전체 #23 · shadow_watch
PDFS · PDF Solutions, Inc.
Semiconductor Materials & Equipment · Opportunity 64.27, Risk 42.10, Confidence 82.72, Research Rank 60.49; 현재 선정 경계 64.72 미만
Research Rank
60.49
Opportunity
64.27
Risk
42.10
Evidence Confidence
82.72
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$44.48
전일
-0.74%
52주 위치
60일 변동성
89.55%
동종 39종목 대비 위치
마커는 이 종목, 세로 눈금은 전체 평균입니다.
기회이 종목 64.27
최하 46.95평균 67.34최상 84.31
위험이 종목 42.10 · 낮을수록 유리
최하 20.99평균 42.85최상 64.40
신뢰이 종목 82.72
최하 79.34평균 83.46최상 85.42
Research Rank이 종목 60.49
최하 47.49평균 62.36최상 75.32
감성이 종목 53.33
최하 47.33평균 51.29최상 55.33
SA 의견·팩터 등급
의견 · 등급 (1~5)
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수 | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | — | 4.52 | — |
| sa analyst | 보유 | 3.00 | 1 |
| wall street | 강력 매수 | 4.66 | 6 |
팩터 등급 추이
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | D | C- | D- |
| growth | A | A | A- |
| profitability | D+ | D+ | D+ |
| momentum | B+ | A- | A- |
| revisions | A | A | B |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | — | 25% | — |
| business quality | — | 20% | — |
| valuation | — | 15% | — |
| price trend | 48.42 | 15% | 7.26 |
| analyst opinion | 76.49 | 12% | 9.18 |
| news sentiment | 53.33 | 8% | 4.27 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 60.92 | 30% | 18.28 |
| expectation valuation | — | 25% | — |
| profitability cashflow | — | 20% | — |
| negative events | 20.00 | 15% | 3.00 |
| opinion data instability | 18.79 | 10% | 1.88 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Dec 2026 | 1.29 | 37.23% | 1.25 | 1.35 | 6 |
| EPS · Dec 2027 | 1.63 | 26.23% | 1.48 | 1.75 | 6 |
| EPS · Dec 2028 | 2.02 | 24.05% | 1.78 | 2.28 | 4 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2026 | 263.69M | 20.40% | 262.73M | 264.50M | 6 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2027 | 318.40M | 20.75% | 312.65M | 325.34M | 6 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2028 | 383.12M | 20.32% | 370.49M | 403.44M | 4 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 0.27 | 0.27 | +0.75% |
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.31 | 0.23 | +33.33% |
| EPS · FY2025Q4 | 0.30 | 0.24 | +26.32% |
| EPS · FY2025Q3 | 0.64 | 0.22 | +187.64% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 61.53M | 61.21M | +0.52% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 60.13M | 59.71M | +0.70% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q4 | 62.40M | 61.95M | +0.73% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q3 | 57.12M | 56.69M | +0.75% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / EBITDA (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Price / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| Revenue Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EBITDA Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Net Income Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Return on Common Equity (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Cash From Operations (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 53.33; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-08-12 · MarketGyrations
PDF 솔루션스: 최근 반등이 힘을 잃을 수 있는 이유
- The Q2 FY2026 report showed strong gains for the top and the bottom line, and the outlook sees that continuing in the rest of the year.
- It can be argued that while growth is strong, it is not strong enough to justify the higher valuations being asked after the rally in the stock.
- The stock has appreciated by about two-thirds YTD and that is after ceding gains this quarter, but a chart suggests the stock could go lower.
- There is reason to think more growth has been priced in than is likely to be attained, which is why I am neutral on PDFS with a hold rating.
positive 2026-05-16 · MarketGyrations
PDF Solutions: 현실적으로 달성하기 어려운 성장 기대가 이미 반영된 주가
- PDF Solutions almost doubled in value in less than two months, but it lost about a fifth of its value in recent days, in large part due to a share sale.
- Millions of shares have been put up for sale, which brings up a number of issues, some of which are not positive for PDFS.
- The latest report shows PDFS is growing strong, but an argument can be made that the rise in the stock price is not warranted based on projected growth.
