전체 #2 · selected
EXTR · Extreme Networks, Inc.
Communications Equipment · Opportunity 82.54, Risk 36.81, Confidence 98.65, Research Rank 77.33; 상위 10 및 업종 다양성 통과
Research Rank
77.33
Opportunity
82.54
Risk
36.81
Evidence Confidence
98.65
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$33.02
전일
0.33%
52주 위치
96.49%
60일 변동성
72.78%
SA 의견·팩터 등급
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수(1~5) | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | Strong Buy | 4.93 | — |
| sa analyst | HOLD | 2.50 | 2 |
| wall street | STRONG BUY | 4.62 | 8 |
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | D+ | C- | C |
| growth | B | B+ | B+ |
| profitability | B- | B- | C+ |
| momentum | A | B | C- |
| revisions | A | C+ | D |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | 100.00 | 25% | 25.00 |
| business quality | 78.72 | 20% | 15.74 |
| valuation | 70.78 | 15% | 10.62 |
| price trend | 85.43 | 15% | 12.81 |
| analyst opinion | 75.41 | 12% | 9.05 |
| news sentiment | 54.00 | 8% | 4.32 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 51.31 | 30% | 15.39 |
| expectation valuation | 49.38 | 25% | 12.35 |
| profitability cashflow | 16.84 | 20% | 3.37 |
| negative events | 20.00 | 15% | 3.00 |
| opinion data instability | 26.99 | 10% | 2.70 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Jun 2026 | 1.03 | 22.92% | 1.02 | 1.05 | 8 |
| EPS · Jun 2027 | 1.31 | 26.55% | 1.23 | 1.40 | 8 |
| EPS · Jun 2028 | 1.47 | 12.87% | 1.37 | 1.56 | 3 |
| REVENUE · Jun 2026 | 1.28B | 12.06% | 1.28B | 1.28B | 8 |
| REVENUE · Jun 2027 | 1.39B | 8.59% | 1.37B | 1.43B | 8 |
| REVENUE · Jun 2028 | 1.52B | 9.22% | 1.46B | 1.59B | 3 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q3 | 0.26 | 0.24 | +9.57% |
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 0.26 | 0.24 | +7.90% |
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.22 | 0.21 | +2.56% |
| EPS · FY2025Q4 | 0.25 | 0.22 | +12.83% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q3 | 316874000.00 | 311478510.00 | +1.73% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 317925000.00 | 312325060.00 | +1.79% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 310245000.00 | 295723640.00 | +4.91% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q4 | 307003000.00 | 299878390.00 | +2.38% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (TTM) | 33.24 | 26.12 | 27.28% | C |
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | 31.87 | 24.75 | 28.76% | C- |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (TTM) | 273.80 | 35.16 | 678.77% | F |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (FWD) | 132.99 | 33.20 | 300.55% | D- |
| valuation | PEG GAAP (TTM) | NM | 0.89 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | 1.60 | 1.35 | 18.13% | C |
| valuation | EV / Sales (TTM) | 3.46 | 3.78 | -8.49% | C+ |
| valuation | EV / Sales (FWD) | 3.39 | 3.50 | -3.10% | C+ |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (TTM) | 46.08 | 19.53 | 135.92% | D |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (FWD) | 20.66 | 14.72 | 40.37% | C- |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (TTM) | 57.63 | 28.14 | 104.78% | D+ |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (FWD) | 22.81 | 19.40 | 17.59% | C |
| valuation | Price / Sales (TTM) | 3.50 | 3.68 | -4.80% | C+ |
| valuation | Price / Sales (FWD) | 3.37 | 3.37 | -0.02% | C+ |
| valuation | Price / Book (TTM) | 55.23 | 4.06 | 1,261.18% | F |
| valuation | Price / Book (FWD) | 44.20 | 4.69 | 843.23% | F |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (TTM) | 32.54 | 19.21 | 69.43% | C- |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (FWD) | 47.47 | 18.88 | 151.44% | D |
| valuation | Dividend Yield (TTM) | - | 1.15% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | 14.90% | 11.36% | 31.16% | B- |
| growth | Revenue Growth (FWD) | 7.48% | 11.99% | -37.56% | C- |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (YoY) | 686.11% | 14.90% | 4,503.82% | A+ |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (FWD) | 40.18% | 18.71% | 114.83% | A- |
| growth | EBIT Growth (YoY) | NM | 17.19% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EBIT Growth (FWD) | 50.56% | 20.77% | 143.40% | A- |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (YoY) | NM | 17.08% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | 59.83% | 17.54% | 241.16% | A |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (YoY) | NM | 12.73% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (FWD) | NM | 17.58% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS FWD Long Term Growth (3-5Y CAGR) | 19.98% | 18.92% | 5.61% | C+ |
| growth | Levered FCF Growth (YoY) | 19.53% | 8.54% | 128.76% | B- |
| growth | Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth Rate (FWD) | 63.91% | 17.43% | 266.59% | A |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (YoY) | 54.56% | 15.41% | 254.13% | A- |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | - | 17.12% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | ROE Growth (YoY) | NM | 3.24% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | ROE Growth (FWD) | 19.63% | 5.62% | 249.65% | B+ |
| growth | Working Capital Growth (YoY) | NM | 8.14% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | CAPEX Growth (YoY) | 19.75% | 13.92% | 41.85% | B- |
