전체 #8 · shadow_watch
FRSH · Freshworks Inc.
Application Software · Opportunity 77.10, Risk 32.37, Confidence 100.00, Research Rank 74.73; 점수 경계는 통과했으나 Application Software 업종 상한 3개 적용
Research Rank
74.73
Opportunity
77.10
Risk
32.37
Evidence Confidence
100.00
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$10.47
전일
-3.32%
52주 위치
44.53%
60일 변동성
51.30%
SA 의견·팩터 등급
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수(1~5) | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | Buy | 4.47 | — |
| sa analyst | BUY | 4.00 | 2 |
| wall street | BUY | 3.80 | 15 |
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | A- | B | B |
| growth | B+ | B | A- |
| profitability | A- | B+ | B+ |
| momentum | C+ | D+ | C- |
| revisions | B | D | A+ |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | 93.33 | 25% | 23.33 |
| business quality | 78.98 | 20% | 15.80 |
| valuation | 78.24 | 15% | 11.74 |
| price trend | 57.67 | 15% | 8.65 |
| analyst opinion | 77.29 | 12% | 9.27 |
| news sentiment | 53.83 | 8% | 4.31 |
| catalyst | 80.00 | 5% | 4.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 49.04 | 30% | 14.71 |
| expectation valuation | 43.41 | 25% | 10.85 |
| profitability cashflow | 12.50 | 20% | 2.50 |
| negative events | 24.00 | 15% | 3.60 |
| opinion data instability | 7.07 | 10% | 0.71 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Dec 2026 | 0.62 | -5.46% | 0.61 | 0.64 | 15 |
| EPS · Dec 2027 | 0.80 | 28.04% | 0.74 | 0.93 | 15 |
| EPS · Dec 2028 | 0.94 | 17.67% | 0.85 | 1.00 | 7 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2026 | 961.28M | 14.60% | 959.40M | 963.40M | 15 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2027 | 1.10B | 14.29% | 1.09B | 1.12B | 15 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2028 | 1.27B | 15.95% | 1.24B | 1.30B | 7 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.11 | 0.11 | -2.17% |
| EPS · FY2025Q4 | 0.14 | 0.11 | +23.84% |
| EPS · FY2025Q3 | 0.16 | 0.13 | +25.45% |
| EPS · FY2025Q2 | 0.18 | 0.11 | +57.81% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 228633000.00 | 223184990.00 | +2.44% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q4 | 222740000.00 | 218759430.00 | +1.82% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q3 | 215118000.00 | 208802340.00 | +3.02% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q2 | 204678000.00 | 198938810.00 | +2.88% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (TTM) | 18.36 | 26.12 | -29.72% | B |
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | 17.36 | 24.75 | -29.88% | B |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (TTM) | 17.25 | 35.16 | -50.92% | A- |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (FWD) | 172.78 | 33.20 | 420.40% | F |
| valuation | PEG GAAP (TTM) | NM | 0.89 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | 0.58 | 1.35 | -57.16% | A |
| valuation | EV / Sales (TTM) | 2.59 | 3.78 | -31.55% | B |
| valuation | EV / Sales (FWD) | 2.34 | 3.50 | -32.97% | B |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (TTM) | 65.04 | 19.53 | 233.04% | D- |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (FWD) | 9.67 | 14.72 | -34.31% | B+ |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (TTM) | 144.81 | 28.14 | 414.59% | F |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (FWD) | 10.68 | 19.40 | -44.95% | A- |
| valuation | Price / Sales (TTM) | 3.56 | 3.68 | -3.10% | C+ |
| valuation | Price / Sales (FWD) | 3.11 | 3.37 | -7.58% | C+ |
| valuation | Price / Book (TTM) | 2.96 | 4.06 | -26.95% | B- |
| valuation | Price / Book (FWD) | 2.59 | 4.69 | -44.69% | B+ |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (TTM) | 12.13 | 19.21 | -36.83% | B+ |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (FWD) | - | 18.88 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Dividend Yield (TTM) | - | 1.15% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | 15.92% | 11.36% | 40.14% | B |
| growth | Revenue Growth (FWD) | 15.10% | 11.99% | 26.02% | B- |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (YoY) | NM | 14.90% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (FWD) | 35.15% | 18.71% | 87.92% | A- |
| growth | EBIT Growth (YoY) | NM | 17.19% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EBIT Growth (FWD) | 37.90% | 20.77% | 82.45% | A- |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (YoY) | NM | 17.08% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | 22.93% | 17.54% | 30.77% | B |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (YoY) | NM | 12.73% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (FWD) | NM | 17.58% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS FWD Long Term Growth (3-5Y CAGR) | 30.00% | 18.92% | 58.58% | B+ |
| growth | Levered FCF Growth (YoY) | 22.83% | 8.54% | 167.46% | B |
| growth | Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth Rate (FWD) | 26.85% | 17.43% | 54.01% | B |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (YoY) | 38.64% | 15.41% | 150.83% | B+ |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | 27.34% | 17.12% | 59.70% | B |
| growth | ROE Growth (YoY) | NM | 3.24% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | ROE Growth (FWD) | 13.63% | 5.62% | 142.67% | B |
