전체 #29 · shadow_watch
CRSR · Corsair Gaming, Inc.
Technology Hardware, Storage and Peripherals · Opportunity 69.79, Risk 41.19, Confidence 98.65, Research Rank 66.81; 현재 선정 경계 71.55 미만
Research Rank
66.81
Opportunity
69.79
Risk
41.19
Evidence Confidence
98.65
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$9.65
전일
1.90%
52주 위치
59.98%
60일 변동성
86.76%
SA 의견·팩터 등급
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수(1~5) | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | Buy | 3.80 | — |
| sa analyst | HOLD | 2.50 | 2 |
| wall street | BUY | 3.62 | 8 |
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | B+ | B+ | A |
| growth | C- | C- | D |
| profitability | C- | C- | C- |
| momentum | B+ | C+ | D- |
| revisions | C | B- | D |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | 62.50 | 25% | 15.62 |
| business quality | 62.87 | 20% | 12.57 |
| valuation | 89.51 | 15% | 13.43 |
| price trend | 80.48 | 15% | 12.07 |
| analyst opinion | 57.64 | 12% | 6.92 |
| news sentiment | 52.17 | 8% | 4.17 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 66.25 | 30% | 19.87 |
| expectation valuation | 34.39 | 25% | 8.60 |
| profitability cashflow | 32.39 | 20% | 6.48 |
| negative events | 32.00 | 15% | 4.80 |
| opinion data instability | 14.35 | 10% | 1.44 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Dec 2026 | 0.71 | 14.99% | 0.67 | 0.80 | 8 |
| EPS · Dec 2027 | 0.77 | 7.63% | 0.72 | 0.84 | 8 |
| EPS · Dec 2028 | 0.80 | 3.93% | 0.71 | 0.93 | 3 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2026 | 1.43B | -3.18% | 1.40B | 1.45B | 7 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2027 | 1.51B | 6.20% | 1.46B | 1.58B | 7 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2028 | 1.64B | 8.50% | 1.60B | 1.69B | 4 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.27 | 0.18 | +46.22% |
| EPS · FY2025Q4 | 0.43 | 0.27 | +57.68% |
| EPS · FY2025Q3 | 0.06 | 0.09 | -29.92% |
| EPS · FY2025Q2 | 0.01 | 0.02 | -55.06% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 354512000.00 | 352297900.00 | +0.63% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q4 | 436855000.00 | 421999740.00 | +3.52% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q3 | 345763000.00 | 354041460.00 | -2.34% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q2 | 320112000.00 | 305666020.00 | +4.73% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (TTM) | 12.30 | 26.12 | -52.91% | A- |
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | 13.28 | 24.75 | -46.34% | A- |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (TTM) | 106.46 | 35.16 | 202.80% | D |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (FWD) | 72.85 | 33.20 | 119.40% | D |
| valuation | PEG GAAP (TTM) | NM | 0.89 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | - | 1.35 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | EV / Sales (TTM) | 0.75 | 3.78 | -80.11% | A |
| valuation | EV / Sales (FWD) | 0.77 | 3.50 | -78.04% | A |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (TTM) | 14.93 | 19.53 | -23.54% | B |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (FWD) | 9.94 | 14.72 | -32.48% | B+ |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (TTM) | 57.83 | 28.14 | 105.51% | D+ |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (FWD) | 11.57 | 19.40 | -40.37% | B+ |
| valuation | Price / Sales (TTM) | 0.69 | 3.68 | -81.19% | A |
| valuation | Price / Sales (FWD) | 0.71 | 3.37 | -78.93% | A |
| valuation | Price / Book (TTM) | 1.56 | 4.06 | -61.48% | A- |
| valuation | Price / Book (FWD) | 1.51 | 4.69 | -67.85% | A |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (TTM) | 16.57 | 19.21 | -13.74% | B- |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (FWD) | 51.84 | 18.88 | 174.61% | D |
| valuation | Dividend Yield (TTM) | - | 1.15% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | 8.03% | 11.36% | -29.26% | C |
| growth | Revenue Growth (FWD) | 4.77% | 11.99% | -60.19% | D |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (YoY) | 310.75% | 14.90% | 1,985.13% | A+ |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (FWD) | 28.94% | 18.71% | 54.70% | B |
| growth | EBIT Growth (YoY) | NM | 17.19% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EBIT Growth (FWD) | 30.97% | 20.77% | 49.08% | B |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (YoY) | NM | 17.08% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | NM | 17.54% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (YoY) | NM | 12.73% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (FWD) | NM | 17.58% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS FWD Long Term Growth (3-5Y CAGR) | - | 18.92% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Levered FCF Growth (YoY) | -18.15% | 8.54% | NM | D+ |
| growth | Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth Rate (FWD) | 36.92% | 17.43% | 111.76% | B+ |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (YoY) | -24.52% | 15.41% | NM | D- |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | 32.96% | 17.12% | 92.49% | B+ |
| growth | ROE Growth (YoY) | NM | 3.24% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | ROE Growth (FWD) | NM | 5.62% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Working Capital Growth (YoY) | 18.08% | 8.14% | 122.20% | B- |
| growth | CAPEX Growth (YoY) | 53.55% | 13.92% | 284.71% | B+ |
