전체 #20 · shadow_watch
BB · BlackBerry Limited
Systems Software · Opportunity 75.58, Risk 46.52, Confidence 98.65, Research Rank 69.78; 현재 선정 경계 71.55 미만
Research Rank
69.78
Opportunity
75.58
Risk
46.52
Evidence Confidence
98.65
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$11.01
전일
2.80%
52주 위치
75.36%
60일 변동성
83.35%
SA 의견·팩터 등급
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수(1~5) | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | Strong Buy | 4.98 | — |
| sa analyst | BUY | 3.80 | 5 |
| wall street | HOLD | 2.87 | 8 |
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | C- | C+ | C+ |
| growth | A | A | A |
| profitability | B | C+ | D+ |
| momentum | A+ | C+ | C- |
| revisions | B+ | B- | C+ |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | 100.00 | 25% | 25.00 |
| business quality | 77.21 | 20% | 15.44 |
| valuation | 23.40 | 15% | 3.51 |
| price trend | 89.50 | 15% | 13.43 |
| analyst opinion | 72.12 | 12% | 8.65 |
| news sentiment | 56.83 | 8% | 4.55 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 54.80 | 30% | 16.44 |
| expectation valuation | 87.28 | 25% | 21.82 |
| profitability cashflow | 12.50 | 20% | 2.50 |
| negative events | 24.00 | 15% | 3.60 |
| opinion data instability | 21.63 | 10% | 2.16 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Feb 2027 | 0.19 | 17.86% | 0.18 | 0.20 | 7 |
| EPS · Feb 2028 | 0.23 | 21.21% | 0.19 | 0.26 | 7 |
| EPS · Feb 2029 | 0.28 | 22.50% | 0.28 | 0.28 | 2 |
| REVENUE · Feb 2027 | 614.49M | 11.91% | 597.00M | 635.00M | 7 |
| REVENUE · Feb 2028 | 678.20M | 10.37% | 656.30M | 713.00M | 7 |
| REVENUE · Feb 2029 | 759.80M | 12.03% | 759.80M | 759.80M | 1 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2027Q1 | 0.04 | 0.03 | +49.98% |
| EPS · FY2026Q4 | 0.06 | 0.04 | +38.47% |
| EPS · FY2026Q3 | 0.05 | 0.04 | +36.35% |
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 0.04 | 0.01 | +185.71% |
| Revenue · FY2027Q1 | 152900000.00 | 137750000.00 | +11.00% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q4 | 156000000.00 | 144553400.00 | +7.92% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q3 | 141800000.00 | 137540250.00 | +3.10% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 129600000.00 | 122032500.00 | +6.20% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (TTM) | 56.37 | 26.12 | 115.82% | D |
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | 56.80 | 24.75 | 129.45% | D |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (TTM) | 110.42 | 35.16 | 214.07% | D- |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (FWD) | 93.13 | 33.20 | 180.50% | D- |
| valuation | PEG GAAP (TTM) | 0.23 | 0.89 | -74.09% | A |
| valuation | PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | 1.19 | 1.35 | -12.20% | B- |
| valuation | EV / Sales (TTM) | 10.61 | 3.78 | 180.69% | D |
| valuation | EV / Sales (FWD) | 10.02 | 3.50 | 186.40% | D |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (TTM) | 66.18 | 19.53 | 238.86% | D- |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (FWD) | 45.22 | 14.72 | 207.27% | D- |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (TTM) | 80.14 | 28.14 | 184.79% | D |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (FWD) | 48.18 | 19.40 | 148.39% | D |
| valuation | Price / Sales (TTM) | 10.89 | 3.68 | 196.29% | D |
| valuation | Price / Sales (FWD) | 10.22 | 3.37 | 203.34% | D |
| valuation | Price / Book (TTM) | 8.37 | 4.06 | 106.21% | D+ |
| valuation | Price / Book (FWD) | - | 4.69 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (TTM) | 86.16 | 19.21 | 348.65% | D- |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (FWD) | - | 18.88 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Dividend Yield (TTM) | - | 1.15% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | 8.83% | 11.36% | -22.22% | C |
| growth | Revenue Growth (FWD) | 8.23% | 11.99% | -31.30% | C- |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (YoY) | 33.05% | 14.90% | 121.75% | B+ |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (FWD) | 22.77% | 18.71% | 21.74% | B- |
| growth | EBIT Growth (YoY) | 65.52% | 17.19% | 281.15% | A- |
| growth | EBIT Growth (FWD) | 27.89% | 20.77% | 34.27% | B |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (YoY) | 481.46% | 17.08% | 2,719.04% | A+ |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | 125.25% | 17.54% | 614.15% | A+ |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (YoY) | NM | 12.73% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (FWD) | NM | 17.58% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS FWD Long Term Growth (3-5Y CAGR) | 47.90% | 18.92% | 153.20% | A |
| growth | Levered FCF Growth (YoY) | 1,794.59% | 8.54% | 20,921.40% | A+ |
| growth | Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth Rate (FWD) | 111.44% | 17.43% | 539.24% | A+ |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (YoY) | 436.03% | 15.41% | 2,730.24% | A+ |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | 102.79% | 17.12% | 500.34% | A+ |
| growth | ROE Growth (YoY) | 500.47% | 3.24% | 15,351.41% | A+ |
| growth | ROE Growth (FWD) | NM | 5.62% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Working Capital Growth (YoY) | 9.11% | 8.14% | 12.01% | C+ |
