전체 #10 · selected
AVT · Avnet, Inc.
Technology Distributors · Opportunity 76.27, Risk 29.28, Confidence 95.95, Research Rank 73.87; 상위 10 및 업종 다양성 통과
Research Rank
73.87
Opportunity
76.27
Risk
29.28
Evidence Confidence
95.95
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$86.05
전일
1.06%
52주 위치
81.94%
60일 변동성
38.95%
SA 의견·팩터 등급
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수(1~5) | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | Strong Buy | 4.77 | — |
| sa analyst | HOLD | 3.00 | 1 |
| wall street | BUY | 3.50 | 4 |
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | B+ | B | A+ |
| growth | B | D+ | C- |
| profitability | C- | C- | C |
| momentum | B+ | A- | C |
| revisions | A+ | A+ | D- |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | 100.00 | 25% | 25.00 |
| business quality | 49.93 | 20% | 9.99 |
| valuation | 92.35 | 15% | 13.85 |
| price trend | 66.74 | 15% | 10.01 |
| analyst opinion | 68.91 | 12% | 8.27 |
| news sentiment | 51.83 | 8% | 4.15 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 22.46 | 30% | 6.74 |
| expectation valuation | 32.12 | 25% | 8.03 |
| profitability cashflow | 42.27 | 20% | 8.45 |
| negative events | 28.00 | 15% | 4.20 |
| opinion data instability | 18.62 | 10% | 1.86 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Jun 2026 | 5.13 | 49.13% | 5.11 | 5.16 | 4 |
| EPS · Jun 2027 | 7.89 | 53.85% | 7.10 | 8.45 | 4 |
| EPS · Jun 2028 | 8.88 | 12.51% | 8.88 | 8.88 | 1 |
| REVENUE · Jun 2026 | 26.86B | 20.97% | 26.79B | 26.94B | 4 |
| REVENUE · Jun 2027 | 30.56B | 13.78% | 29.32B | 31.32B | 4 |
| REVENUE · Jun 2028 | 33.64B | 10.08% | 33.64B | 33.64B | 1 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q3 | 1.48 | 1.32 | +12.33% |
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 1.05 | 0.95 | +10.24% |
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.84 | 0.81 | +4.02% |
| EPS · FY2025Q4 | 0.81 | 0.72 | +12.50% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q3 | 7119779000.00 | 6412494750.00 | +11.03% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 6318955000.00 | 6031185000.00 | +4.77% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 5898572000.00 | 5732470250.00 | +2.90% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q4 | 5617795000.00 | 5362073500.00 | +4.77% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (TTM) | 20.37 | 26.12 | -22.00% | B- |
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | 16.60 | 24.75 | -32.94% | B+ |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (TTM) | 33.30 | 35.16 | -5.29% | B- |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (FWD) | 20.92 | 33.20 | -36.99% | B+ |
| valuation | PEG GAAP (TTM) | NM | 0.89 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | 0.54 | 1.35 | -60.15% | A |
| valuation | EV / Sales (TTM) | 0.40 | 3.78 | -89.44% | A+ |
| valuation | EV / Sales (FWD) | 0.37 | 3.50 | -89.40% | A+ |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (TTM) | 13.00 | 19.53 | -33.42% | B+ |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (FWD) | 11.22 | 14.72 | -23.80% | B |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (TTM) | 14.37 | 28.14 | -48.95% | A- |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (FWD) | 12.33 | 19.40 | -36.41% | B+ |
| valuation | Price / Sales (TTM) | 0.28 | 3.68 | -92.33% | A+ |
| valuation | Price / Sales (FWD) | 0.26 | 3.37 | -92.28% | A+ |
| valuation | Price / Book (TTM) | 1.41 | 4.06 | -65.24% | A- |
| valuation | Price / Book (FWD) | - | 4.69 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (TTM) | 46.78 | 19.21 | 143.60% | D |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (FWD) | NM | 18.88 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Dividend Yield (TTM) | 1.64% | 1.15% | 42.73% | B |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | 12.68% | 11.36% | 11.69% | C+ |
| growth | Revenue Growth (FWD) | 8.75% | 11.99% | -26.97% | C- |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (YoY) | -2.54% | 14.90% | NM | D |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (FWD) | 6.38% | 18.71% | -65.90% | D |
| growth | EBIT Growth (YoY) | -2.34% | 17.19% | NM | D |
| growth | EBIT Growth (FWD) | 6.76% | 20.77% | -67.47% | D |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (YoY) | -28.09% | 17.08% | NM | D |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | 13.91% | 17.54% | -20.69% | C |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (YoY) | -49.36% | 12.73% | NM | D- |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (FWD) | 7.89% | 17.58% | -55.10% | D+ |
| growth | EPS FWD Long Term Growth (3-5Y CAGR) | 30.84% | 18.92% | 63.04% | A- |
| growth | Levered FCF Growth (YoY) | -90.32% | 8.54% | NM | F |
