전체 #17 · shadow_watch
COHU · Cohu, Inc.
Semiconductor Materials & Equipment · Opportunity 70.53, Risk 43.72, Confidence 84.07, Research Rank 64.27; 현재 선정 경계 64.72 미만
Research Rank
64.27
Opportunity
70.53
Risk
43.72
Evidence Confidence
84.07
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$46.10
전일
-3.96%
52주 위치
60일 변동성
99.03%
동종 39종목 대비 위치
마커는 이 종목, 세로 눈금은 전체 평균입니다.
기회이 종목 70.53
최하 46.95평균 67.34최상 84.31
위험이 종목 43.72 · 낮을수록 유리
최하 20.99평균 42.85최상 64.40
신뢰이 종목 84.07
최하 79.34평균 83.46최상 85.42
Research Rank이 종목 64.27
최하 47.49평균 62.36최상 75.32
감성이 종목 54.17
최하 47.33평균 51.29최상 55.33
SA 의견·팩터 등급
의견 · 등급 (1~5)
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수 | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | — | 4.84 | — |
| sa analyst | 강력 매수 | 4.50 | 2 |
| wall street | 강력 매수 | 4.87 | 8 |
팩터 등급 추이
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | D | D+ | B |
| growth | A+ | A+ | A+ |
| profitability | C | C | C- |
| momentum | A- | A | A- |
| revisions | B+ | B- | D- |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | — | 25% | — |
| business quality | — | 20% | — |
| valuation | — | 15% | — |
| price trend | 51.13 | 15% | 7.67 |
| analyst opinion | 93.42 | 12% | 11.21 |
| news sentiment | 54.17 | 8% | 4.33 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 68.75 | 30% | 20.62 |
| expectation valuation | — | 25% | — |
| profitability cashflow | — | 20% | — |
| negative events | 20.00 | 15% | 3.00 |
| opinion data instability | 4.20 | 10% | 0.42 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Dec 2026 | 0.95 | — | 0.81 | 1.13 | 8 |
| EPS · Dec 2027 | 1.85 | 94.34% | 1.45 | 2.28 | 8 |
| EPS · Dec 2028 | 2.56 | 38.39% | 2.15 | 2.94 | 6 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2026 | 612.49M | 35.22% | 610.22M | 615.20M | 8 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2027 | 769.83M | 25.69% | 725.20M | 800.00M | 8 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2028 | 884.55M | 14.90% | 794.50M | 970.97M | 5 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 0.26 | 0.14 | +87.39% |
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.01 | 0.03 | -68.18% |
| EPS · FY2025Q4 | -0.15 | 0.06 | -341.94% |
| EPS · FY2025Q3 | -0.06 | -0.20 | +69.70% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 149.00M | 144.08M | +3.42% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 125.12M | 122.14M | +2.44% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q4 | 122.23M | 122.09M | +0.11% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q3 | 126.25M | 124.98M | +1.01% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / EBITDA (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Price / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| Revenue Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EBITDA Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Net Income Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Return on Common Equity (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Cash From Operations (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 54.17; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-07-16 · The Curious Analyst
코후, 주목받지 못한 AI 테스트 투자 기회
- I rate Cohu a Strong Buy with an $83 price target, reflecting 57% upside from current levels.
- COHU is expanding into AI processor testing, high-bandwidth memory inspection, power management, and analytics, targeting a $1.6B serviceable market.
- Eclipse, Neon, Diamondx, PAICe software, and improving utilization could add about $1.05 of incremental EPS and lift my 2027 non-GAAP EPS estimate to $1.63.
- I arrive at my price target by applying the 5-year FWD non-GAAP P/E multiple of 51x to my 2027 estimated EPS of $1.63.
- The key risks are pipeline conversion, semiconductor cyclicality, and multiple compression.
neutral 2026-07-04 · Value Sights
Cohu: AI 테스트 노출이 여전히 실적을 끌어올릴 수 있다
- I rate Cohu a buy, as its AI/HPC pipeline and recurring revenue base are underappreciated in current earnings.
- COHU's products address the increasing complexity of AI and high-performance computing chip testing, positioning it for significant revenue growth.
- Management targets $600–800M revenue, 48–50% gross margin, and $1.50–$3.25 non-GAAP EPS mid-term, with upside if the AI/HPC funnel converts.
