전체 #14 · selected
AVT · Avnet, Inc.
Technology Distributors · Opportunity 67.28, Risk 22.41, Confidence 81.37, Research Rank 66.16; 상위 10 및 업종 다양성 통과
Research Rank
66.16
Opportunity
67.28
Risk
22.41
Evidence Confidence
81.37
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$89.56
전일
+1.05%
52주 위치
60일 변동성
40.08%
동종 39종목 대비 위치
마커는 이 종목, 세로 눈금은 전체 평균입니다.
기회이 종목 67.28
최하 46.95평균 67.34최상 84.31
위험이 종목 22.41 · 낮을수록 유리
최하 20.99평균 42.85최상 64.40
신뢰이 종목 81.37
최하 79.34평균 83.46최상 85.42
Research Rank이 종목 66.16
최하 47.49평균 62.36최상 75.32
감성이 종목 47.33
최하 47.33평균 51.29최상 55.33
SA 의견·팩터 등급
의견 · 등급 (1~5)
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수 | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | — | 4.81 | — |
| sa analyst | 매수 | 3.50 | 2 |
| wall street | 매수 | 3.50 | 4 |
팩터 등급 추이
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | A+ | A- | A- |
| growth | B+ | B | D+ |
| profitability | C- | C- | C- |
| momentum | A- | B+ | B+ |
| revisions | A+ | A | A |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | — | 25% | — |
| business quality | — | 20% | — |
| valuation | — | 15% | — |
| price trend | 62.13 | 15% | 9.32 |
| analyst opinion | 73.39 | 12% | 8.81 |
| news sentiment | 47.33 | 8% | 3.79 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 21.95 | 30% | 6.59 |
| expectation valuation | — | 25% | — |
| profitability cashflow | — | 20% | — |
| negative events | 28.00 | 15% | 4.20 |
| opinion data instability | 15.40 | 10% | 1.54 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Jun 2027 | 10.57 | 86.46% | 8.20 | 11.75 | 4 |
| EPS · Jun 2028 | 11.05 | 4.48% | 9.28 | 12.34 | 3 |
| EPS · Jun 2029 | 10.83 | -1.96% | 10.83 | 10.83 | 1 |
| REVENUE · Jun 2027 | 35.77B | 29.44% | 31.89B | 37.59B | 4 |
| REVENUE · Jun 2028 | 37.64B | 5.23% | 34.46B | 39.54B | 3 |
| REVENUE · Jun 2029 | 37.08B | -1.48% | 37.08B | 37.08B | 1 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q4 | 2.28 | 1.77 | +28.81% |
| EPS · FY2026Q3 | 1.48 | 1.32 | +12.33% |
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 1.05 | 0.95 | +10.24% |
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.84 | 0.81 | +4.02% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q4 | 8295.38M | 7518.73M | +10.33% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q3 | 7119.78M | 6412.49M | +11.03% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 6318.95M | 6031.19M | +4.77% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 5898.57M | 5732.47M | +2.90% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / EBITDA (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Price / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| Revenue Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EBITDA Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Net Income Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Return on Common Equity (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Cash From Operations (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 47.33; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-08-20 · Maya Gupta
애브넷: 지난 1년 기준 고평가, 다음 해 기준 저평가
- Avnet, Inc. is rated a buy, with a valuation model projecting a 21.9% annualized return based on business fundamentals, not multiple expansion.
- AVT’s Q4 annualized adjusted EBITDA of $1,348.3M underpins the bullish thesis, reflecting strong operating leverage and cost discipline.
- Key risks include reliance on Q4 as a run rate, potential working capital swings erasing FCF, and dilution from convertible notes with buybacks capped until September 2026.
- Even if AVT’s multiple compresses to 7.40x, the return remains attractive at 10%, supporting a favorable risk/reward profile.
negative 2026-06-03 · Ian Bezek
Avnet: 투자 논리 실현, 가치가 충분히 반영됨(투자의견 하향)
- Avnet has surged more than 90% year-to-date, fueled by AI-driven semiconductor demand and robust recent earnings momentum.
- Avnet's multiple has expanded sharply, reducing the effectiveness of its share buyback program.
- Despite strong near-term revenue increases, AVT remains a cyclical distributor with thin margins and significant exposure beyond AI-related products.
