전체 #26 · shadow_watch
EXTR · Extreme Networks, Inc.
Communications Equipment · Opportunity 58.86, Risk 35.00, Confidence 84.07, Research Rank 58.74; 현재 선정 경계 64.72 미만
Research Rank
58.74
Opportunity
58.86
Risk
35.00
Evidence Confidence
84.07
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$22.49
전일
-0.40%
52주 위치
60일 변동성
65.86%
동종 39종목 대비 위치
마커는 이 종목, 세로 눈금은 전체 평균입니다.
기회이 종목 58.86
최하 46.95평균 67.34최상 84.31
위험이 종목 35.00 · 낮을수록 유리
최하 20.99평균 42.85최상 64.40
신뢰이 종목 84.07
최하 79.34평균 83.46최상 85.42
Research Rank이 종목 58.74
최하 47.49평균 62.36최상 75.32
감성이 종목 50.67
최하 47.33평균 51.29최상 55.33
SA 의견·팩터 등급
의견 · 등급 (1~5)
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수 | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | — | 3.03 | — |
| sa analyst | 보유 | 3.00 | 3 |
| wall street | 강력 매수 | 4.62 | 8 |
팩터 등급 추이
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | C+ | C- | B- |
| growth | C | B+ | B+ |
| profitability | B- | B- | B- |
| momentum | B | B+ | C- |
| revisions | C | B+ | B- |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | — | 25% | — |
| business quality | — | 20% | — |
| valuation | — | 15% | — |
| price trend | 45.62 | 15% | 6.84 |
| analyst opinion | 63.73 | 12% | 7.65 |
| news sentiment | 50.67 | 8% | 4.05 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 47.85 | 30% | 14.35 |
| expectation valuation | — | 25% | — |
| profitability cashflow | — | 20% | — |
| negative events | 20.00 | 15% | 3.00 |
| opinion data instability | 18.93 | 10% | 1.89 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Jun 2027 | 1.31 | 23.12% | 1.28 | 1.36 | 8 |
| EPS · Jun 2028 | 1.52 | 16.49% | 1.46 | 1.58 | 7 |
| EPS · Jun 2029 | 1.72 | 12.92% | 1.63 | 1.80 | 2 |
| REVENUE · Jun 2027 | 1.39B | 8.65% | 1.38B | 1.43B | 8 |
| REVENUE · Jun 2028 | 1.52B | 9.19% | 1.49B | 1.59B | 7 |
| REVENUE · Jun 2029 | 1.70B | 11.52% | 1.63B | 1.76B | 2 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q4 | 0.32 | 0.29 | +10.36% |
| EPS · FY2026Q3 | 0.26 | 0.24 | +9.57% |
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 0.26 | 0.24 | +7.90% |
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.22 | 0.21 | +2.56% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q4 | 338.55M | 332.46M | +1.83% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q3 | 316.87M | 311.48M | +1.73% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 317.93M | 312.33M | +1.79% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 310.25M | 295.72M | +4.91% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / EBITDA (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Price / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| Revenue Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EBITDA Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Net Income Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Return on Common Equity (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Cash From Operations (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 50.67; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-08-07 · Gytis Zizys
익스트림 네트웍스 4분기: 세부 내용은 양호하지만 조정 후에도 여전히 고평가
- Extreme Networks delivered solid FY26 results, with 12.6% revenue growth and strong product momentum, but shares fell over 25% post-earnings.
- Despite decelerating growth and investor disappointment, EXTR's guidance for next year was in line with or above consensus, suggesting the sell-off may be overdone.
- The transition to the Platform ONE subscription is ongoing, with SaaS ARR up 17.7%, and long-term margin expansion is expected as recurring revenues increase.
- I maintain a 'Hold' rating, targeting entry below $20, as the recent pullback brings EXTR closer to its intrinsic value based on conservative DCF assumptions.
neutral 2026-07-09 · The Insiders Forum
Extreme Networks, 주가 과매수 구간 진입
- Extreme Networks has surged after solid Q3 results and guidance, with shares doubling since early April.
- EXTR posted its fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit sales growth, highlighted by 29% SaaS ARR growth and record large-customer wins.
