전체 #32 · shadow_watch
ICHR · Ichor Holdings, Ltd.
Semiconductor Materials & Equipment · Opportunity 60.21, Risk 51.53, Confidence 84.74, Research Rank 56.16; 현재 선정 경계 64.72 미만
Research Rank
56.16
Opportunity
60.21
Risk
51.53
Evidence Confidence
84.74
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$53.57
전일
-3.38%
52주 위치
60일 변동성
115.02%
동종 39종목 대비 위치
마커는 이 종목, 세로 눈금은 전체 평균입니다.
기회이 종목 60.21
최하 46.95평균 67.34최상 84.31
위험이 종목 51.53 · 낮을수록 유리
최하 20.99평균 42.85최상 64.40
신뢰이 종목 84.74
최하 79.34평균 83.46최상 85.42
Research Rank이 종목 56.16
최하 47.49평균 62.36최상 75.32
감성이 종목 51.33
최하 47.33평균 51.29최상 55.33
SA 의견·팩터 등급
의견 · 등급 (1~5)
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수 | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | — | 4.48 | — |
| sa analyst | 보유 | 3.44 | 9 |
| wall street | 강력 매수 | 4.57 | 7 |
팩터 등급 추이
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | A | B+ | A- |
| growth | A | A+ | A+ |
| profitability | D+ | D+ | D+ |
| momentum | A | A | A+ |
| revisions | B- | B | A- |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | — | 25% | — |
| business quality | — | 20% | — |
| valuation | — | 15% | — |
| price trend | 36.55 | 15% | 5.48 |
| analyst opinion | 79.11 | 12% | 9.49 |
| news sentiment | 51.33 | 8% | 4.11 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 80.19 | 30% | 24.06 |
| expectation valuation | — | 25% | — |
| profitability cashflow | — | 20% | — |
| negative events | 20.00 | 15% | 3.00 |
| opinion data instability | 12.84 | 10% | 1.28 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Dec 2026 | 1.57 | 582.61% | 1.55 | 1.59 | 7 |
| EPS · Dec 2027 | 3.27 | 108.19% | 3.00 | 3.67 | 7 |
| EPS · Dec 2028 | 3.69 | 12.82% | 2.20 | 4.68 | 4 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2026 | 1.25B | 31.43% | 1.24B | 1.25B | 7 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2027 | 1.66B | 33.00% | 1.59B | 1.80B | 7 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2028 | 1.79B | 8.08% | 1.68B | 1.91B | 4 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 0.34 | 0.31 | +10.70% |
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.15 | 0.13 | +14.13% |
| EPS · FY2025Q4 | 0.01 | -0.06 | +117.50% |
| EPS · FY2025Q3 | 0.07 | 0.12 | -40.96% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 294.78M | 300.17M | -1.79% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 256.07M | 251.32M | +1.89% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q4 | 223.61M | 220.84M | +1.25% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q3 | 239.30M | 235.14M | +1.77% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / EBITDA (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Price / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| Revenue Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EBITDA Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Net Income Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Return on Common Equity (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Cash From Operations (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 51.33; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
neutral 2026-08-03
아이코어, 3분기 매출 3억1,500만~3억4,500만 달러 전망…매출총이익률 14.5%~15.5%, 하반기 물량은 상반기 대비 최소 25% 증가 목표
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-08-28 · Market Edge Researcher
아이코어 홀딩스: 반도체 장비 업황 회복이 매수 의견 뒷받침
- Ichor Holdings is benefiting from a semiconductor equipment demand recovery, driving strong revenue and margin growth.
- Q2 2026 revenue rose 24% YoY to $294.8M, with non-GAAP EPS reaching $0.34 and non-GAAP gross margin improving to 14.1%.
- Management guides for further sequential growth in Q3, forecasting $315–345M revenue and $0.40–0.50 non-GAAP EPS.
- ICHR's forward valuation becomes attractive, with FY2 P/E dropping to 17.74x, well below most peers, supporting a Buy rating.
neutral 2026-08-27 · Value Vest
아이코어 홀딩스: 급락한 이 반도체주가 주목받아야 할 비대칭적 투자 구도
- Ichor Holdings offers a compelling risk/reward profile after a sharp valuation reset, trading at $57 despite strong operational momentum.
