전체 #30 · shadow_watch
ONDS · Ondas Inc.
Communications Equipment · Opportunity 59.56, Risk 45.67, Confidence 85.42, Research Rank 57.05; 현재 선정 경계 64.72 미만
Research Rank
57.05
Opportunity
59.56
Risk
45.67
Evidence Confidence
85.42
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$7.66
전일
-3.10%
52주 위치
60일 변동성
86.96%
동종 39종목 대비 위치
마커는 이 종목, 세로 눈금은 전체 평균입니다.
기회이 종목 59.56
최하 46.95평균 67.34최상 84.31
위험이 종목 45.67 · 낮을수록 유리
최하 20.99평균 42.85최상 64.40
신뢰이 종목 85.42
최하 79.34평균 83.46최상 85.42
Research Rank이 종목 57.05
최하 47.49평균 62.36최상 75.32
감성이 종목 54.83
최하 47.33평균 51.29최상 55.33
SA 의견·팩터 등급
의견 · 등급 (1~5)
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수 | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | — | 2.76 | — |
| sa analyst | 매수 | 3.84 | 13 |
| wall street | 강력 매수 | 4.77 | 9 |
팩터 등급 추이
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | B- | C+ | D+ |
| growth | A+ | A+ | B+ |
| profitability | D- | D+ | D- |
| momentum | D | A | A+ |
| revisions | D | A | B- |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | — | 25% | — |
| business quality | — | 20% | — |
| valuation | — | 15% | — |
| price trend | 40.47 | 15% | 6.07 |
| analyst opinion | 69.73 | 12% | 8.37 |
| news sentiment | 54.83 | 8% | 4.39 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 66.87 | 30% | 20.06 |
| expectation valuation | — | 25% | — |
| profitability cashflow | — | 20% | — |
| negative events | 20.00 | 15% | 3.00 |
| opinion data instability | 20.56 | 10% | 2.06 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Dec 2026 | 0.27 | — | 0.19 | 0.34 | 8 |
| EPS · Dec 2027 | -0.35 | — | -0.55 | -0.15 | 8 |
| EPS · Dec 2028 | -0.08 | 77.22% | -0.13 | -0.05 | 3 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2026 | 536.44M | 957.42% | 529.25M | 543.90M | 9 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2027 | 1.01B | 87.68% | 924.40M | 1.30B | 9 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2028 | 1.32B | 31.45% | 1.09B | 1.70B | 5 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | -0.19 | -0.10 | -92.41% |
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.56 | -0.06 | +1053.19% |
| EPS · FY2025Q4 | -0.41 | -0.01 | -3544.44% |
| EPS · FY2025Q3 | -0.03 | -0.05 | +34.37% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 83.77M | 67.97M | +23.25% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 50.12M | 39.36M | +27.35% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q4 | 30.11M | 27.98M | +7.60% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q3 | 10.10M | 7.04M | +43.47% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / EBITDA (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Price / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| Revenue Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EBITDA Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Net Income Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Return on Common Equity (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Cash From Operations (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 54.83; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-08-31 · Yiannis Zourmpanos
온다스, 실행 국면 진입
- Q2 revenue surged nearly 13-fold to $83.8 million, while pro forma organic growth remained exceptionally strong at approximately 85%.
- Pro forma backlog reached $757 million, supported by $175 million of Q2 orders and another $105 million entering Q3.
- Reaching the $537.5 million guidance midpoint requires approximately $256 million of Q4 revenue, implying roughly 74% sequential growth.
- Adjusted EBITDA loss widened to $50.6 million as cash operating expenses reached $93 million, making operating leverage the critical test.
- Shares outstanding increased roughly 50% to 570.6 million, raising the hurdle for translating rapid corporate growth into per-share returns.
neutral 2026-08-26 · James Foord
Ondas: 성장은 현실이지만 리스크도 현실
- Ondas Inc. delivered record Q2 revenue, raised guidance, and demonstrated 85% organic growth, yet shares remain flat amid high short interest.
- ONDS’s backlog surged to $757 million, with a two-year pipeline exceeding $11 billion, validating its acquisition-driven growth strategy and operational execution.
- Significant warrant liability and dilution risk, alongside declining margins and ongoing cash burn until Q4 2027, weigh on the stock’s valuation.
