전체 #26 · shadow_watch
ONDS · Ondas Inc.
Communications Equipment · Opportunity 74.84, Risk 52.82, Confidence 100.00, Research Rank 67.92; 현재 선정 경계 71.55 미만
Research Rank
67.92
Opportunity
74.84
Risk
52.82
Evidence Confidence
100.00
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$7.36
전일
5.75%
52주 위치
41.33%
60일 변동성
105.27%
SA 의견·팩터 등급
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수(1~5) | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | Strong Buy | 4.51 | — |
| sa analyst | BUY | 3.75 | 12 |
| wall street | STRONG BUY | 4.75 | 8 |
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | B | C+ | C+ |
| growth | A+ | A | B+ |
| profitability | D+ | C- | D- |
| momentum | C | A+ | A+ |
| revisions | B+ | D | B- |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | 100.00 | 25% | 25.00 |
| business quality | 96.32 | 20% | 19.26 |
| valuation | 60.80 | 15% | 9.12 |
| price trend | 17.25 | 15% | 2.59 |
| analyst opinion | 83.39 | 12% | 10.01 |
| news sentiment | 54.50 | 8% | 4.36 |
| catalyst | 90.00 | 5% | 4.50 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 75.99 | 30% | 22.80 |
| expectation valuation | 57.36 | 25% | 14.34 |
| profitability cashflow | 55.08 | 20% | 11.02 |
| negative events | 24.00 | 15% | 3.60 |
| opinion data instability | 10.65 | 10% | 1.06 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Dec 2026 | 0.49 | — | 0.40 | 0.65 | 6 |
| EPS · Dec 2027 | -0.18 | — | -0.35 | -0.11 | 6 |
| EPS · Dec 2028 | -0.07 | 61.47% | -0.09 | -0.05 | 2 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2026 | 525.68M | 936.22% | 525.00M | 527.50M | 7 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2027 | 981.36M | 86.68% | 905.82M | 1.20B | 7 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2028 | 1.30B | 32.33% | 1.09B | 1.56B | 3 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.56 | -0.06 | +1053.19% |
| EPS · FY2025Q4 | -0.41 | -0.01 | -3544.44% |
| EPS · FY2025Q3 | -0.03 | -0.05 | +34.37% |
| EPS · FY2025Q2 | -0.08 | -0.10 | +18.37% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 50122000.00 | 39357750.00 | +27.35% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q4 | 30111120.00 | 27983920.00 | +7.60% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q3 | 10098310.00 | 7038720.00 | +43.47% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q2 | 6273390.00 | 5755960.00 | +8.99% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (TTM) | NM | 26.12 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | NM | 24.75 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (TTM) | 15.91 | 35.16 | -54.75% | A |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (FWD) | 14.30 | 33.20 | -56.93% | A |
| valuation | PEG GAAP (TTM) | NM | 0.89 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | - | 1.35 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | EV / Sales (TTM) | 26.04 | 3.78 | 589.03% | D- |
| valuation | EV / Sales (FWD) | 4.78 | 3.50 | 36.81% | C |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (TTM) | NM | 19.53 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (FWD) | NM | 14.72 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (TTM) | NM | 28.14 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (FWD) | NM | 19.40 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Price / Sales (TTM) | 22.10 | 3.68 | 501.18% | D- |
| valuation | Price / Sales (FWD) | 7.54 | 3.37 | 123.89% | D+ |
| valuation | Price / Book (TTM) | 3.04 | 4.06 | -25.08% | B- |
| valuation | Price / Book (FWD) | - | 4.69 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (TTM) | NM | 19.21 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (FWD) | - | 18.88 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Dividend Yield (TTM) | - | 1.15% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | 793.17% | 11.36% | 6,883.65% | A+ |
| growth | Revenue Growth (FWD) | 414.81% | 11.99% | 3,360.95% | A+ |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (YoY) | NM | 14.90% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (FWD) | NM | 18.71% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EBIT Growth (YoY) | NM | 17.19% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EBIT Growth (FWD) | NM | 20.77% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (YoY) | NM | 17.08% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | NM | 17.54% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (YoY) | NM | 12.73% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (FWD) | NM | 17.58% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS FWD Long Term Growth (3-5Y CAGR) | - | 18.92% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Levered FCF Growth (YoY) | NM | 8.54% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth Rate (FWD) | NM | 17.43% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (YoY) | NM | 15.41% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | NM | 17.12% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | ROE Growth (YoY) | NM | 3.24% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | ROE Growth (FWD) | - | 5.62% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Working Capital Growth (YoY) | NM | 8.14% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | CAPEX Growth (YoY) | 416.23% | 13.92% | 2,890.05% | A+ |