- ICHR's margin expansion is structurally driven by proprietary content, internalization, and manufacturing footprint shifts, with sequential 100bps gains and a path to 20% gross margin.
- Management guides for 30%+ revenue growth in 2026 and is preparing for $2–3bn annual capacity, supported by a net cash balance sheet and disciplined opex.
- I rate ICHR a Buy at current levels for long-term investors focused on margin growth and cycle alignment, recommending scaling in the low-to-mid $50s.
positive 2026-08-27 · Bashar Issa
아이코어: 수요 가속화 속 가치사슬 상향 이동
- Ichor is positioned to benefit from rising wafer fabrication intensity driven by complex chip designs and advanced nodes.
- ICHR's proprietary content expansion and capacity investments in Malaysia and Mexico support margin growth and enable $500 million in quarterly sales.
- Secular AI and node technology tailwinds are accelerating demand, evidenced by atypically long customer order lead times and robust order intake.
- ICHR's exposure to key WFE customers like Lam Research and Applied Materials strengthens its growth outlook amid industry-wide equipment demand expansion.
neutral 2026-08-21 · The Curious Analyst
아이코어 홀딩스: 2분기 마진 전환점 확인, 강력 매수 의견 유지
- I reiterate Ichor Holdings as a Strong Buy with a revised price target of $82.
- Q2 2026 results demonstrated 15% sequential and 23% y/y revenue growth, with non-GAAP EPS reaching a three-year high and gross margin beating guidance.
- Management guides for a steep H2 2026 revenue ramp, projecting at least 30% full-year revenue growth and 25% higher H2 vs. H1 revenue.
- Valuation has become more attractive despite the stronger growth outlook, with ICHR's FWD non-GAAP PEG falling to 0.56x, 55% below the sector median.
- Semiconductor equipment cyclicality, customer concentration, and slower-than-expected margin expansion remain the largest risks to my estimates.
neutral 2026-07-28 · Seeking Alpha Videos
The #1 Backdoor AI Play Ready To Outperform Big Tech
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일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $94.85 | 76.96 | 42.92 | 71.55 |
| 2026-07-16 | $94.85 | 76.78 | 43.16 | 71.36 |
| 2026-07-17 | $83.74 | 75.87 | 43.27 | 70.66 |
| 2026-07-20 | $82.87 | 71.31 | 42.91 | 67.40 |
| 2026-07-21 | $83.69 | 76.17 | 42.85 | 70.98 |
| 2026-07-22 | $95.85 | 76.11 | 42.67 | 67.86 |
| 2026-07-23 | $95.33 | 78.62 | 43.51 | 69.25 |
| 2026-07-24 | $94.02 | 75.24 | 43.53 | 67.14 |
| 2026-07-27 | $86.55 | 74.48 | 43.83 | 66.60 |
| 2026-07-28 | $78.30 | 72.59 | 44.44 | 65.29 |
| 2026-07-29 | $68.10 | 70.26 | 46.24 | 63.45 |
| 2026-07-30 | $62.25 | 68.57 | 48.35 | 61.96 |
| 2026-07-31 | $74.97 | 69.20 | 49.70 | 62.07 |
| 2026-08-03 | $75.27 | 69.16 | 49.76 | 62.03 |
| 2026-08-04 | $80.23 | 70.85 | 49.75 | 63.09 |
| 2026-08-05 | $71.27 | 69.70 | 51.57 | 61.99 |
| 2026-08-06 | $65.59 | 65.88 | 51.82 | 59.56 |
| 2026-08-07 | $65.33 | 65.41 | 51.74 | 59.27 |
| 2026-08-10 | $68.32 | 65.08 | 51.75 | 59.07 |
| 2026-08-11 | $64.77 | 70.79 | 47.64 | 63.49 |
| 2026-08-12 | $67.51 | 65.21 | 51.85 | 59.13 |
| 2026-08-18 | $71.87 | 64.20 | 51.52 | 58.57 |
| 2026-08-19 | $66.08 | 62.15 | 51.75 | 57.23 |
| 2026-08-20 | $61.21 | 59.64 | 52.28 | 55.55 |
| 2026-08-21 | $58.87 | 59.11 | 52.92 | 55.09 |
| 2026-08-24 | $60.20 | 59.98 | 52.12 | 55.80 |
| 2026-09-01 | $53.57 | 60.21 | 51.53 | 56.16 |