- I am moving to a hold rating on AVT, as shares appear fully valued.
neutral 2025-12-14 · Emmanuel Onwusah
Avnet: 업황은 반등했지만, 마진이 주가 상승을 제약한다
- Avnet Inc. posted a Q1 FY26 revenue turnaround, but margin improvement remains elusive, supporting a continued hold rating.
- Farnell delivered double-digit revenue and margin growth, yet its small scale limits its impact on AVT's consolidated profitability.
- Gross and operating margins remain under pressure, with no near-term signs of operating leverage or upward re-rating potential.
- AVT trades at low multiples, reflecting thin margins and muted earnings quality; further upside depends on meaningful margin expansion.
negative 2025-09-24 · Emmanuel Onwusah
Avnet: 예상된 실적과 희석 위험, 여전히 보유 의견 유지
- FY2025 revenue flat at $22.2B, with Asia carrying growth, as EMEA and Americas lagged.
- Farnell showed its first YoY growth since FY2023, with margins inching up to 4.3%.
- $550M convertible notes deal funds buybacks, but introduces dilution risk.
- Margins remain thin, leaving the stock fairly valued with no rerating catalyst.
neutral 2025-07-09 · Emmanuel Onwusah
Avnet: 안정적이지만 Q4 실적 발표 전까지는 여전히 보유 유지
- Avnet remains a Hold as sluggish OEM demand and high inventory persist, but signs of stability are emerging, especially in Asia.
- Q3 2025 results were unremarkable but solid, with strong cash flow, stable margins, and EPS outperforming guidance despite revenue declines.
- Valuation is fair and discounted versus peers, reflecting manageable headwinds; not a value trap, but not a clear bargain either.
- No near-term catalyst is visible; I’m staying patient on AVT, watching for positive momentum in Q4 before considering any change in rating.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $86.05 | 76.27 | 29.28 | 73.87 |
| 2026-07-16 | $86.05 | 76.27 | 29.31 | 73.87 |
| 2026-07-17 | $84.76 | 75.96 | 29.23 | 73.66 |
| 2026-07-20 | $85.65 | 76.08 | 29.24 | 73.75 |
| 2026-07-21 | $85.02 | 74.34 | 29.25 | 72.49 |
| 2026-07-22 | $89.85 | 68.84 | 23.31 | 66.93 |
| 2026-07-23 | $90.13 | 69.46 | 23.55 | 67.25 |
| 2026-07-24 | $89.92 | 69.43 | 23.58 | 67.23 |
| 2026-07-27 | $89.42 | 69.48 | 23.62 | 67.25 |
| 2026-07-28 | $88.38 | 68.85 | 23.37 | 66.92 |
| 2026-07-29 | $86.22 | 64.58 | 23.41 | 64.30 |
| 2026-07-30 | $83.59 | 63.35 | 23.38 | 63.56 |
| 2026-07-31 | $86.80 | 66.90 | 23.55 | 65.70 |
| 2026-08-03 | $88.84 | 67.26 | 23.58 | 65.91 |
| 2026-08-04 | $88.88 | 65.90 | 21.81 | 65.44 |
| 2026-08-05 | $92.53 | 66.83 | 21.97 | 65.97 |
| 2026-08-06 | $97.22 | 68.39 | 22.38 | 66.84 |
| 2026-08-07 | $96.80 | 72.79 | 23.01 | 69.40 |
| 2026-08-10 | $96.53 | 73.49 | 24.07 | 69.61 |
| 2026-08-11 | $97.40 | 73.20 | 23.74 | 69.50 |
| 2026-08-12 | $95.96 | 73.20 | 23.77 | 69.49 |
| 2026-08-18 | $98.63 | 73.71 | 23.53 | 69.85 |
| 2026-08-19 | $93.40 | 72.67 | 23.96 | 69.13 |
| 2026-08-20 | $88.34 | 66.54 | 24.30 | 65.32 |
| 2026-08-21 | $86.89 | 65.97 | 24.06 | 65.02 |
| 2026-08-24 | $88.64 | 67.59 | 23.29 | 66.17 |
| 2026-09-01 | $89.56 | 67.28 | 22.41 | 66.16 |