| growth | Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth Rate (FWD) | - | 17.43% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (YoY) | -82.63% | 15.41% | NM | F |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | 27.42% | 17.12% | 60.13% | B |
| growth | ROE Growth (YoY) | -32.24% | 3.24% | NM | D |
| growth | ROE Growth (FWD) | - | 5.62% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Working Capital Growth (YoY) | -1.03% | 8.14% | NM | C- |
| growth | CAPEX Growth (YoY) | 1.99% | 13.92% | -85.70% | C |
| growth | Dividend Per Share Growth (FWD) | 4.13% | 5.93% | -30.43% | C- |
| growth | 1 Year Dividend Growth Rate (TTM) | 6.15% | 4.83% | 27.41% | B- |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | 10.46% | 49.88% | -79.03% | F |
| profitability | EBIT Margin (TTM) | 2.78% | 7.61% | -63.51% | C |
| profitability | EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 3.07% | 12.07% | -74.59% | C- |
| profitability | Net Income Margin (TTM) | 0.86% | 6.07% | -85.89% | C |
| profitability | Levered FCF Margin (TTM) | 0.36% | 10.88% | -96.71% | D+ |
| profitability | Return on Common Equity (TTM) | 4.35% | 7.52% | -42.17% | C+ |
| profitability | Return on Total Capital (TTM) | 5.47% | 4.63% | 18.19% | B |
| profitability | Return on Total Assets (TTM) | 1.59% | 3.32% | -52.24% | C+ |
| profitability | CAPEX / Sales (TTM) | 0.47% | 2.35% | -80.16% | D- |
| profitability | Asset Turnover Ratio (TTM) | 1.98x | 0.63x | 214.70% | A+ |
| profitability | Cash From Operations (TTM) | 149.29M | 149.24M | 0.03% | B- |
| profitability | Cash Per Share (TTM) | 2.47 | 2.34 | 5.50% | B- |
| profitability | Net Income Per Employee (TTM) | 14.39K | 14.03K | 2.56% | B- |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 51.83; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
neutral 2026-04-29 ·
Avnet forecasts Q4 sales of $7.3B-$7.6B and EPS of $1.70-$1.80 as lead times tighten
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
negative 2026-06-03 · Ian Bezek
Avnet: Thesis Played Out, Now Fully Valued (Rating Downgrade)
- Avnet has surged more than 90% year-to-date, fueled by AI-driven semiconductor demand and robust recent earnings momentum.
- Avnet's multiple has expanded sharply, reducing the effectiveness of its share buyback program.
- Despite strong near-term revenue increases, AVT remains a cyclical distributor with thin margins and significant exposure beyond AI-related products.
- I am moving to a hold rating on AVT, as shares appear fully valued.
neutral 2025-12-14 · Emmanuel Onwusah
Avnet: The Cycle Is Turning, But Margins Still Hold The Stock Back
- Avnet Inc. posted a Q1 FY26 revenue turnaround, but margin improvement remains elusive, supporting a continued hold rating.
- Farnell delivered double-digit revenue and margin growth, yet its small scale limits its impact on AVT's consolidated profitability.
- Gross and operating margins remain under pressure, with no near-term signs of operating leverage or upward re-rating potential.
- AVT trades at low multiples, reflecting thin margins and muted earnings quality; further upside depends on meaningful margin expansion.
negative 2025-09-24 · Emmanuel Onwusah
Avnet: Expected Results, Dilution Risk, And Still A Hold
- FY2025 revenue flat at $22.2B, with Asia carrying growth, as EMEA and Americas lagged.
- Farnell showed its first YoY growth since FY2023, with margins inching up to 4.3%.
- $550M convertible notes deal funds buybacks, but introduces dilution risk.
- Margins remain thin, leaving the stock fairly valued with no rerating catalyst.
neutral 2025-07-09 · Emmanuel Onwusah
Avnet: Stable, But Still A Hold Until Q4 Earnings Are In
- Avnet remains a Hold as sluggish OEM demand and high inventory persist, but signs of stability are emerging, especially in Asia.
- Q3 2025 results were unremarkable but solid, with strong cash flow, stable margins, and EPS outperforming guidance despite revenue declines.
- Valuation is fair and discounted versus peers, reflecting manageable headwinds; not a value trap, but not a clear bargain either.
- No near-term catalyst is visible; I’m staying patient on AVT, watching for positive momentum in Q4 before considering any change in rating.
neutral 2025-02-04 · Redfox Capital Ideas
Avnet: Stock Likely To Remain Rangebound In The Near Term
- There is evidence of industry recovery and strong performance in Asia is a very positive sign.
- Weakness in the Americas and EMEA, coupled with uncertain timing of demand recovery, justifies maintaining a neutral rating for now.
- Current valuation at 11x forward PE is slightly above the 10-year average, and I don't expect a re-rating until tangible improvements are seen in the Americas and Europe.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $86.05 | 76.27 | 29.28 | 73.87 |