전체 #21 · shadow_watch
PDFS · PDF Solutions, Inc.
Semiconductor Materials & Equipment · Opportunity 75.27, Risk 44.56, Confidence 95.95, Research Rank 69.49; 현재 선정 경계 71.55 미만
Research Rank
69.49
Opportunity
75.27
Risk
44.56
Evidence Confidence
95.95
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$54.22
전일
2.71%
52주 위치
67.39%
60일 변동성
87.85%
SA 의견·팩터 등급
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수(1~5) | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | Strong Buy | 4.83 | — |
| sa analyst | HOLD | 3.00 | 1 |
| wall street | STRONG BUY | 5.00 | 4 |
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | C+ | F | F |
| growth | A | A- | B- |
| profitability | D+ | D+ | D+ |
| momentum | A- | A- | B+ |
| revisions | A- | B | C+ |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | 100.00 | 25% | 25.00 |
| business quality | 81.11 | 20% | 16.22 |
| valuation | 33.79 | 15% | 5.07 |
| price trend | 62.50 | 15% | 9.37 |
| analyst opinion | 81.92 | 12% | 9.83 |
| news sentiment | 59.67 | 8% | 4.77 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 50.84 | 30% | 15.25 |
| expectation valuation | 78.97 | 25% | 19.74 |
| profitability cashflow | 12.50 | 20% | 2.50 |
| negative events | 32.00 | 15% | 4.80 |
| opinion data instability | 22.64 | 10% | 2.26 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Dec 2026 | 1.25 | 32.71% | 1.20 | 1.31 | 4 |
| EPS · Dec 2027 | 1.55 | 24.45% | 1.45 | 1.66 | 4 |
| EPS · Dec 2028 | 1.91 | 22.71% | 1.80 | 2.01 | 2 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2026 | 262.88M | 20.02% | 260.00M | 264.80M | 4 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2027 | 315.87M | 20.16% | 311.06M | 321.20M | 4 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2028 | 371.80M | 17.71% | 368.61M | 375.00M | 2 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.31 | 0.23 | +33.33% |
| EPS · FY2025Q4 | 0.30 | 0.24 | +26.32% |
| EPS · FY2025Q3 | 0.64 | 0.22 | +187.64% |
| EPS · FY2025Q2 | 0.19 | 0.19 | +1.33% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 60130000.00 | 59710000.00 | +0.70% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q4 | 62403000.00 | 61952250.00 | +0.73% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q3 | 57115000.00 | 56691250.00 | +0.75% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q2 | 51728000.00 | 51579750.00 | +0.29% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (TTM) | 36.66 | 26.12 | 40.36% | C- |
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | 42.32 | 24.75 | 70.95% | D+ |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (TTM) | 291.20 | 35.16 | 728.27% | F |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (FWD) | 109.98 | 33.20 | 231.24% | D- |
| valuation | PEG GAAP (TTM) | 0.57 | 0.89 | -35.64% | B |
| valuation | PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | - | 1.35 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | EV / Sales (TTM) | 9.73 | 3.78 | 157.47% | D+ |
| valuation | EV / Sales (FWD) | 8.56 | 3.50 | 144.85% | D |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (TTM) | 76.46 | 19.53 | 291.52% | D- |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (FWD) | - | 14.72 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (TTM) | 111.36 | 28.14 | 295.72% | D- |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (FWD) | 35.33 | 19.40 | 82.17% | D+ |
| valuation | Price / Sales (TTM) | 9.01 | 3.68 | 145.18% | D+ |
| valuation | Price / Sales (FWD) | 8.41 | 3.37 | 149.50% | D |
| valuation | Price / Book (TTM) | 7.51 | 4.06 | 85.15% | D+ |
| valuation | Price / Book (FWD) | - | 4.69 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (TTM) | 129.35 | 19.21 | 573.52% | F |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (FWD) | - | 18.88 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Dividend Yield (TTM) | - | 1.15% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | 24.44% | 11.36% | 115.19% | B+ |
| growth | Revenue Growth (FWD) | 20.74% | 11.99% | 73.02% | B+ |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (YoY) | 553.62% | 14.90% | 3,614.79% | A+ |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (FWD) | - | 18.71% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EBIT Growth (YoY) | 8,322.92% | 17.19% | 48,318.89% | A+ |
| growth | EBIT Growth (FWD) | 342.42% | 20.77% | 1,548.28% | A+ |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (YoY) | 511.12% | 17.08% | 2,892.72% | A+ |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | 22.72% | 17.54% | 29.55% | B- |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (YoY) | NM | 12.73% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (FWD) | 101.65% | 17.58% | 478.27% | A+ |
| growth | EPS FWD Long Term Growth (3-5Y CAGR) | - | 18.92% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Levered FCF Growth (YoY) | NM | 8.54% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth Rate (FWD) | - | 17.43% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (YoY) | -15.43% | 15.41% | NM | D |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | 83.34% | 17.12% | 386.77% | A+ |
| growth | ROE Growth (YoY) | 353.90% | 3.24% | 10,826.07% | A+ |
| growth | ROE Growth (FWD) | - | 5.62% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Working Capital Growth (YoY) | 31.90% | 8.14% | 292.03% | B+ |
| growth | CAPEX Growth (YoY) | 46.64% | 13.92% | 235.04% | B |