| growth | CAPEX Growth (YoY) | 123.08% | 13.92% | 784.15% | A |
| growth | Dividend Per Share Growth (FWD) | - | 5.93% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | 1 Year Dividend Growth Rate (TTM) | - | 4.83% | - | NOT COVERED |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | 77.13% | 49.88% | 54.65% | A- |
| profitability | EBIT Margin (TTM) | 13.23% | 7.61% | 73.91% | B+ |
| profitability | EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 16.03% | 12.07% | 32.75% | B |
| profitability | Net Income Margin (TTM) | 10.31% | 6.07% | 69.68% | B |
| profitability | Levered FCF Margin (TTM) | 18.12% | 10.88% | 66.55% | B+ |
| profitability | Return on Common Equity (TTM) | 8.10% | 7.52% | 7.78% | B- |
| profitability | Return on Total Capital (TTM) | 4.97% | 4.63% | 7.39% | B- |
| profitability | Return on Total Assets (TTM) | 4.82% | 3.32% | 45.18% | B |
| profitability | CAPEX / Sales (TTM) | 1.00% | 2.35% | -57.49% | D+ |
| profitability | Asset Turnover Ratio (TTM) | 0.47x | 0.63x | -24.76% | C- |
| profitability | Cash From Operations (TTM) | 72.90M | 149.24M | -51.15% | C+ |
| profitability | Cash Per Share (TTM) | 0.44 | 2.34 | -81.27% | D |
| profitability | Net Income Per Employee (TTM) | 34.19K | 14.03K | 143.76% | B |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 56.83; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
neutral 2026-06-28 ·
Chinese AI closes in on U.S. cybersecurity models, raising stakes in tech rivalry
neutral 2026-06-25 ·
BlackBerry outlines FY2027 revenue of $594M-$621M as QNX outlook rises to $295M-$312M
neutral 2026-06-25 ·
Earnings Snapshot: BlackBerry tops FQ1 estimates; full-year outlook revised upward
positive 2026-06-25 ·
Blackberry Non-GAAP EPS of $0.04 beats by $0.01, revenue of $152.9M beats by $15.35M
neutral 2026-06-21 ·
Quant earnings preview: Micron, BlackBerry top this week's highest-rated reports
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
negative 2026-07-01 · Bill Maurer
BlackBerry: Too Far Too Fast (Rating Downgrade)
- BlackBerry has emerged as a significant market winner in 2026, with shares more than tripling.
- Recent Q1 results signaled a positive inflection, with revenue growth and GAAP profits finally materializing after prolonged struggles.
- The surge in shares has put the valuation at a level that matches tech names that are usually growing their top lines much faster.
neutral 2026-06-18 · Chris Lau
BlackBerry Stock: Downgrading To Hold Ahead Of Its Q1 Earnings Report
- BlackBerry Limited is rated a Hold ahead of its fiscal Q1 2027 report, with prior share gains driven by optimism in QNX and GEM segments.
- QNX and Secure Communications are key growth drivers, with QNX growing 14% and a $950 million backlog supporting future revenue.
- Cost restructuring, including the Cylance divestiture, removed a $150 million run rate, enabling eight consecutive quarters of improving GAAP net income.
- Weakness in the automotive sector and high expectations for GEM pose valuation risks, tempering the near-term outlook for BB shares.
positive 2026-06-09 · Kevin George
BlackBerry Completes The Turnaround And Is Positioned For Future Robotics Growth
- BlackBerry has completed its turnaround, now positioning itself as a growth company focused on its QNX software platform.
- BB's valuation is elevated after a 180% rally, trading at 67.21x forward P/E and 10.12x forward P/S, well above sector medians.
- Management guides for FY2027 QNX revenue of ~$300M (15% growth), targeting expansion in automotive, robotics, and medical sectors.
- Profitability is improving, with net profit rising to $24.3M and a strong balance sheet supporting long-term growth and institutional interest.
neutral 2026-05-28 · Tangerine Tan Capital
BlackBerry: Has The Potential To Become The Operating System For Physical AI
- BlackBerry Limited is positioned to benefit from the rise of physical AI, with QNX poised as a leading robotics operating system.
- QNX sales grew 14% in FY26 and 20% in Q4, supported by a $950 million backlog, signaling a successful turnaround and accelerating growth.
- BB's strong balance sheet, net cash of $232 million, and ongoing share buybacks enhance downside protection and capital allocation.
- I assign BB a 'buy' rating, targeting 35% upside to $11.5 by FY27, underpinned by robotics expansion and premium justified by growth prospects.
positive 2026-04-25 · KTW Advisory
BlackBerry: The Turnaround Is Here (Rating Upgrade)
- BlackBerry is upgraded to Buy as operational turnaround accelerates, driven by record Q4 earnings, Nvidia partnership, and surging IoT revenues.
- BB achieved its eighth consecutive quarter of positive GAAP net income, with IoT revenue up 20% YoY and a $950M royalty backlog.
- Clearing the $5.04 share price triggers forced debt conversion, eliminating $200M in convertible debt and strengthening the balance sheet.
- Secure Comms and patent/licensing deals add upside, with full-year Secure Comms guidance raised and potential cash windfalls from Malikie and Arctic Wolf.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $11.01 | 75.58 | 46.52 | 69.78 |