| growth | Dividend Per Share Growth (FWD) | - | 5.93% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | 1 Year Dividend Growth Rate (TTM) | - | 4.83% | - | NOT COVERED |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | 44.85% | 49.88% | -10.08% | C |
| profitability | EBIT Margin (TTM) | -89.47% | 7.61% | NM | F |
| profitability | EBITDA Margin (TTM) | -77.26% | 12.07% | NM | F |
| profitability | Net Income Margin (TTM) | 251.92% | 6.07% | 4,048.12% | A+ |
| profitability | Levered FCF Margin (TTM) | -16.20% | 10.88% | NM | D- |
| profitability | Return on Common Equity (TTM) | 24.40% | 7.52% | 224.49% | A |
| profitability | Return on Total Capital (TTM) | -9.11% | 4.63% | NM | D |
| profitability | Return on Total Assets (TTM) | 9.98% | 3.32% | 200.50% | A- |
| profitability | CAPEX / Sales (TTM) | 3.31% | 2.35% | 40.68% | B |
| profitability | Asset Turnover Ratio (TTM) | 0.08x | 0.63x | -87.93% | F |
| profitability | Cash From Operations (TTM) | -83.39M | 149.24M | NM | F |
| profitability | Cash Per Share (TTM) | 2.19 | 2.34 | -6.48% | C+ |
| profitability | Net Income Per Employee (TTM) | 510.20K | 14.03K | 3,537.48% | A+ |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 54.50; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
neutral 2026-06-23 ·
Ondas’s Sentrycs partners with Lockheed Martin to counter evolving aerial threats
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
negative 2026-06-30 · Callum James
Ondas: Real Growth, Real Roll-Up, Real Dilution
- Ondas is a dual-use defense tech roll-up, scaling revenue 10x YoY via six acquisitions and a $457M backlog, but significant dilution tempers per-share gains.
- I rate ONDS a Hold: the structural thesis is intact, but current entry math and a 324% share count increase limit upside until further catalysts materialize.
- Key forward catalysts include Q2 earnings (target: $66.5M+), Cyberhawk integration, and the US Drone Dominance program appropriation; two of these would trigger a Buy.
- Recurring revenue from Cyberhawk (95% recurring, $95M backlog) and the Lockheed Martin partnership validate the platform, but integration and execution risks remain material.
neutral 2026-06-23 · Geneva Investor
The Iran War Likely Isn't Over: I Am Buying Ondas Because Of Its M&A Moat
- America may have lost its technological military supremacy in the Iran war, due to the asymmetry brought by low-cost drones. This situation is far from over in my view, and America needs to rearm.
- I think Ondas is positioned as the best consolidator in the drone warfare sector. In such a fast-paced, nascent environment, M&A is the company's strategic moat, not a weakness.
- I view ONDS's layered, modular anti-drone technology stack and flexible deployment model as superior to single-solution competitors in addressing emerging defense needs.
- The $982M IDIQ contract with the US Army validates ONDS’s relevance in the US military’s long-term drone procurement strategy.
- With shares below $10, I rate ONDS a BUY and set a $30 price target, while closely monitoring dilution and competitive risks.
neutral 2026-06-23 · The Sharpe Quest
Ondas Inc.: Buys Cyberhawk For $125M And Wall Street Barely Reacts
- Ondas (ONDS) acquires Cyberhawk for $125M in cash, marking a strategic shift from prior share-based deals and leveraging its strong balance sheet.
- Cyberhawk brings 232TB of georeferenced asset data and AI-driven analytics, enhancing ONDS’s technical capabilities and creating significant integration synergies.
- Despite a long standalone payback, Cyberhawk’s platform is expected to drive group-wide value through technology reuse and lower development costs.
- I assign a Buy rating to ONDS, citing favorable risk-reward, multiple compression, and a substantial cash position supporting a partial valuation floor.
neutral 2026-06-16 · The Efficient Investor
Ondas: Everything Looks Perfect, Except The Part That Matters
- Ondas Inc. delivered over 1,000% YoY revenue growth to $50.1 million, driven by acquisitions and defense contracts.
- Backlog surged to $457 million, and ONDS secured a $982 million U.S. Army IDIQ contract, providing strong visibility for future revenue.
- Despite rapid scaling, ONDS operates at a loss, with significant dilution and customer concentration risks tempering the outlook.
- I rate ONDS a Hold, awaiting evidence of consistent execution, backlog conversion, and progress toward adjusted EBITDA profitability.
neutral 2026-06-15 · Joseph Parrish
Ondas: Drone Bet, Premium Value, Execution Risks
- Ondas is positioned in autonomous crafts, with strong tailwinds from military and industrial demand, but remains highly speculative.
- ONDS's growth is primarily M&A-driven, funded by significant equity issuance, resulting in heavy shareholder dilution and premium valuation.
- Profitability is distant; current margins are thin, and future M&A could double dilution, making scale and contract wins critical to the thesis.
- I see validation in ONDS's technology and partnerships but require clearer execution and de-risking before considering a Buy rating.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $7.36 | 74.84 | 52.82 | 67.92 |