전체 #15 · selected
ICHR · Ichor Holdings, Ltd.
Semiconductor Materials & Equipment · Opportunity 76.96, Risk 42.92, Confidence 97.97, Research Rank 71.55; 상위 10 및 업종 다양성 통과
Research Rank
71.55
Opportunity
76.96
Risk
42.92
Evidence Confidence
97.97
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$94.85
전일
4.91%
52주 위치
81.36%
60일 변동성
91.85%
SA 의견·팩터 등급
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수(1~5) | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | Strong Buy | 4.98 | — |
| sa analyst | HOLD | 3.25 | 4 |
| wall street | STRONG BUY | 4.57 | 7 |
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | B- | C+ | B+ |
| growth | A+ | A+ | A |
| profitability | D+ | D+ | D+ |
| momentum | A+ | A+ | B |
| revisions | B | A+ | D- |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | 100.00 | 25% | 25.00 |
| business quality | 49.74 | 20% | 9.95 |
| valuation | 75.77 | 15% | 11.37 |
| price trend | 76.51 | 15% | 11.48 |
| analyst opinion | 81.67 | 12% | 9.80 |
| news sentiment | 54.67 | 8% | 4.37 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 61.42 | 30% | 18.43 |
| expectation valuation | 45.39 | 25% | 11.35 |
| profitability cashflow | 41.50 | 20% | 8.30 |
| negative events | 20.00 | 15% | 3.00 |
| opinion data instability | 18.45 | 10% | 1.85 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Dec 2026 | 1.38 | 499.38% | 1.30 | 1.45 | 7 |
| EPS · Dec 2027 | 2.70 | 95.75% | 2.35 | 3.06 | 7 |
| EPS · Dec 2028 | 1.08 | -59.98% | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2026 | 1.20B | 26.37% | 1.19B | 1.21B | 7 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2027 | 1.44B | 20.33% | 1.42B | 1.52B | 7 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2028 | 1.45B | 0.50% | 1.45B | 1.45B | 1 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.15 | 0.13 | +14.13% |
| EPS · FY2025Q4 | 0.01 | -0.06 | +117.50% |
| EPS · FY2025Q3 | 0.07 | 0.12 | -40.96% |
| EPS · FY2025Q2 | 0.03 | 0.14 | -79.00% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 256068000.00 | 251316290.00 | +1.89% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q4 | 223606000.00 | 220838140.00 | +1.25% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q3 | 239296000.00 | 235139860.00 | +1.77% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q2 | 240285000.00 | 234512290.00 | +2.46% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (TTM) | 347.73 | 26.12 | 1,231.38% | F |
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | 65.58 | 24.75 | 164.94% | D- |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (TTM) | NM | 35.16 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (FWD) | 133.61 | 33.20 | 302.42% | D- |
| valuation | PEG GAAP (TTM) | - | 0.89 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | 0.94 | 1.35 | -30.63% | B |
| valuation | EV / Sales (TTM) | 3.36 | 3.78 | -11.11% | C+ |
| valuation | EV / Sales (FWD) | 2.69 | 3.50 | -23.07% | B- |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (TTM) | 118.87 | 19.53 | 508.65% | F |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (FWD) | 36.60 | 14.72 | 148.69% | D |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (TTM) | NM | 28.14 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (FWD) | 46.01 | 19.40 | 137.20% | D |
| valuation | Price / Sales (TTM) | 3.24 | 3.68 | -11.86% | B- |
| valuation | Price / Sales (FWD) | 2.63 | 3.37 | -21.88% | B- |
| valuation | Price / Book (TTM) | 4.70 | 4.06 | 15.90% | C |
| valuation | Price / Book (FWD) | 4.54 | 4.69 | -3.09% | C+ |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (TTM) | 394.44 | 19.21 | 1,953.82% | F |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (FWD) | - | 18.88 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Dividend Yield (TTM) | - | 1.15% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | 7.53% | 11.36% | -33.74% | C- |
| growth | Revenue Growth (FWD) | 19.28% | 11.99% | 60.89% | B |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (YoY) | 6.97% | 14.90% | -53.21% | C- |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (FWD) | 52.55% | 18.71% | 180.92% | A |
| growth | EBIT Growth (YoY) | NM | 17.19% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EBIT Growth (FWD) | 91.27% | 20.77% | 339.35% | A+ |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (YoY) | NM | 17.08% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | 146.58% | 17.54% | 735.76% | A+ |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (YoY) | NM | 12.73% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (FWD) | NM | 17.58% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS FWD Long Term Growth (3-5Y CAGR) | 70.00% | 18.92% | 270.02% | A+ |
| growth | Levered FCF Growth (YoY) | -4.87% | 8.54% | NM | C- |
| growth | Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth Rate (FWD) | -14.51% | 17.43% | NM | F |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (YoY) | -81.00% | 15.41% | NM | F |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | 30.88% | 17.12% | 80.34% | B+ |
| growth | ROE Growth (YoY) | NM | 3.24% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | ROE Growth (FWD) | 135.96% | 5.62% | 2,321.32% | A+ |
| growth | Working Capital Growth (YoY) | -8.20% | 8.14% | NM | D+ |
| growth | CAPEX Growth (YoY) | -21.73% | 13.92% | NM | D |