| growth | Dividend Per Share Growth (FWD) | NM | 5.93% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | 1 Year Dividend Growth Rate (TTM) | - | 4.83% | - | NOT COVERED |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | 61.32% | 49.88% | 22.94% | B |
| profitability | EBIT Margin (TTM) | 6.00% | 7.61% | -21.15% | C+ |
| profitability | EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 7.50% | 12.07% | -37.83% | C |
| profitability | Net Income Margin (TTM) | 1.30% | 6.07% | -78.60% | C |
| profitability | Levered FCF Margin (TTM) | 9.96% | 10.88% | -8.42% | C+ |
| profitability | Return on Common Equity (TTM) | 21.60% | 7.52% | 187.29% | A- |
| profitability | Return on Total Capital (TTM) | 15.30% | 4.63% | 230.83% | A |
| profitability | Return on Total Assets (TTM) | 1.39% | 3.32% | -58.11% | C+ |
| profitability | CAPEX / Sales (TTM) | 2.16% | 2.35% | -8.24% | C+ |
| profitability | Asset Turnover Ratio (TTM) | 1.12x | 0.63x | 77.39% | A |
| profitability | Cash From Operations (TTM) | 132.27M | 149.24M | -11.37% | B- |
| profitability | Cash Per Share (TTM) | 1.59 | 2.34 | -32.21% | C |
| profitability | Net Income Per Employee (TTM) | 5,789.40 | 14.03K | -58.72% | C+ |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 54.00; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
neutral 2026-07-14 ·
Arista, Celestica, Extreme, Lumentum in focus as UBS previews data center demand
neutral 2026-06-15 ·
Quant rating check: Top communication equipment peers as CMTL-GILT merger reshapes sector valuations
neutral 2026-04-29 ·
Extreme Networks forecasts Q4 revenue of $330M-$335M and EPS of $0.28-$0.30 as it points to supply stability through fiscal '27
positive 2026-04-29 ·
Extreme Networks Non-GAAP EPS of $0.26 beats by $0.02, revenue of $316.9M beats by $5.42M
positive 2026-01-28 ·
Extreme Networks projects 11% revenue growth for fiscal 2026 while advancing AI-driven platform and market share gains
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-07-09 · The Insiders Forum
Extreme Networks Has Moved Into Overbought Territory
- Extreme Networks has surged after solid Q3 results and guidance, with shares doubling since early April.
- EXTR posted its fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit sales growth, highlighted by 29% SaaS ARR growth and record large-customer wins.
- Despite positive analyst sentiment, EXTR now trades at ~30x forward earnings with a 2.7% free cash flow yield, below the risk-free rate.
- Notable insider selling and shares trading above some bullish analyst targets suggest near-term profit taking may be warranted.
- An updated analysis around Extreme Networks follows in the paragraphs below.
neutral 2026-04-30 · Gytis Zizys
Extreme Networks Q3 Earnings Review: A Blowout Quarter, Keep Holding
- Extreme Networks delivered a double beat in Q3 '26, with revenues up 11.2% to $316.9M and EPS of $0.26.
- SaaS ARR accelerated to 29% y/y, with Extreme Platform One adoption driving recurring revenues to 36% of total; EMEA revenue surged 43%.
- Gross margins remained stable at 61.7% GAAP, while operating margins improved; the Wi-Fi 7 refresh cycle and Platform One adoption are key forward growth drivers.
- Despite strong results and a 28% stock surge, I remain cautious on chasing the rally, preferring to monitor sustainability of momentum before adding.
neutral 2026-01-15 · Gytis Zizys
Extreme Networks: Ruckus Acquisition Would Be Massive, If It's True
- Extreme Networks, Inc. is showing early signs of a turnaround, returning to profitability with normalized sales growth and improved operating margins.
- EXTR’s SaaS-focused strategy and recurring revenue mix are driving margin expansion, with SaaS ARR growth expected in the low 20% range for 2026.
- Management guides for Q2 sales of $309M–$315M, gross margins of 61.4%–62%, and adjusted EPS of $0.23–$0.25, highlighting 2026 as an inflection point.
- A potential $1B Ruckus acquisition could accelerate SaaS ambitions, but would require shareholder dilution and increased leverage, introducing integration and execution risks.
neutral 2025-12-09 · Emmanuel Onwusah
Extreme Networks: Execution Is Now Durable, Not Cyclical
- Extreme Networks is transitioning from a hardware-centric to a recurring, cloud-driven business model, underpinned by Platform ONE.
- EXTR’s recurring revenue base and deferred revenue are expanding, supporting long-term visibility and a more predictable financial profile.
- Despite hardware still driving topline, a shift toward subscriptions is expected to improve margins and justify a valuation rerating.
- I maintain a Buy rating, seeing EXTR undervalued at 1.9x EV/Sales versus sector peers, with upside as subscription mix grows.
neutral 2025-12-06 · Esxeleryn Analytics
Extreme Networks: Margin Expansion And SaaS Acceleration, Undervalued Alpha In AI Networking
- Extreme Networks is rated a buy, driven by its SaaS transition, 24% ARR growth, and competitive displacement opportunities amid industry consolidation.
- EXTR targets double-digit revenue growth and 100–200 bps gross margin expansion to 63% by FY2026, leveraging Platform ONE and full-stack adoption.
- Technical and fundamental modeling suggests up to 67% upside by 2026, supported by strong FCF, share buybacks, and a growing deferred revenue base.
- Key risks include gross margin compression, execution missteps in Platform ONE, and macro headwinds in the mid-market segment impacting demand and inventory.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $33.02 | 82.54 | 36.81 | 77.33 |