전체 #27 · shadow_watch
DIOD · Diodes Incorporated
Semiconductors · Opportunity 69.45, Risk 33.98, Confidence 94.60, Research Rank 67.59; 현재 선정 경계 71.55 미만
Research Rank
67.59
Opportunity
69.45
Risk
33.98
Evidence Confidence
94.60
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$95.13
전일
3.08%
52주 위치
63.13%
60일 변동성
71.85%
SA 의견·팩터 등급
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수(1~5) | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | Strong Buy | 4.69 | — |
| sa analyst | STRONG BUY | 5.00 | 1 |
| wall street | STRONG BUY | 5.00 | 2 |
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | B | C | B+ |
| growth | A- | B | F |
| profitability | C+ | C+ | B- |
| momentum | B+ | A | C+ |
| revisions | B+ | B- | C- |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | 62.50 | 25% | 15.62 |
| business quality | 65.62 | 20% | 13.12 |
| valuation | 78.91 | 15% | 11.84 |
| price trend | 52.91 | 15% | 7.94 |
| analyst opinion | 97.44 | 12% | 11.69 |
| news sentiment | 53.00 | 8% | 4.24 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 43.08 | 30% | 12.92 |
| expectation valuation | 42.87 | 25% | 10.72 |
| profitability cashflow | 31.86 | 20% | 6.37 |
| negative events | 24.00 | 15% | 3.60 |
| opinion data instability | 3.63 | 10% | 0.36 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Dec 2026 | 2.72 | 122.54% | 2.58 | 2.85 | 2 |
| EPS · Dec 2027 | 4.99 | 83.79% | 3.98 | 6.00 | 2 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2026 | 1.78B | 20.02% | 1.76B | 1.80B | 2 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2027 | 2.07B | 16.52% | 1.99B | 2.16B | 2 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.43 | 0.33 | +30.30% |
| EPS · FY2025Q4 | 0.34 | 0.27 | +24.39% |
| EPS · FY2025Q3 | 0.37 | 0.38 | -3.48% |
| EPS · FY2025Q2 | 0.32 | 0.25 | +29.73% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 405467000.00 | 395000000.00 | +2.65% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q4 | 391578000.00 | 380033330.00 | +3.04% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q3 | 392170000.00 | 392166670.00 | +0.00% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q2 | 366212000.00 | 352075000.00 | +4.02% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (TTM) | 63.21 | 26.12 | 142.03% | D |
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | 33.99 | 24.75 | 37.33% | C- |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (TTM) | 49.88 | 35.16 | 41.87% | C |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (FWD) | 36.33 | 33.20 | 9.44% | C+ |
| valuation | PEG GAAP (TTM) | 0.21 | 0.89 | -76.13% | A |
| valuation | PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | - | 1.35 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | EV / Sales (TTM) | 2.57 | 3.78 | -31.90% | B |
| valuation | EV / Sales (FWD) | 2.25 | 3.50 | -35.66% | B |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (TTM) | 20.20 | 19.53 | 3.43% | C+ |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (FWD) | - | 14.72 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (TTM) | 72.69 | 28.14 | 158.33% | D |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (FWD) | 27.95 | 19.40 | 44.10% | C- |
| valuation | Price / Sales (TTM) | 2.74 | 3.68 | -25.40% | B- |
| valuation | Price / Sales (FWD) | 2.38 | 3.37 | -29.26% | B- |
| valuation | Price / Book (TTM) | 2.24 | 4.06 | -44.69% | B |
| valuation | Price / Book (FWD) | - | 4.69 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (TTM) | 19.01 | 19.21 | -1.03% | C+ |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (FWD) | - | 18.88 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Dividend Yield (TTM) | - | 1.15% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | 15.97% | 11.36% | 40.59% | B |
| growth | Revenue Growth (FWD) | 16.49% | 11.99% | 37.60% | B |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (YoY) | 8.37% | 14.90% | -43.85% | C- |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (FWD) | - | 18.71% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EBIT Growth (YoY) | 23.44% | 17.19% | 36.38% | B- |
| growth | EBIT Growth (FWD) | 46.76% | 20.77% | 125.10% | A- |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (YoY) | 236.04% | 17.08% | 1,282.06% | A |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | 81.92% | 17.54% | 367.12% | A+ |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (YoY) | 50.53% | 12.73% | 296.84% | A- |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (FWD) | 81.92% | 17.58% | 366.04% | A |
| growth | EPS FWD Long Term Growth (3-5Y CAGR) | - | 18.92% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Levered FCF Growth (YoY) | -9.60% | 8.54% | NM | C- |
| growth | Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth Rate (FWD) | - | 17.43% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (YoY) | 7.60% | 15.41% | -50.65% | C- |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | 42.88% | 17.12% | 150.46% | A- |
| growth | ROE Growth (YoY) | 159.73% | 3.24% | 4,831.45% | A |
| growth | ROE Growth (FWD) | - | 5.62% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Working Capital Growth (YoY) | 2.69% | 8.14% | -66.98% | C |
| growth | CAPEX Growth (YoY) | 37.65% | 13.92% | 170.47% | B |