- I maintain a Strong Buy rating on ONDS, viewing its 6.8x FY26 EV/guidance as attractive despite overhangs from warrants and integration risks.
positive 2026-08-25 · Stone Fox Capital
온다스: 인수 부담 완화 전망에 투자의견 상향
- Ondas trades at yearly lows, partly due to market confusion and disappointment around a long string of acquisitions.
- The counter-drone and robotics company is now guiding to 30%+ organic growth with revenues topping $525 million this year.
- Ondas isn't helping shareholders with aggressive acquisitions and will need to pull back from more deals in order to convince the market the plan is working.
- The stock trades at only 5x '27 revenue targets while the pro forma cash balance still tops $1 billion for a $5 billion market cap.
neutral 2026-08-24 · Value Vest
Ondas: 자율 방위의 미래를 겨냥한 ‘시스템 오브 시스템즈’ 투자
- Ondas Holdings is rated Buy, driven by triple-digit revenue growth, a $1.4B cash position, and a forward P/S of 9.3x–9.7x.
- ONDS targets $525M–$550M 2026 revenue, with a robust $11B+ pipeline and management aiming for $1.5B revenue by 2030, possibly sooner.
- The integrated 'system-of-systems' approach and Palantir partnership differentiate ONDS in the rapidly expanding counter-UAS and autonomous systems market.
- Risks include complex integration, margin pressure, delayed EBITDA breakeven (Q4 2027), and high short interest, but current levels offer asymmetric upside for risk-tolerant investors.
positive 2026-08-24 · Sam Mancini
온다스 홀딩스: 성장 스토리는 매력적이지만 아직 수익성 계산은 맞지 않는다
- Ondas delivered a huge second quarter. Revenue rose more than thirteen times from a year ago, while pro forma backlog reached $757 million.
- The opportunity is real. Ondas has meaningful defense orders, exposure to a major United States drone procurement cycle, and a much broader product lineup after several acquisitions.
- My concern is what all of that growth will be worth per share. The share count has climbed quickly, adjusted EBITDA losses widened, and another 45 million DZYNE shares are due in Jan. 2027.
- I rate ONDS a Hold with a value of $9.50. I would become more interested near $7, or after Ondas proves that revenue can grow much faster than operating costs.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $7.36 | 74.84 | 52.82 | 67.92 |
| 2026-07-16 | $7.36 | 74.79 | 53.55 | 67.70 |
| 2026-07-17 | $6.65 | 74.60 | 53.00 | 67.70 |
| 2026-07-20 | $6.53 | 75.03 | 52.29 | 68.20 |
| 2026-07-21 | $6.87 | 75.49 | 52.28 | 68.55 |
| 2026-07-22 | $7.66 | 56.12 | 51.33 | 53.63 |
| 2026-07-23 | $8.00 | 59.98 | 50.78 | 56.23 |
| 2026-07-24 | $7.93 | 59.49 | 50.51 | 55.97 |
| 2026-07-27 | $7.80 | 60.48 | 50.43 | 56.62 |
| 2026-07-28 | $8.02 | 58.94 | 50.16 | 55.69 |
| 2026-07-29 | $7.86 | 58.71 | 51.19 | 55.33 |
| 2026-07-30 | $6.80 | 52.06 | 52.08 | 50.88 |
| 2026-07-31 | $7.58 | 57.08 | 52.55 | 53.99 |
| 2026-08-03 | $7.49 | 60.22 | 50.56 | 56.43 |
| 2026-08-04 | $8.37 | 60.91 | 53.16 | 56.31 |
| 2026-08-05 | $8.86 | 62.44 | 53.25 | 57.28 |
| 2026-08-06 | $8.87 | 63.30 | 53.22 | 57.83 |
| 2026-08-07 | $8.74 | 63.57 | 53.18 | 58.01 |
| 2026-08-10 | $9.11 | 64.83 | 53.10 | 58.84 |
| 2026-08-11 | $9.31 | 65.28 | 53.11 | 59.13 |
| 2026-08-12 | $9.74 | 67.38 | 50.26 | 61.08 |
| 2026-08-18 | $9.00 | 70.97 | 50.91 | 63.24 |
| 2026-08-19 | $9.06 | 69.40 | 50.97 | 62.22 |
| 2026-08-20 | $8.90 | 66.55 | 51.19 | 60.35 |
| 2026-08-21 | $8.38 | 60.71 | 50.91 | 56.67 |
| 2026-08-24 | $8.71 | 66.28 | 50.43 | 60.33 |
| 2026-09-01 | $7.66 | 59.56 | 45.67 | 57.05 |