| growth | Dividend Per Share Growth (FWD) | - | 5.93% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | 1 Year Dividend Growth Rate (TTM) | - | 4.83% | - | NOT COVERED |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | 72.08% | 49.88% | 44.51% | B+ |
| profitability | EBIT Margin (TTM) | 8.74% | 7.61% | 14.81% | B- |
| profitability | EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 12.72% | 12.07% | 5.39% | B- |
| profitability | Net Income Margin (TTM) | 3.10% | 6.07% | -48.88% | C+ |
| profitability | Levered FCF Margin (TTM) | -13.53% | 10.88% | NM | D- |
| profitability | Return on Common Equity (TTM) | 2.71% | 7.52% | -63.91% | C |
| profitability | Return on Total Capital (TTM) | 3.74% | 4.63% | -19.05% | C+ |
| profitability | Return on Total Assets (TTM) | 1.67% | 3.32% | -49.75% | C+ |
| profitability | CAPEX / Sales (TTM) | 15.19% | 2.35% | 546.05% | A |
| profitability | Asset Turnover Ratio (TTM) | 0.56x | 0.63x | -10.38% | C |
| profitability | Cash From Operations (TTM) | 17.09M | 149.24M | -88.55% | C- |
| profitability | Cash Per Share (TTM) | 0.78 | 2.34 | -66.63% | D+ |
| profitability | Net Income Per Employee (TTM) | 11.97K | 14.03K | -14.65% | B- |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 59.67; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
positive 2026-05-08 ·
PDF Solutions reconfirms 20% revenue growth target as it plans 6 eProbe shipments in 2026
positive 2026-05-07 ·
PDF Solutions Non-GAAP EPS of $0.31 beats by $0.08, revenue of $60.1M beats by $0.39M
positive 2026-02-12 ·
PDF Solutions anticipates 20% revenue growth in 2026 as AI-driven collaboration accelerates
positive 2026-02-12 ·
PDF Solutions Non-GAAP EPS of $0.30 beats by $0.06, revenue of $62.4M beats by $0.45M
positive 2025-11-07 ·
PDF Solutions reaffirms 21%-23% revenue growth target for 2025 while expanding AI and analytics platform
positive 2025-11-06 ·
PDF Solutions Non-GAAP EPS of $0.25 beats by $0.03, revenue of $57.1M beats by $0.41M
positive 2025-09-23 ·
PDF Solutions stock rises as it expands services with global semiconductor giant in multi-year deal
positive 2025-08-07 ·
PDF Solutions Non-GAAP EPS of $0.19 in-line, revenue of $51.7M beats by $0.12M
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
positive 2026-05-16 · MarketGyrations
PDF Solutions: Has Priced In More Growth Than Is Likely To Be Achieved
- PDF Solutions almost doubled in value in less than two months, but it lost about a fifth of its value in recent days, in large part due to a share sale.
- Millions of shares have been put up for sale, which brings up a number of issues, some of which are not positive for PDFS.
- The latest report shows PDFS is growing strong, but an argument can be made that the rise in the stock price is not warranted based on projected growth.
- PDFS looks expensive even for the growth it offers, besides other issues, which is why I am neutral on PDFS with a hold rating.
neutral 2026-02-23 · MarketGyrations
PDF Solutions: What The Outlook Says And Does Not Say
- FY2025 ended strong for PDF Solutions with new records set, and the outlook calls for strong growth in FY2026 and beyond.
- PDFS has been moving higher for 10 months in the charts, but further gains could be harder to come by with resistance standing in the way.
- The updated financial model calls for strong earnings growth, but the stock is arguably still overvalued relative to expected growth.
- There are risks to jumping in after the long rally, which is part of why I am neutral on PDFS with a hold rating.
neutral 2025-11-14 · MarketGyrations
PDF Solutions: Why A Further Trek Lower Could Be In The Cards
- The Q3 FY2025 report shows how PDFS is breaking records to add to the multi-year-long expansion taking place, with more records expected as soon as the Q4 FY2025 report.
- PDFS has its strong points, but there is an argument to be made that valuations have gotten too high for the stock not to trade lower.
- Chart patterns also suggest the stock needs to trade lower in the short term after it failed to get past resistance and a trendline.
- There is more than one reason why PDFS could go down further, which is why I am neutral on PDFS with a hold rating.
neutral 2025-08-14 · The Value Investor
PDF Solutions: Semi Play Posting Semi Margins
- PDF Solutions' growth continues, but margins remain unimpressive and net debt is higher than expected, raising concerns about valuation support.
- Despite the secureWISE acquisition and revenue growth, the company still lacks real earnings, with stock-based compensation masking true profitability.
- Management's margin targets appear optimistic and, even if achieved, would not sufficiently justify the current share price based on realistic earnings.
- I remain cautious on PDF Solutions due to thin margins and valuation risks, but will continue to monitor the company's progress and execution.
positive 2025-05-24 · MarketGyrations
PDF Solutions: Potential For Fast Growth Has Been Priced In
- PDFS saw its stock price decline in the last two years for various reasons, but the stock has been moving higher lately.
- Growth came to a standstill, but growth is expected to accelerate according to the FY2025 outlook and the latest long-term financial model.
- PDFS may grow by 20% a year in the next few years, but this level of growth seems to have already been priced into the stock.
- Long PDFS is worth considering if the stock price moves down again, but it is likely fully valued at current levels.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $54.22 | 75.27 | 44.56 | 69.49 |