| growth | Dividend Per Share Growth (FWD) | - | 5.93% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | 1 Year Dividend Growth Rate (TTM) | - | 4.83% | - | NOT COVERED |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | 31.28% | 49.88% | -37.29% | D+ |
| profitability | EBIT Margin (TTM) | 3.54% | 7.61% | -53.49% | C |
| profitability | EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 12.74% | 12.07% | 5.51% | B- |
| profitability | Net Income Margin (TTM) | 5.50% | 6.07% | -9.45% | B- |
| profitability | Levered FCF Margin (TTM) | 9.35% | 10.88% | -14.10% | C+ |
| profitability | Return on Common Equity (TTM) | 4.64% | 7.52% | -38.35% | C+ |
| profitability | Return on Total Capital (TTM) | 1.71% | 4.63% | -62.97% | C |
| profitability | Return on Total Assets (TTM) | 3.42% | 3.32% | 3.15% | B- |
| profitability | CAPEX / Sales (TTM) | 6.07% | 2.35% | 158.00% | B+ |
| profitability | Asset Turnover Ratio (TTM) | 0.64x | 0.63x | 1.84% | B- |
| profitability | Cash From Operations (TTM) | 223.08M | 149.24M | 49.48% | B |
| profitability | Cash Per Share (TTM) | 8.58 | 2.34 | 266.74% | A- |
| profitability | Net Income Per Employee (TTM) | 10.71K | 14.03K | -23.66% | C+ |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 53.00; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
neutral 2026-05-07 ·
Diodes expects Q2 revenue of about $435M and non-GAAP EPS of $0.60, driven by automotive, industrial and AI server demand
positive 2026-05-07 ·
Diodes Non-GAAP EPS of $0.43 beats by $0.10, revenue of $405.5M beats by $10.5M
neutral 2026-02-11 ·
Diodes surges more than 25% on Q4 results, outlook; introduces 3-year financial targets
positive 2026-02-10 ·
Diodes Non-GAAP EPS of $0.34 beats by $0.07, revenue of $391.58M beats by $11.55M
positive 2025-11-07 ·
Diodes projects 12% full-year growth amid healthy inventory and AI-driven demand
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-06-18 · Given Mahlangu
Diodes Incorporated: My Best Pick For The Semis Rally
- Diodes Incorporated is rated a strong buy, with organic growth from European market share gains and robust demand for power management ICs.
- DIOD’s Q1 2026 revenue grew 22% to $405.47M, led by automotive and industrial segments, and consistently beats topline and bottom-line estimates.
- Despite sector-leading growth expectations, DIOD trades at a 3.4x sales multiple, slightly below the sector, offering 10% upside and favorable risk/reward.
- Execution risk in internal fab utilization and heavy Asian revenue concentration remain key risks, but inventory turnover and OEM requalification trends support secular growth.
neutral 2026-04-14 · MarketGyrations
Diodes Incorporated: Why The Rally Is Overdone
- Diodes has staged a turnaround in 2026, with the stock rallying higher after a slump in H2 2025, but it is arguably better not to take part in the rally.
- Most of the gains came after DIOD set impressive targets for the next three years, but there are a couple of issues here worth keeping in perspective.
- DIOD seems to be benefiting from problems at Nexperia, but recent developments suggest this tailwind could become a headwind in the future.
- The stock looks overvalued and risky after rallying so much, which is why I am neutral on DIOD with a hold rating.
neutral 2025-12-25 · MarketGyrations
Diodes Incorporated: How Nexperia Could Shape The Path Ahead
- DIOD returned to growth in FY2025, and it is widely expected to continue to improve in FY2026 for multiple reasons.
- While DIOD made gains, it also suffered setbacks in terms of margins and thus earnings, but DIOD believes it has a solution to the problem.
- Problems at Nexperia are perceived to be a boost for DIOD, but the exact consequences have yet to be determined, especially in the long run.
- DIOD may fall short of expectations in 2026, and beyond, which is why I am neutral on DIOD with a hold rating.
positive 2025-10-06 · Myriam Alvarez
Diodes: Semiconductors For AI And Automotive Growth
- Diodes is an analog/mixed-signal supplier. It’s relatively diversified across applications, though concentrated in Asia.
- Asia accounts for the majority of its revenues, while Europe and the Americas provide strategic auto and cloud exposure.
- Its main applications are in automotive and industrial. But growth verticals are in EV, ADAS, automation, and clean-energy adoption going forward.
- AI-related computing and consumer products could further ramp up and act as growth legs across servers, data centers, gaming, notebooks, and devices.
- This is why I feel DIOD’s cheap valuation multiples don’t do justice to its promising prospects, despite the inherent macro risks, which are mostly related to China.
neutral 2024-02-10 · Khaveen Investments
Diodes Incorporated: Recovery In 2024
- Diodes Incorporated's revenue declined by 16.9% in 2023, but it has strong growth potential in the automotive and computing segments.
- The company's market share in the DAO market has been stable, indicating a strong market position.
- Diodes Incorporated's product developments focus on power semiconductors and the automotive segment, supporting long-term growth.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $95.13 | 69.45 | 33.98 | 67.59 |