| growth | Dividend Per Share Growth (FWD) | - | 5.93% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | 1 Year Dividend Growth Rate (TTM) | - | 4.83% | - | NOT COVERED |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | 12.00% | 49.88% | -75.95% | F |
| profitability | EBIT Margin (TTM) | -0.45% | 7.61% | NM | C- |
| profitability | EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 2.83% | 12.07% | -76.59% | C- |
| profitability | Net Income Margin (TTM) | -5.28% | 6.07% | NM | D+ |
| profitability | Levered FCF Margin (TTM) | 2.48% | 10.88% | -77.22% | D+ |
| profitability | Return on Common Equity (TTM) | -7.41% | 7.52% | NM | D+ |
| profitability | Return on Total Capital (TTM) | -0.32% | 4.63% | NM | C- |
| profitability | Return on Total Assets (TTM) | -5.21% | 3.32% | NM | D+ |
| profitability | CAPEX / Sales (TTM) | 2.58% | 2.35% | 9.76% | B- |
| profitability | Asset Turnover Ratio (TTM) | 0.97x | 0.63x | 54.04% | A- |
| profitability | Cash From Operations (TTM) | 7.99M | 149.24M | -94.64% | C- |
| profitability | Cash Per Share (TTM) | 2.56 | 2.34 | 9.63% | B- |
| profitability | Net Income Per Employee (TTM) | -26.81K | 14.03K | NM | C- |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 54.67; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
neutral 2026-05-04 ·
Ichor forecasts Q2 revenue of $300M +/- $10M with 13%-14% gross margin as it targets at least 15%
positive 2026-05-04 ·
Ichor Holdings Non-GAAP EPS of $0.15 beats by $0.02, revenue of $256.07M beats by $4.75M
neutral 2026-05-03 ·
Quant snapshot: Lumentum, Fastly among top-rated names as SUI Group, Service Properties lag
neutral 2026-04-08 ·
Ichor Holdings tops Seeking Alpha's quant rankings among small-cap tech stocks ahead of Q1 earnings
positive 2026-02-09 ·
Ichor projects double-digit sequential revenue growth and margin expansion through 2026 as global footprint realignment advances
positive 2026-02-09 ·
Ichor Holdings Non-GAAP EPS of $0.01 beats by $0.07, revenue of $223.6M beats by $2.76M
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-06-30 · Sisyphus Cyclicals
Ichor Is Fixing Its Margins - The Stock Already Knows
- Ichor Holdings offers a relatively pure play on wafer fab equipment recovery but is fairly valued at current levels.
- ICHR's margin expansion from vertical integration in Mexico and Malaysia provides earnings leverage, yet most recovery upside is already priced in.
- My bull, base, and bear scenarios hinge on WFE demand, margin trajectory, and customer dynamics, with fair value near $100.
- I rate ICHR a Hold given limited room for disappointment and balanced risk-reward at these prices.
neutral 2026-06-24 · Luca Socci
Ichor Holdings: A 435% Rally That's Gone Too Far
- Ichor Holdings has rebounded sharply on semiconductor equipment demand and a turnaround, but now trades at a highly elevated valuation.
- ICHR targets gross margin expansion to 13–14% in 2024 and 20% long-term, driven by vertical integration and advanced packaging trends.
- Customer concentration with Lam Research and Applied Materials is both a risk and a moat, as ICHR's subsystems are critical to semiconductor manufacturing.
- Despite operational improvements, DCF and multiples analysis indicate ICHR is significantly overvalued, with at least 50% downside risk; I recommend selling.
positive 2026-06-23 · Blake Winiecki
Ichor Holdings: Need To See Growth Patterns Sustained
- Ichor Holdings is a leading supplier of fluid delivery subsystems for semiconductor OEMs, benefiting from the current AI and chip boom.
- ICHR's stock surged nearly 500% this year, but earnings and cash flow have not yet justified this appreciation, prompting a hold rating.
- Margins and profitability are improving post-restructuring, yet remain below sector medians; sustained margin gains and cash conversion are critical to validate growth.
- Customer concentration risk is high, with 76% of revenue from LRCX and AMAT, making ICHR vulnerable to relationship changes.
neutral 2026-04-28 · The Curious Analyst
Ichor's Margin Inflection Is Taking Shape Ahead Of Q1
- I am rating Ichor Holdings a Strong Buy rating based on its position in the semiconductor supply chain and rapid earnings inflection potential.
- ICHR benefits from AI-driven demand for advanced logic, HBM, and advanced packaging, aligning its product set with key industry growth drivers.
- 2025 earnings were distorted by restructuring and under-absorption, but margin tailwinds are expected as restructuring noise fades by mid-2026.
- Management guides for sequential revenue growth in every quarter of 2026, with margin normalization and scale from Mexico and Malaysia operations.
neutral 2026-03-19 · Off His Game
Ichor: Semiconductor Turnaround Continues With Significant Upside
- Ichor Holdings has underperformed peers in the current semiconductor cycle, particularly in high bandwidth and AI-driven demand.
- Recent commentary from ASML and other market leaders suggests semiconductor equipment WFE demand will broaden 15-20% in 2026, benefitting Ichor.
- ICHR’s lagging performance has set up a snapback opportunity as the semiconductor bull market continues.
- Expectations for industry improvement in 2026 could catalyze a turnaround for ICHR relative to larger competitors.
- Ichor is making significant strides towards improving gross margins and operating margins with concrete steps.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $94.85 | 76.96 | 42.92 | 71.55 |