전체 #5 · shadow_watch
AVPT · AvePoint, Inc.
Application Software · Opportunity 76.41, Risk 28.69, Confidence 85.42, Research Rank 71.47; 점수 경계는 통과했으나 Application Software 업종 상한 3개 적용
Research Rank
71.47
Opportunity
76.41
Risk
28.69
Evidence Confidence
85.42
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$13.92
전일
-0.57%
52주 위치
60일 변동성
40.67%
동종 39종목 대비 위치
마커는 이 종목, 세로 눈금은 전체 평균입니다.
기회이 종목 76.41
최하 46.95평균 67.34최상 84.31
위험이 종목 28.69 · 낮을수록 유리
최하 20.99평균 42.85최상 64.40
신뢰이 종목 85.42
최하 79.34평균 83.46최상 85.42
Research Rank이 종목 71.47
최하 47.49평균 62.36최상 75.32
감성이 종목 52.00
최하 47.33평균 51.29최상 55.33
SA 의견·팩터 등급
의견 · 등급 (1~5)
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수 | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | — | 3.97 | — |
| sa analyst | 강력 매수 | 5.00 | 1 |
| wall street | 매수 | 4.28 | 14 |
팩터 등급 추이
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | D+ | C+ | D+ |
| growth | B+ | A- | A- |
| profitability | B | B+ | B |
| momentum | B+ | D | D |
| revisions | C+ | C+ | D+ |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | — | 25% | — |
| business quality | — | 20% | — |
| valuation | — | 15% | — |
| price trend | 74.35 | 15% | 11.15 |
| analyst opinion | 85.43 | 12% | 10.25 |
| news sentiment | 52.00 | 8% | 4.16 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 39.01 | 30% | 11.70 |
| expectation valuation | — | 25% | — |
| profitability cashflow | — | 20% | — |
| negative events | 20.00 | 15% | 3.00 |
| opinion data instability | 10.78 | 10% | 1.08 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Dec 2026 | 0.45 | 40.83% | 0.38 | 0.52 | 12 |
| EPS · Dec 2027 | 0.50 | 10.39% | 0.44 | 0.63 | 12 |
| EPS · Dec 2028 | 0.66 | 33.23% | 0.57 | 0.80 | 3 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2026 | 510.69M | 21.74% | 509.97M | 511.81M | 15 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2027 | 615.16M | 20.46% | 598.24M | 634.88M | 15 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2028 | 746.01M | 21.27% | 706.07M | 767.56M | 5 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 0.13 | 0.08 | +61.74% |
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.10 | 0.08 | +20.00% |
| EPS · FY2025Q4 | 0.10 | 0.09 | +13.51% |
| EPS · FY2025Q3 | 0.12 | 0.07 | +71.37% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 124.50M | 121.37M | +2.57% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 117.24M | 116.15M | +0.94% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q4 | 114.69M | 110.94M | +3.38% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q3 | 109.73M | 105.72M | +3.80% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / EBITDA (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Price / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| Revenue Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EBITDA Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Net Income Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Return on Common Equity (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Cash From Operations (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 52.00; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-07-27 · David Zanoni
에이브포인트: 강한 성장과 합리적 밸류에이션에 주가 상승 기대
- AvePoint has delivered a 90% return since 2022, outperforming the S&P 500.
- AVPT is positioned for multiple years of strong growth, supporting a bullish outlook.
- The company's valuation remains reasonable relative to its robust growth rate.
- Technical indicators also signal a bullish trend that can continue for AVPT shares.
neutral 2026-05-11 · Shareholders Unite
AvePoint, 이제부터 회복이 예상된다
- AvePoint delivers robust FY25 results with 27% revenue growth, 19% SaaS growth, and a 7.9% GAAP operating margin, outperforming strategic targets.
- AVPT's Confidence Platform and new AgentPulse Command Center position it as a critical trust and governance layer for AI and multi-cloud data environments.
- The company is shifting to a hybrid pricing model and designating FY26 as an investment year to capitalize on AI-driven demand and support ARR growth toward $1B by 2029.
- Despite strong financials and market positioning, AVPT's stock underperformed, likely due to SaaS valuation compression and perceived risks from AI-native competitors and business model shifts.
- We think these risks are overblown.
neutral 2026-03-04 · Donovan Jones
AvePoint, 2026년 마케팅 비용 증가와 고객의 구독 전환 지속 속에 진입
- AvePoint delivered Q4 2025 results above expectations, but its growth rate is decelerating, and 2026 will see increased marketing spend, likely pressuring EPS.
