전체 #20 · shadow_watch
BB · BlackBerry Limited
Systems Software · Opportunity 66.15, Risk 38.96, Confidence 84.74, Research Rank 62.60; 현재 선정 경계 64.72 미만
Research Rank
62.60
Opportunity
66.15
Risk
38.96
Evidence Confidence
84.74
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$8.15
전일
-0.12%
52주 위치
60일 변동성
79.08%
동종 39종목 대비 위치
마커는 이 종목, 세로 눈금은 전체 평균입니다.
기회이 종목 66.15
최하 46.95평균 67.34최상 84.31
위험이 종목 38.96 · 낮을수록 유리
최하 20.99평균 42.85최상 64.40
신뢰이 종목 84.74
최하 79.34평균 83.46최상 85.42
Research Rank이 종목 62.60
최하 47.49평균 62.36최상 75.32
감성이 종목 54.00
최하 47.33평균 51.29최상 55.33
SA 의견·팩터 등급
의견 · 등급 (1~5)
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수 | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | — | 4.85 | — |
| sa analyst | 보유 | 3.33 | 9 |
| wall street | 보유 | 3.00 | 8 |
팩터 등급 추이
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | D+ | C | B |
| growth | A | A | A- |
| profitability | B | C+ | D+ |
| momentum | A | A | C |
| revisions | B | B- | B |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | — | 25% | — |
| business quality | — | 20% | — |
| valuation | — | 15% | — |
| price trend | 59.74 | 15% | 8.96 |
| analyst opinion | 68.16 | 12% | 8.18 |
| news sentiment | 54.00 | 8% | 4.32 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 54.72 | 30% | 16.41 |
| expectation valuation | — | 25% | — |
| profitability cashflow | — | 20% | — |
| negative events | 20.00 | 15% | 3.00 |
| opinion data instability | 20.13 | 10% | 2.01 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Feb 2027 | 0.19 | 17.86% | 0.18 | 0.20 | 7 |
| EPS · Feb 2028 | 0.23 | 21.21% | 0.19 | 0.26 | 7 |
| EPS · Feb 2029 | 0.28 | 22.50% | 0.28 | 0.28 | 2 |
| REVENUE · Feb 2027 | 614.49M | 11.91% | 597.00M | 635.00M | 7 |
| REVENUE · Feb 2028 | 678.20M | 10.37% | 656.30M | 713.00M | 7 |
| REVENUE · Feb 2029 | 759.80M | 12.03% | 759.80M | 759.80M | 1 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2027Q1 | 0.04 | 0.03 | +49.98% |
| EPS · FY2026Q4 | 0.06 | 0.04 | +38.47% |
| EPS · FY2026Q3 | 0.05 | 0.04 | +36.35% |
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 0.04 | 0.01 | +185.71% |
| Revenue · FY2027Q1 | 152.90M | 137.75M | +11.00% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q4 | 156.00M | 144.55M | +7.92% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q3 | 141.80M | 137.54M | +3.10% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 129.60M | 122.03M | +6.20% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / EBITDA (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Price / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| Revenue Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EBITDA Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Net Income Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Return on Common Equity (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Cash From Operations (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 54.00; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-08-24 · Market Edge Researcher
블랙베리: 사업 전환은 성과를 내고 있지만 밸류에이션은 여전히 부담
- BlackBerry Limited has successfully shifted focus to software, with QNX and Secure Communications driving growth and improved financials.
- QNX's robust revenue beat and $950 million royalty backlog highlight its role as BB's primary long-term growth engine, especially in automotive software.
- Profitability and cash flow are improving, with Q1 FY2027 delivering the first positive operating cash flow in nine years and a 144% adjusted EBITDA increase.
- Despite positive momentum, BB's 42.64x FY1 P/E reflects high-growth expectations, leading to a hold rating until further evidence of sustained profit expansion.
neutral 2026-08-21 · Value Vest
블랙베리: 그 어느 때보다 탄탄해졌지만, 주가에도 반영됐다
- BlackBerry has transitioned into a healthier, focused software company, with profitability, real cash flow, and a net cash balance sheet.
- QNX is BB's high-margin growth engine, boasting a ~$950 million royalty backlog and strong pipeline, but much of its value is years out.
- At ~$8/share, the market prices in multi-year perfect execution, leaving a narrow safety margin and justifying a Hold rating.