| growth | Dividend Per Share Growth (FWD) | NM | 5.93% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | 1 Year Dividend Growth Rate (TTM) | - | 4.83% | - | NOT COVERED |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | 30.21% | 49.88% | -39.43% | D |
| profitability | EBIT Margin (TTM) | 1.30% | 7.61% | -82.93% | C- |
| profitability | EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 5.03% | 12.07% | -58.32% | C- |
| profitability | Net Income Margin (TTM) | 0.49% | 6.07% | -92.00% | C- |
| profitability | Levered FCF Margin (TTM) | 4.09% | 10.88% | -62.37% | C- |
| profitability | Return on Common Equity (TTM) | 1.51% | 7.52% | -79.96% | C |
| profitability | Return on Total Capital (TTM) | 1.40% | 4.63% | -69.69% | C |
| profitability | Return on Total Assets (TTM) | 0.60% | 3.32% | -81.88% | C |
| profitability | CAPEX / Sales (TTM) | 1.10% | 2.35% | -53.38% | C- |
| profitability | Asset Turnover Ratio (TTM) | 1.21x | 0.63x | 91.62% | A |
| profitability | Cash From Operations (TTM) | 61.10M | 149.24M | -59.06% | C |
| profitability | Cash Per Share (TTM) | 1.11 | 2.34 | -52.74% | C- |
| profitability | Net Income Per Employee (TTM) | 3,008.07 | 14.03K | -78.55% | C |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 52.17; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
neutral 2026-05-08 ·
Corsair forecasts Q2 2026 revenue $295M-$320M with non-GAAP EPS $0.05-$0.07 while reaffirming full-year guidance
positive 2026-05-07 ·
Corsair Gaming Non-GAAP EPS of $0.27 beats by $0.09, revenue of $354.5M beats by $2.2M
neutral 2026-02-13 ·
Corsair outlines $1.33B–$1.47B revenue target for 2026 as company strengthens platform strategy and margin expansion
positive 2026-02-12 ·
Corsair Gaming Non-GAAP EPS of $0.43 beats by $0.16, revenue of $436.9M beats by $14.9M
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
negative 2026-07-09 · IWA Research
Corsair Gaming: Time To Take Profits (Double Downgrade)
- Corsair Gaming is downgraded to Sell as valuation offers little margin of safety amid persistent macro headwinds.
- Despite a strong Q1 with gross profit up 13% and Adj. EBITDA is up 58% YoY; CRSR faces ongoing consumer and memory market pressures.
- Management reaffirmed 2026 guidance, but forecasts hint at an 11.3% global PC shipment decline in FY26, compounding risk.
- Intrinsic value is estimated at $7.43/share, below the current price, suggesting the stock is overvalued given sector challenges.
negative 2026-05-28 · Wolf Report
Corsair Gaming: Excellent Returns, Decision On Rotation (Rating Downgrade)
- Corsair Gaming, Inc. is now rated hold with a price target of $8.5/share, down from $9.5, due to recent valuation inflation.
- CRSR stock's rapid surge, driven by AI-related news and product updates, is seen as an overreaction not justified by fundamentals or near-term monetization.
- CRSR's pivot to B2B AI infrastructure is viewed as risky and potentially masking margin pressures in its core consumer peripherals business.
- Despite quality fundamentals, the current valuation reflects 3 years of upside in a month, making CRSR stock unattractive for new capital allocation.
positive 2026-04-17 · IWA Research
Corsair Gaming: The Hardware Upgrade Cycle Is Unavoidable Despite Near-Term Pressure
- Corsair Gaming remains a Buy, supported by robust fundamentals, strong Q4 results, and strategic positioning for the hardware replacement cycle.
- CRSR delivered 12% net revenue growth and 84% adjusted EBITDA growth, with a $50M buyback authorization, enhancing capital flexibility.
- Guidance for 2026 targets $1.33–$1.47B net revenue and $100–$115M adjusted EBITDA, with a focus on higher-margin categories and DTC expansion.
- Risks include consumer cyclicality, macro pressures from the Iran conflict, and ongoing supply chain constraints, but current valuation offers a solid margin of safety.
neutral 2026-02-13 · Wolf Report
Corsair Gaming: Reporting Day Gains Show Undervaluation For 2026E
- Corsair Gaming is reiterated as a speculative 'Buy' with a price target of $9.5/share and an updated fair value of $15/share.
- Recent results confirm my thesis: double-digit revenue and 30% gross profit growth, driven by DRAM segment strength and solid execution.
- Corsair's upside is supported by memory pricing trends, product innovation, and a $50M buyback, but volatility and competition remain material risks.
- I expect 20-30% annualized upside over a three-four-year horizon but emphasize the need for patience and risk tolerance given market dynamics.
neutral 2026-02-03 · IWA Research
Corsair Gaming: AI Memory Demand And Weak Consumer Environment Create Long-Term Opportunity
- Corsair Gaming is rated Buy, offering a compelling margin of safety amid cyclical and macro headwinds.
- CRSR's Q3 showed double-digit segment growth and triple-digit YoY Adjusted EPS and EBITDA gains, despite missing top- and bottom-line estimates.
- Memory shortages, AI-driven component supply chain shifts, and a weak consumer environment create near-term volatility but set up potential for pent-up demand recovery.
- A DCF-based intrinsic value of $7.02 per share suggests solid upside from current levels, with risks tied to consumer exposure and potential margin pressures.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $9.65 | 69.79 | 41.19 | 66.81 |