- AVPT operates in a robust, compliance-driven data management market, with durable mid-20% revenue growth and solid cash flow.
- Despite AI disruption fears, AVPT's core infrastructure and governance focus reduce vulnerability, though the GenAI narrative continues to weigh on valuation.
- I maintain a Hold rating on AVPT due to slowing topline growth, higher 2026 expenses, and ongoing uncertainty around the GenAI disruption narrative.
neutral 2025-12-18 · Agar Capital
AvePoint: 높은 마진, 성장하는 반복 수익, 그러나 마이크로소프트가 리스크
- AvePoint, Inc. is a specialized SaaS provider for data governance and protection on Microsoft 365 and other collaborative cloud platforms.
- AVPT's recurring revenue reached 87%, with ARR at $327M and operating margins turning positive, reflecting strong SaaS-driven operating leverage.
- I rate AVPT a cautious Buy due to high valuation multiples, Microsoft ecosystem dependence, and sector competition, but see 40% upside if execution continues.
- AVPT's niche, recurring-revenue model and improving profitability make it attractive for long-term investors tolerant of short-term volatility and execution risks.
neutral 2025-11-19 · Gunn Research
AvePoint: 매출 확대와 수요 가속화에도 불구하고 상승 여력은 크지 않을 수 있다
- In the most recent quarter, AVPT's revenue climbed by 23.56% y/y to $109.7 million; profitability for the period improved, with operating income margin expanding to 10.09% from 8.62% last year.
- AVPT is set to benefit from the AI-driven data explosion, as enterprises increasingly outsource data governance and compliance needs.
- AVPT aims to diversify beyond Microsoft, targeting 30% of revenue from non-Microsoft products by FY2029 and expanding its channel partner ecosystem.
- Unfortunately, valuation analysis suggests that AVPT is already fairly valued with no upside potential for investors to capitalize on. For those who already have positions, it may be wise to take some profits now.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $12.99 | 78.81 | 34.57 | 75.46 |
| 2026-07-16 | $12.99 | 78.74 | 34.85 | 75.35 |
| 2026-07-17 | $13.19 | 78.80 | 34.91 | 75.37 |
| 2026-07-20 | $13.22 | 78.73 | 35.12 | 75.27 |
| 2026-07-21 | $13.24 | 78.87 | 35.00 | 75.40 |
| 2026-07-22 | $13.01 | 71.90 | 32.97 | 67.67 |
| 2026-07-23 | $11.98 | 65.97 | 33.51 | 63.75 |
| 2026-07-24 | $11.82 | 64.74 | 33.67 | 62.93 |
| 2026-07-27 | $12.24 | 65.26 | 33.81 | 63.23 |
| 2026-07-28 | $12.81 | 70.83 | 33.87 | 66.79 |
| 2026-07-29 | $12.91 | 71.56 | 33.96 | 67.24 |
| 2026-07-30 | $13.02 | 71.67 | 33.80 | 67.34 |
| 2026-07-31 | $12.82 | 71.29 | 33.66 | 67.13 |
| 2026-08-03 | $13.03 | 71.53 | 33.73 | 67.27 |
| 2026-08-04 | $13.36 | 72.69 | 33.21 | 68.12 |
| 2026-08-05 | $13.50 | 72.06 | 32.64 | 67.84 |
| 2026-08-06 | $13.40 | 71.54 | 31.93 | 67.66 |
| 2026-08-07 | $12.79 | 70.99 | 30.49 | 67.61 |
| 2026-08-10 | $12.79 | 70.80 | 29.65 | 67.67 |
| 2026-08-11 | $12.99 | 75.93 | 31.06 | 70.66 |
| 2026-08-12 | $13.13 | 75.57 | 30.17 | 70.62 |
| 2026-08-18 | $13.25 | 73.92 | 31.78 | 69.21 |
| 2026-08-19 | $13.32 | 74.07 | 31.78 | 69.31 |
| 2026-08-20 | $13.28 | 75.81 | 30.52 | 70.70 |
| 2026-08-21 | $13.13 | 76.42 | 30.70 | 71.05 |
| 2026-08-24 | $13.37 | 77.28 | 30.42 | 71.66 |
| 2026-09-01 | $13.92 | 76.41 | 28.69 | 71.47 |