- I remain mildly bullish but await sustained margin expansion, ARR growth, and a major Alloy Kore contract for a more constructive stance.
neutral 2026-07-22 · The J Thesis
블랙베리: 훌륭한 스토리지만 기대가 앞서간 주가
- BlackBerry has executed a significant business turnaround, transitioning from smartphones to a leading physical AI and cybersecurity player.
- BB operates in high-growth markets, including cybersecurity and physical AI, benefiting from strong secular tailwinds if execution meets expectations.
- With a 120% share price appreciation in six months, BB trades at premium levels, with fundamentals needing to catch up to valuation.
- I initiate coverage with a Hold rating, preferring to watch from the sidelines as the AI narrative remains strong but risks of correction persist.
neutral 2026-07-21 · The Alpha Analyst
블랙베리: QNX와 알로이 코어, 투기적 매수 의견 뒷받침
- BlackBerry is rated a speculative Buy, with asymmetric upside potential driven by QNX and the Alloy Kore middleware opportunity.
- QNX’s ~$950m royalty backlog and record development license revenue signal robust forward growth, though much of it is long-dated.
- Valuation sensitivity centers on QNX; Alloy Kore could multiply revenue from existing customers and expand into non-automotive markets.
- Risks include delayed Alloy Kore design wins and execution uncertainty, but the Nvidia partnership and restructuring support the long-term thesis.
neutral 2026-07-20 · Bay Area Ideas
블랙베리, 재도약 국면에서 매집 적기
- BlackBerry is undergoing a significant turnaround, driven by robust growth in QNX and Secure Communications businesses.
- Q1 FY2027 revenues surged 26% YoY to $152.9M, with margin expansion and beats on both top and bottom lines.
- FY2027 guidance signals accelerating momentum: 11% revenue growth, 20% adjusted EBITDA growth, and 13% adjusted EPS growth at midpoints.
- Despite a high forward P/S ratio, BlackBerry's long-term AI-driven opportunities and discounted forward PEG justify a Buy rating for patient investors.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $11.01 | 75.58 | 46.52 | 69.78 |
| 2026-07-16 | $11.01 | 75.14 | 47.11 | 69.31 |
| 2026-07-17 | $9.16 | 72.85 | 47.22 | 67.59 |
| 2026-07-20 | $8.99 | 73.95 | 45.05 | 68.94 |
| 2026-07-21 | $8.83 | 74.17 | 44.81 | 69.16 |
| 2026-07-22 | $8.99 | 71.74 | 40.79 | 65.64 |
| 2026-07-23 | $8.95 | 70.13 | 40.84 | 64.62 |
| 2026-07-24 | $8.63 | 69.44 | 40.94 | 64.27 |
| 2026-07-27 | $8.54 | 69.18 | 40.91 | 64.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | $8.42 | 67.01 | 40.88 | 62.64 |
| 2026-07-29 | $8.09 | 65.57 | 40.93 | 61.73 |
| 2026-07-30 | $7.81 | 64.55 | 41.75 | 60.91 |
| 2026-07-31 | $8.44 | 64.99 | 41.99 | 61.13 |
| 2026-08-03 | $8.50 | 65.03 | 42.06 | 61.15 |
| 2026-08-04 | $8.52 | 61.83 | 41.82 | 59.18 |
| 2026-08-05 | $8.87 | 62.30 | 41.87 | 59.47 |
| 2026-08-06 | $8.73 | 62.34 | 41.77 | 59.51 |
| 2026-08-07 | $8.78 | 62.41 | 41.74 | 59.56 |
| 2026-08-10 | $8.98 | 66.60 | 41.81 | 62.19 |
| 2026-08-11 | $8.83 | 62.66 | 41.80 | 59.71 |
| 2026-08-12 | $8.98 | 67.24 | 41.79 | 62.59 |
| 2026-08-18 | $8.73 | 68.84 | 41.77 | 63.61 |
| 2026-08-19 | $8.58 | 64.68 | 41.51 | 61.04 |
| 2026-08-20 | $8.34 | 64.14 | 39.53 | 61.12 |
| 2026-08-21 | $8.14 | 63.89 | 39.26 | 61.01 |
| 2026-08-24 | $8.04 | 64.27 | 38.14 | 61.58 |
| 2026-09-01 | $8.15 | 66.15 | 38.96 | 62.60 |