| growth | Working Capital Growth (YoY) | -37.80% | 8.14% | NM | D- |
| growth | CAPEX Growth (YoY) | -14.68% | 13.92% | NM | D+ |
| growth | Dividend Per Share Growth (FWD) | NM | 5.93% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | 1 Year Dividend Growth Rate (TTM) | - | 4.83% | - | NOT COVERED |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | 84.97% | 49.88% | 70.36% | A+ |
| profitability | EBIT Margin (TTM) | 1.79% | 7.61% | -76.53% | C |
| profitability | EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 3.98% | 12.07% | -67.06% | C- |
| profitability | Net Income Margin (TTM) | 20.69% | 6.07% | 240.63% | A |
| profitability | Levered FCF Margin (TTM) | 30.27% | 10.88% | 178.27% | A |
| profitability | Return on Common Equity (TTM) | 17.32% | 7.52% | 130.34% | A- |
| profitability | Return on Total Capital (TTM) | 0.90% | 4.63% | -80.53% | C |
| profitability | Return on Total Assets (TTM) | 11.23% | 3.32% | 238.13% | A- |
| profitability | CAPEX / Sales (TTM) | 0.95% | 2.35% | -59.45% | D+ |
| profitability | Asset Turnover Ratio (TTM) | 0.55x | 0.63x | -12.01% | C |
| profitability | Cash From Operations (TTM) | 246.79M | 149.24M | 65.36% | B |
| profitability | Cash Per Share (TTM) | 1.97 | 2.34 | -15.98% | C+ |
| profitability | Net Income Per Employee (TTM) | 40.05K | 14.03K | 185.52% | B+ |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 53.83; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
neutral 2026-05-13 ·
Freshworks in focus as Needham highlights Employee, Customer Experience businesses
neutral 2026-05-06 ·
Freshworks forecasts $958M-$964M FY 2026 revenue while cutting headcount by ~11%
positive 2026-04-02 ·
Zoom, Freshworks among companies that may see 'meaningful' growth via buybacks, Needham says
positive 2026-02-11 ·
Freshworks targets $1.3B ARR by 2028 as EX platform and AI drive sustained growth
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
positive 2026-05-26 · Gary Alexander
Freshworks: Customer Growth And Strong Retention
- Freshworks turned in an impressive Q1 beat-and-raise, boosting its full-year growth expectations by 50bps.
- FRSH stock remains a deep value play in the software sector, trading at <2x revenue and ~10x ex-cash P/E.
- Management is citing strong performance in employee experience ("EX") tools that are driving net-new customer additions.
neutral 2026-05-13 · Kurt Christensen
Freshworks: The SaaSpocalypse Discount Won't Last Forever
- Freshworks demonstrates robust revenue growth, strong cash flow, and resilient operating performance despite AI-driven sector fears.
- The company trades at a significant discount to peers, with a P/S of 2.5 and P/E of 14.2 for 2026, well below industry averages.
- Management guides for accelerating profitability and free cash flow, with headcount reductions and AI adoption expected to drive margin expansion in H2.
- I maintain a Buy rating, expecting continued stock price appreciation as the market rerates FRSH's growth and execution.
positive 2026-04-01 · Gary Alexander
Freshworks: Value Is Becoming Difficult To Ignore (Upgrade)
- Freshworks is upgraded to a 'Buy' as its valuation reflects significant downside, despite macro-driven growth headwinds.
- FRSH's complex, AI-resistant software and deep integration into customer operations create high switching costs and defensible revenue streams.
- The company’s upmarket shift, with over 60% ARR from enterprise and mid-market clients, enhances revenue stability and cross-sell potential.
- FRSH balances mid-teens revenue growth with a near-20% pro forma operating margin and maintains a strong, debt-free balance sheet with $0.8 billion in cash.
neutral 2026-03-23 · Donovan Jones
Freshworks Continues Work To Avoid GenAI Disruption From Below
- Freshworks Inc. delivered Q4 2025 results, beating revenue and earnings estimates, but earnings growth was driven by one-time factors.
- FRSH is integrating GenAI capabilities, focusing on the middle market and large enterprises, while potentially facing churn risks at the low end due to GenAI-native startups.
- Valuation remains depressed at 1.6x EV/Sales versus SaaS peers, despite comparable revenue growth and net dollar retention rates.
- I maintain a neutral Hold on FRSH stock, awaiting evidence of sustained growth and successful GenAI adoption across all system offerings.
neutral 2026-02-18 · Kurt Christensen
Freshworks: Why The SaaSpocalypse Selloff Has Gone Too Far
- Freshworks Inc. delivered strong Q4 and FY results, maintaining 14–16% revenue growth despite a 40% stock price decline amid the 'SaaSpocalypse.'
- FRSH is actively integrating AI, notably Freddy AI, shifting some revenue to usage-based fees and winning new business through its AI capabilities.
- Valuation is compelling, with FRSH trading at a PE below 11 and a price-to-cash-flow of 8.4, supported by declining SBC and an $844M cash position.
- I believe market fears over SaaS disruption are overblown; FRSH is adapting well to AI and remains positioned for continued growth despite sector headwinds.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $10.47 | 77.10 | 32.37 | 74.73 |