- PDFS looks expensive even for the growth it offers, besides other issues, which is why I am neutral on PDFS with a hold rating.
neutral 2026-02-23 · MarketGyrations
PDF 솔루션즈: 전망이 말하는 것과 말하지 않는 것
- FY2025 ended strong for PDF Solutions with new records set, and the outlook calls for strong growth in FY2026 and beyond.
- PDFS has been moving higher for 10 months in the charts, but further gains could be harder to come by with resistance standing in the way.
- The updated financial model calls for strong earnings growth, but the stock is arguably still overvalued relative to expected growth.
- There are risks to jumping in after the long rally, which is part of why I am neutral on PDFS with a hold rating.
neutral 2025-11-14 · MarketGyrations
PDF Solutions: 추가 하락이 예상되는 이유
- The Q3 FY2025 report shows how PDFS is breaking records to add to the multi-year-long expansion taking place, with more records expected as soon as the Q4 FY2025 report.
- PDFS has its strong points, but there is an argument to be made that valuations have gotten too high for the stock not to trade lower.
- Chart patterns also suggest the stock needs to trade lower in the short term after it failed to get past resistance and a trendline.
- There is more than one reason why PDFS could go down further, which is why I am neutral on PDFS with a hold rating.
neutral 2025-08-14 · The Value Investor
PDF Solutions: 반도체 업계 성장세 속 '반쪽짜리' 수익성
- PDF Solutions' growth continues, but margins remain unimpressive and net debt is higher than expected, raising concerns about valuation support.
- Despite the secureWISE acquisition and revenue growth, the company still lacks real earnings, with stock-based compensation masking true profitability.
- Management's margin targets appear optimistic and, even if achieved, would not sufficiently justify the current share price based on realistic earnings.
- I remain cautious on PDF Solutions due to thin margins and valuation risks, but will continue to monitor the company's progress and execution.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $54.22 | 75.27 | 44.56 | 69.49 |
| 2026-07-16 | $54.22 | 74.91 | 45.07 | 69.11 |
| 2026-07-17 | $51.93 | 74.45 | 44.84 | 68.83 |
| 2026-07-20 | $51.14 | 74.68 | 44.69 | 69.03 |
| 2026-07-21 | $48.88 | 74.25 | 45.17 | 68.61 |
| 2026-07-22 | $54.52 | 69.51 | 42.36 | 63.46 |
| 2026-07-23 | $53.42 | 70.69 | 42.56 | 64.14 |
| 2026-07-24 | $52.35 | 70.95 | 41.63 | 64.49 |
| 2026-07-27 | $50.98 | 70.15 | 41.60 | 64.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | $47.72 | 68.44 | 42.46 | 62.78 |
| 2026-07-29 | $44.59 | 63.57 | 43.92 | 59.52 |
| 2026-07-30 | $41.17 | 61.72 | 45.81 | 58.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | $46.15 | 62.62 | 46.60 | 58.39 |
| 2026-08-03 | $46.09 | 63.37 | 46.53 | 58.87 |
| 2026-08-04 | $48.00 | 66.03 | 46.60 | 60.48 |
| 2026-08-05 | $51.17 | 72.12 | 46.84 | 64.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | $49.46 | 67.68 | 46.05 | 61.69 |
| 2026-08-07 | $45.90 | 66.68 | 46.11 | 61.06 |
| 2026-08-10 | $49.45 | 67.42 | 46.04 | 61.53 |
| 2026-08-11 | $47.63 | 66.17 | 46.24 | 60.72 |
| 2026-08-12 | $49.15 | 66.93 | 45.50 | 61.43 |
| 2026-08-18 | $52.80 | 70.24 | 45.03 | 63.59 |
| 2026-08-19 | $47.93 | 64.46 | 45.65 | 59.87 |
| 2026-08-20 | $45.22 | 60.25 | 46.10 | 57.16 |
| 2026-08-21 | $44.81 | 60.50 | 45.87 | 57.37 |
| 2026-08-24 | $45.65 | 60.99 | 45.89 | 57.67 |
| 2026-09-01 | $44.48 | 64.27 | 42.10 | 60.49 |