- Despite positive analyst sentiment, EXTR now trades at ~30x forward earnings with a 2.7% free cash flow yield, below the risk-free rate.
- Notable insider selling and shares trading above some bullish analyst targets suggest near-term profit taking may be warranted.
- An updated analysis around Extreme Networks follows in the paragraphs below.
neutral 2026-04-30 · Gytis Zizys
Extreme Networks 3분기 실적 리뷰: 역대급 실적, 보유 유지
- Extreme Networks delivered a double beat in Q3 '26, with revenues up 11.2% to $316.9M and EPS of $0.26.
- SaaS ARR accelerated to 29% y/y, with Extreme Platform One adoption driving recurring revenues to 36% of total; EMEA revenue surged 43%.
- Gross margins remained stable at 61.7% GAAP, while operating margins improved; the Wi-Fi 7 refresh cycle and Platform One adoption are key forward growth drivers.
- Despite strong results and a 28% stock surge, I remain cautious on chasing the rally, preferring to monitor sustainability of momentum before adding.
neutral 2026-01-15 · Gytis Zizys
Extreme Networks: 루커스 인수가 현실화된다면 대규모 거래가 될 것
- Extreme Networks, Inc. is showing early signs of a turnaround, returning to profitability with normalized sales growth and improved operating margins.
- EXTR’s SaaS-focused strategy and recurring revenue mix are driving margin expansion, with SaaS ARR growth expected in the low 20% range for 2026.
- Management guides for Q2 sales of $309M–$315M, gross margins of 61.4%–62%, and adjusted EPS of $0.23–$0.25, highlighting 2026 as an inflection point.
- A potential $1B Ruckus acquisition could accelerate SaaS ambitions, but would require shareholder dilution and increased leverage, introducing integration and execution risks.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $33.02 | 82.54 | 36.81 | 77.33 |
| 2026-07-16 | $33.02 | 82.48 | 36.89 | 77.26 |
| 2026-07-17 | $29.76 | 80.06 | 36.88 | 75.48 |
| 2026-07-20 | $30.34 | 80.22 | 36.93 | 75.58 |
| 2026-07-21 | $30.28 | 80.36 | 36.67 | 75.75 |
| 2026-07-22 | $30.44 | 71.89 | 38.40 | 66.24 |
| 2026-07-23 | $30.27 | 72.30 | 38.38 | 66.50 |
| 2026-07-24 | $29.73 | 72.07 | 38.43 | 66.35 |
| 2026-07-27 | $29.49 | 72.02 | 38.38 | 66.33 |
| 2026-07-28 | $29.95 | 72.57 | 33.04 | 67.80 |
| 2026-07-29 | $29.99 | 71.99 | 32.97 | 67.44 |
| 2026-07-30 | $29.07 | 71.61 | 33.13 | 67.17 |
| 2026-07-31 | $29.84 | 70.35 | 34.09 | 66.17 |
| 2026-08-03 | $30.14 | 70.88 | 33.97 | 66.54 |
| 2026-08-04 | $29.98 | 69.01 | 33.14 | 65.53 |
| 2026-08-05 | $32.34 | 73.42 | 33.67 | 68.20 |
| 2026-08-06 | $26.19 | 66.07 | 37.87 | 62.68 |
| 2026-08-07 | $24.32 | 58.10 | 38.26 | 57.58 |
| 2026-08-10 | $23.97 | 58.58 | 37.11 | 58.12 |
| 2026-08-11 | $23.54 | 57.87 | 37.14 | 57.66 |
| 2026-08-12 | $23.90 | 57.84 | 36.63 | 57.75 |
| 2026-08-18 | $24.28 | 60.85 | 35.95 | 59.79 |
| 2026-08-19 | $23.75 | 60.59 | 35.97 | 59.63 |
| 2026-08-20 | $22.79 | 59.95 | 35.63 | 59.29 |
| 2026-08-21 | $22.32 | 59.57 | 35.42 | 59.10 |
| 2026-08-24 | $23.02 | 60.35 | 35.50 | 59.57 |
| 2026-09-01 | $22.49 | 58.86 | 35.00 | 58.74 |