- Key risks include delayed conversion of the $600–700M AI/HPC opportunity and margin headwinds from ongoing investments.
positive 2026-05-02 · MarketGyrations
Cohu: 밸류에이션 상승에 비해 이익 성장 속도가 뒤처진다
- The stock has surged higher in 2026 after being in a downtrend, but valuations have arguably gotten too high relative to earnings growth.
- The latest report showed several good things, which include an upgraded FY2026 outlook and strong gains in the top and the bottom line.
- The latest report also showed earnings are not growing fast enough to meet the current financial model or current elevated valuations.
- COHU looks too expensive for the earnings growth it offers, which is why I am neutral on COHU with a hold rating.
neutral 2026-02-16 · Individual Trader
Cohu: 4분기 실적 발표 이후 약세 입장 유지
- Cohu, Inc. remains under a bearish rating due to persistent operating losses, fresh convertible debt, and unfavorable technical signals.
- Despite a 34% spike in recurring bookings and 60% recurring revenue in Q4, COHU reported negative earnings and missed consensus bottom-line estimates.
- Operating margins remain unimproved despite 12%+ revenue growth, with gross margin pressured by one-time inventory charges and high SG&A costs.
- Recent $290M convertible debt raises dilution and downside risk, while long-term technicals confirm COHU remains in a bear market.
neutral 2025-09-25 · The Value Investor
Cohu: 꼼꼼히 살펴본 결과, 내 기준을 통과하지 못하다
- Cohu continues to struggle with revenue stagnation and lack of profitability, underperforming the broader semiconductor industry despite modest recent growth.
- Cohu trades at lower sales multiples, reflecting diminished expectations, while execution and margin improvement remain critical for future upside.
- Recent results show some sequential revenue growth and new orders, but losses persist, and long-term targets have been revised downward.
- While shares are cheaper and some green shoots are visible, conviction remains low due to a mixed track record and uncertain earnings outlook.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $55.78 | 71.51 | 39.96 | 68.39 |
| 2026-07-16 | $55.78 | 71.21 | 40.43 | 68.05 |
| 2026-07-17 | $51.51 | 70.22 | 39.70 | 67.50 |
| 2026-07-20 | $51.19 | 70.94 | 38.74 | 68.27 |
| 2026-07-21 | $51.55 | 70.70 | 38.64 | 68.12 |
| 2026-07-22 | $56.22 | 71.65 | 37.30 | 66.32 |
| 2026-07-23 | $55.01 | 73.53 | 37.03 | 67.56 |
| 2026-07-24 | $54.51 | 73.67 | 37.01 | 67.66 |
| 2026-07-27 | $50.70 | 72.34 | 37.35 | 66.74 |
| 2026-07-28 | $47.81 | 70.97 | 38.88 | 65.56 |
| 2026-07-29 | $42.47 | 64.17 | 41.89 | 60.64 |
| 2026-07-30 | $39.34 | 61.74 | 43.63 | 58.74 |
| 2026-07-31 | $46.45 | 64.13 | 44.47 | 60.07 |
| 2026-08-03 | $47.99 | 67.35 | 43.54 | 62.29 |
| 2026-08-04 | $48.84 | 70.92 | 43.42 | 64.58 |
| 2026-08-05 | $52.84 | 76.56 | 43.64 | 68.09 |
| 2026-08-06 | $51.73 | 77.63 | 43.58 | 68.77 |
| 2026-08-07 | $51.79 | 77.77 | 43.50 | 68.87 |
| 2026-08-10 | $52.88 | 77.48 | 43.44 | 68.70 |
| 2026-08-11 | $49.47 | 70.61 | 43.69 | 64.32 |
| 2026-08-12 | $52.82 | 76.88 | 43.89 | 68.23 |
| 2026-08-18 | $62.62 | 81.89 | 43.82 | 71.40 |
| 2026-08-19 | $59.22 | 80.69 | 44.03 | 70.61 |
| 2026-08-20 | $55.19 | 77.99 | 44.36 | 68.83 |
| 2026-08-21 | $54.11 | 77.55 | 44.09 | 68.61 |
| 2026-08-24 | $54.37 | 77.30 | 43.54 | 68.57 |
| 2026-09-01 | $46.10 | 70.53 | 43.72 | 64.27 |