전체 #4 · selected
AVPT · AvePoint, Inc.
Application Software · Opportunity 78.81, Risk 34.57, Confidence 100.00, Research Rank 75.46; 상위 10 및 업종 다양성 통과
Research Rank
75.46
Opportunity
78.81
Risk
34.57
Evidence Confidence
100.00
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$12.99
전일
2.44%
52주 위치
37.38%
60일 변동성
48.92%
SA 의견·팩터 등급
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수(1~5) | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | Buy | 4.07 | — |
| sa analyst | BUY | 4.00 | 1 |
| wall street | BUY | 4.28 | 14 |
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | C | D+ | D |
| growth | B+ | A- | A |
| profitability | B+ | B | B |
| momentum | C+ | D | D+ |
| revisions | B | D+ | A+ |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | 100.00 | 25% | 25.00 |
| business quality | 81.78 | 20% | 16.36 |
| valuation | 63.41 | 15% | 9.51 |
| price trend | 61.36 | 15% | 9.20 |
| analyst opinion | 77.94 | 12% | 9.35 |
| news sentiment | 54.83 | 8% | 4.39 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 47.86 | 30% | 14.36 |
| expectation valuation | 55.27 | 25% | 13.82 |
| profitability cashflow | 12.50 | 20% | 2.50 |
| negative events | 24.00 | 15% | 3.60 |
| opinion data instability | 2.97 | 10% | 0.30 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Dec 2026 | 0.40 | 26.66% | 0.36 | 0.44 | 12 |
| EPS · Dec 2027 | 0.50 | 23.20% | 0.43 | 0.56 | 12 |
| EPS · Dec 2028 | 0.61 | 23.36% | 0.55 | 0.72 | 3 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2026 | 512.82M | 22.25% | 511.97M | 514.07M | 14 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2027 | 616.26M | 20.17% | 598.07M | 634.88M | 15 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2028 | 745.36M | 20.95% | 706.22M | 769.00M | 5 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.10 | 0.08 | +20.00% |
| EPS · FY2025Q4 | 0.10 | 0.09 | +13.51% |
| EPS · FY2025Q3 | 0.12 | 0.07 | +71.37% |
| EPS · FY2025Q2 | 0.03 | 0.06 | -42.45% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 117242000.00 | 116146330.00 | +0.94% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q4 | 114687000.00 | 110935200.00 | +3.38% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q3 | 109728000.00 | 105715540.00 | +3.80% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q2 | 102018000.00 | 96288270.00 | +5.95% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (TTM) | 35.92 | 26.12 | 37.53% | C- |
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | 31.40 | 24.75 | 26.86% | C- |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (TTM) | 63.68 | 35.16 | 81.14% | D+ |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (FWD) | 50.22 | 33.20 | 51.25% | C- |
| valuation | PEG GAAP (TTM) | NM | 0.89 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | - | 1.35 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | EV / Sales (TTM) | 5.11 | 3.78 | 35.17% | C |
| valuation | EV / Sales (FWD) | 4.42 | 3.50 | 26.36% | C |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (TTM) | 45.94 | 19.53 | 135.25% | D+ |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (FWD) | 25.76 | 14.72 | 75.02% | D+ |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (TTM) | 52.73 | 28.14 | 87.39% | D+ |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (FWD) | 24.35 | 19.40 | 25.52% | C |
| valuation | Price / Sales (TTM) | 6.04 | 3.68 | 64.35% | C- |
| valuation | Price / Sales (FWD) | 5.24 | 3.37 | 55.57% | C- |
| valuation | Price / Book (TTM) | 6.12 | 4.06 | 50.88% | C- |
| valuation | Price / Book (FWD) | 4.64 | 4.69 | -0.88% | C+ |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (TTM) | 24.66 | 19.21 | 28.40% | C |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (FWD) | 25.36 | 18.88 | 34.32% | C |
| valuation | Dividend Yield (TTM) | - | 1.15% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | 27.12% | 11.36% | 138.81% | A- |
| growth | Revenue Growth (FWD) | 23.09% | 11.99% | 92.61% | B+ |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (YoY) | 156.20% | 14.90% | 948.12% | A+ |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (FWD) | 31.96% | 18.71% | 70.86% | B+ |
| growth | EBIT Growth (YoY) | 214.74% | 17.19% | 1,149.28% | A+ |
| growth | EBIT Growth (FWD) | 36.87% | 20.77% | 77.50% | B+ |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (YoY) | NM | 17.08% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | 109.30% | 17.54% | 523.20% | A+ |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (YoY) | NM | 12.73% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (FWD) | NM | 17.58% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS FWD Long Term Growth (3-5Y CAGR) | - | 18.92% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Levered FCF Growth (YoY) | 13.20% | 8.54% | 54.60% | B- |
| growth | Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth Rate (FWD) | 15.10% | 17.43% | -13.40% | C |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (YoY) | 33.55% | 15.41% | 117.78% | B |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | 16.18% | 17.12% | -5.52% | C+ |
| growth | ROE Growth (YoY) | NM | 3.24% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | ROE Growth (FWD) | 54.13% | 5.62% | 863.89% | A |
| growth | Working Capital Growth (YoY) | 26.66% | 8.14% | 227.62% | B |
