margin expansion, and multiple contraction as advanced packaging demand grows.
neutral 2026-03-11 · Stella Mwende
Amtech Systems: Aiming For A High-Margin Business Expansion In 2026
- Amtech Systems is rated a hold, reflecting its expansion into high-margin advanced packaging and a debt-free balance sheet through 2026.
- ASYS is transitioning to a semi-fabless model, aiming to scale production, reduce capex below $1 million, and leverage AI-driven demand in thermal processing.
- Despite a projected 2% YoY revenue decline in 2027, ASYS is undervalued with a potential 10% upside, contingent on executing a $5 million buyback.
- Geographic revenue growth is strongest in Asia, but tariff risks and execution of the repurchase program remain key valuation risks.
neutral 2025-12-17 · The Alpha Sieve
Amtech Systems: In Vogue, And With Good Reason, But Don't Chase Now
- Amtech Systems (ASYS) has delivered exceptional YTD returns of 118%, outperforming micro-caps and the semiconductor sector by a wide margin.
- ASYS's Thermal Processing Solutions division is benefiting from AI-driven demand, coupled with useful recurring high-margin revenue.
- ASYS's SG&A base has been curtailed, lesser funds are being tied up in working capital and it now has a leaner, asset-light operating model.
- ASYS is set to see growth of 134% in its EBITDA base next year, more than justifying its EBITDA multiple of 14x, while its earnings multiple of 40x is cheaper than peers.
- Despite all these merits, we would advise investors not to chase the stock and wait for a pullback.
positive 2025-09-25 · Individual Trader
Amtech Systems: Upgrading To Buy On Bullish AI-Related Equipment Revenue Growth
- Amtech Systems maintains a range-bound stock pattern, despite a recent multi-month rally, with shares facing significant overhead resistance near $12.
- Recent Q3 results showed a 26% sequential revenue jump to $19.6 million, driven by strong performance in both Thermal Processing and Semiconductor Fabrication segments.
- AI infrastructure spending boosts ASYS's Thermal Processing segment, while the company strategically grows recurring revenue alongside capital equipment sales.
- Despite near-term momentum, long-term investor psychology and low trading volumes suggest caution, as sustained upside beyond $12 remains uncertain.
neutral 2023-10-27 · Malak Investment Ideas
Amtech Systems: A Long-Term Play, Silicon Carbide, And M&A
- Amtech Systems could experience significant net sales growth due to research, new products in the silicon carbide sector, and the semiconductor markets.
- Implementation of the M&A strategy could bring significant inorganic growth if integration is successful.
- The company's balance sheet appears solid with a significant amount of cash and a strong current ratio.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $18.68 | 66.37 | 42.62 | 63.26 |