| growth | CAPEX Growth (YoY) | -15.04% | 13.92% | NM | D+ |
| growth | Dividend Per Share Growth (FWD) | NM | 5.93% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | 1 Year Dividend Growth Rate (TTM) | - | 4.83% | - | NOT COVERED |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | 73.68% | 49.88% | 47.73% | A- |
| profitability | EBIT Margin (TTM) | 9.69% | 7.61% | 27.28% | B |
| profitability | EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 11.12% | 12.07% | -7.91% | C+ |
| profitability | Net Income Margin (TTM) | 10.51% | 6.07% | 72.98% | B+ |
| profitability | Levered FCF Margin (TTM) | 20.65% | 10.88% | 89.85% | A- |
| profitability | Return on Common Equity (TTM) | 11.68% | 7.52% | 55.29% | B |
| profitability | Return on Total Capital (TTM) | 6.39% | 4.63% | 38.20% | B |
| profitability | Return on Total Assets (TTM) | 6.35% | 3.32% | 91.22% | B+ |
| profitability | CAPEX / Sales (TTM) | 0.78% | 2.35% | -66.96% | D+ |
| profitability | Asset Turnover Ratio (TTM) | 0.67x | 0.63x | 5.77% | B- |
| profitability | Cash From Operations (TTM) | 109.02M | 149.24M | -26.95% | C+ |
| profitability | Cash Per Share (TTM) | 2.10 | 2.34 | -10.37% | C+ |
| profitability | Net Income Per Employee (TTM) | 13.54K | 14.03K | -3.49% | B- |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 54.83; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
neutral 2026-05-08 ·
AvePoint targets $523.4M-$529.4M ARR in 2026 while expanding its 'trust layer for AI' narrative
positive 2026-02-26 ·
AvePoint GAAP EPS of $0.07 beats by $0.04, revenue of $114.69M beats by $3.75M
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-05-11 · Shareholders Unite
AvePoint Should Recover From Here
- AvePoint delivers robust FY25 results with 27% revenue growth, 19% SaaS growth, and a 7.9% GAAP operating margin, outperforming strategic targets.
- AVPT's Confidence Platform and new AgentPulse Command Center position it as a critical trust and governance layer for AI and multi-cloud data environments.
- The company is shifting to a hybrid pricing model and designating FY26 as an investment year to capitalize on AI-driven demand and support ARR growth toward $1B by 2029.
- Despite strong financials and market positioning, AVPT's stock underperformed, likely due to SaaS valuation compression and perceived risks from AI-native competitors and business model shifts.
- We think these risks are overblown.
neutral 2026-03-04 · Donovan Jones
AvePoint Enters 2026 With Higher Spending And Continued Client Migration Efforts
- AvePoint delivered Q4 2025 results above expectations, but its growth rate is decelerating, and 2026 will see increased marketing spend, likely pressuring EPS.
- AVPT operates in a robust, compliance-driven data management market, with durable mid-20% revenue growth and solid cash flow.
- Despite AI disruption fears, AVPT's core infrastructure and governance focus reduce vulnerability, though the GenAI narrative continues to weigh on valuation.
- I maintain a Hold rating on AVPT due to slowing topline growth, higher 2026 expenses, and ongoing uncertainty around the GenAI disruption narrative.
negative 2025-12-18 · Agar Capital
AvePoint: High Margins, Growing Recurring Revenue, But Microsoft Is A Risk
- AvePoint, Inc. is a specialized SaaS provider for data governance and protection on Microsoft 365 and other collaborative cloud platforms.
- AVPT's recurring revenue reached 87%, with ARR at $327M and operating margins turning positive, reflecting strong SaaS-driven operating leverage.
- I rate AVPT a cautious Buy due to high valuation multiples, Microsoft ecosystem dependence, and sector competition, but see 40% upside if execution continues.
- AVPT's niche, recurring-revenue model and improving profitability make it attractive for long-term investors tolerant of short-term volatility and execution risks.
neutral 2025-11-19 · Gunn Research
AvePoint: Upcoming Revenue Expansion And Demand Acceleration May Not Result In Much Upside
- In the most recent quarter, AVPT's revenue climbed by 23.56% y/y to $109.7 million; profitability for the period improved, with operating income margin expanding to 10.09% from 8.62% last year.
- AVPT is set to benefit from the AI-driven data explosion, as enterprises increasingly outsource data governance and compliance needs.
- AVPT aims to diversify beyond Microsoft, targeting 30% of revenue from non-Microsoft products by FY2029 and expanding its channel partner ecosystem.
- Unfortunately, valuation analysis suggests that AVPT is already fairly valued with no upside potential for investors to capitalize on. For those who already have positions, it may be wise to take some profits now.
neutral 2025-07-22 · Redfox Capital Ideas
AvePoint: Growing In A Large Market
- I rate AvePoint a buy, driven by surging demand for data management as businesses adopt AI and require robust, secure data infrastructure.
- AVPT’s all-in-one Confidence Platform, with strong customer retention and vendor consolidation trends, embeds deeply into client workflows and drives upselling.
- Strategic partnerships accelerate growth efficiently, expanding AVPT’s reach into SMB and enterprise markets while minimizing sales costs and boosting credibility.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $12.99 | 78.81 | 34.57 | 75.46 |