전체 #19 · shadow_watch
PENG · Penguin Solutions, Inc.
Semiconductors · Opportunity 70.56, Risk 49.62, Confidence 83.39, Research Rank 62.94; 현재 선정 경계 64.72 미만
Research Rank
62.94
Opportunity
70.56
Risk
49.62
Evidence Confidence
83.39
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$49.08
전일
-0.87%
52주 위치
60일 변동성
117.78%
동종 39종목 대비 위치
마커는 이 종목, 세로 눈금은 전체 평균입니다.
기회이 종목 70.56
최하 46.95평균 67.34최상 84.31
위험이 종목 49.62 · 낮을수록 유리
최하 20.99평균 42.85최상 64.40
신뢰이 종목 83.39
최하 79.34평균 83.46최상 85.42
Research Rank이 종목 62.94
최하 47.49평균 62.36최상 75.32
감성이 종목 52.67
최하 47.33평균 51.29최상 55.33
SA 의견·팩터 등급
의견 · 등급 (1~5)
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수 | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | — | 4.90 | — |
| sa analyst | 매수 | 4.00 | 5 |
| wall street | 매수 | 4.28 | 7 |
팩터 등급 추이
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | B | C | B+ |
| growth | B- | C- | C- |
| profitability | D+ | C+ | C+ |
| momentum | A+ | A | B- |
| revisions | A | A | D+ |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | — | 25% | — |
| business quality | — | 20% | — |
| valuation | — | 15% | — |
| price trend | 58.86 | 15% | 8.83 |
| analyst opinion | 84.86 | 12% | 10.18 |
| news sentiment | 52.67 | 8% | 4.21 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 77.83 | 30% | 23.35 |
| expectation valuation | — | 25% | — |
| profitability cashflow | — | 20% | — |
| negative events | 20.00 | 15% | 3.00 |
| opinion data instability | 9.44 | 10% | 0.94 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Aug 2026 | 2.61 | 37.62% | 2.59 | 2.67 | 7 |
| EPS · Aug 2027 | 3.34 | 27.90% | 3.03 | 3.50 | 7 |
| EPS · Aug 2028 | 3.92 | 17.15% | 3.50 | 4.20 | 4 |
| REVENUE · Aug 2026 | 1.68B | 23.03% | 1.67B | 1.71B | 6 |
| REVENUE · Aug 2027 | 2.20B | 30.54% | 2.17B | 2.25B | 6 |
| REVENUE · Aug 2028 | 2.46B | 11.80% | 2.34B | 2.65B | 4 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q3 | 0.84 | 0.56 | +49.33% |
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 0.52 | 0.42 | +23.10% |
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.49 | 0.44 | +12.28% |
| EPS · FY2025Q4 | 0.43 | 0.36 | +18.54% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q3 | 478.71M | 421.36M | +13.61% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 343.00M | 339.00M | +1.18% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 343.07M | 338.43M | +1.37% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q4 | 337.92M | 342.61M | -1.37% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / EBITDA (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Price / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| Revenue Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EBITDA Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Net Income Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Return on Common Equity (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Cash From Operations (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 52.67; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
positive 2026-07-07
펭귄솔루션즈(Penguin Solutions), FY2026 EPS 약 2.60달러로 상향…FY2027 매출 및 EPS 약 30% 성장 전망 신호
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-08-15 · Value Vest
펭귄 솔루션스: 진짜 AI 변곡점, 단 하나의 큰 변수
- Penguin Solutions has reached an operational inflection point, with record revenues and triple-digit growth in AI accelerator memory and infrastructure lines.
- PENG's adjusted operating margin improved to 13.4%, but gross margins declined and free cash flow remains significantly negative due to heavy working capital absorption.
- Competition is intense, with larger rivals like Super Micro, Dell, and HPE, while PENG's product-heavy mix and customer concentration pose ongoing risks.
- I maintain a cautious buy at ~$60, favoring initial positions only if gross margin stabilizes and cash flow turns positive in coming quarters.
positive 2026-07-31 · The Curious Analyst
펭귄 솔루션스: 2026 회계연도 3분기 사상 최대 성장, 더 높은 목표주가 뒷받침
- I am reiterating Penguin Solutions as a Strong Buy rating with a revised price target of $119 post Q3 2026 results.
- PENG delivered record Q3 revenue of $479M (+48% y/y), non-GAAP operating income up 67%, and EPS up 79% to $0.84.
- The stock trades at 16.71x FWD non-GAAP earnings and 10.63x FWD EV/EBITDA, both below their sector medians despite faster revenue, EBITDA, and EPS growth.
- The main risks are weaker memory pricing, elevated working-capital requirements, dilution, and slower margin conversion.
neutral 2026-07-15 · Nelson Alves
펭귄 솔루션스: 매출의 74%는 AI지만 이익의 89%는 메모리 사이클
- Penguin Solutions’ Q3 print on July 7 showed a record quarter, guidance raised, and AI now three-quarters of the business.
- Memory added $145M of the $154M in total revenue growth. Memory operating income more than quintupled and is now 89% of total segment operating income. And memory’s own gross margin went up, 21% to 30%.
- The Advanced Computing segment, which owns the AI narrative, saw revenue coming in flat. Its cost of goods rose 35%. So its gross margin collapsed from 43.4% to 26.5%, and its operating income fell from $24.7M to $3.9M.
- The market is paying a durable-AI-platform multiple for what is, this quarter, a specialty-memory company having a very good cycle with a thin-margin AI-systems business bolted on. At 24x forward, the good news is in the price, and the risk/reward from here is skewed against the buyer.
neutral 2026-07-13 · Gytis Zizys
펭귄 솔루션즈: 밝은 미래, 그러나 투자자 낙관론에 달렸다
- Penguin Solutions, Inc. delivered a record quarter, with net sales up 48% y/y to $479M, driven by surging AI memory demand.
- PENG's Integrated Memory segment soared 111% y/y, while non-hyperscale AI infrastructure revenues rose 81%, highlighting broad-based AI-driven growth.
- Operating leverage drove non-GAAP operating margin to 13.4% and net income to $44.7M, up 1600% y/y, with robust liquidity and a healthy balance sheet.
- PENG management raised FY26 revenue growth guidance to 22% (from 12%) and expects 30% growth in 2027, but the current risk/reward is less appealing after the stock’s rally.
neutral 2026-07-08 · Bay Area Ideas
펭귄솔루션즈: 3분기 실적 이후 지금도 매수하기 늦지 않았다
- Penguin Solutions is strategically positioned to benefit from the AI infrastructure and memory boom, with robust partnerships including Dell and Nvidia.
- The company delivered record Q3 net sales of $479M (up 48% YoY), driven by triple-digit Integrated Memory growth.
- Despite gross margin contraction to 28%, strong expense control enabled operating margin expansion and 79% YoY EPS growth, beating expectations.
- I initiate PENG stock with a buy rating, viewing its current valuation as opportunistic given accelerating momentum, resilient profitability, and long-term AI tailwinds.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $77.80 | 81.96 | 51.34 | 73.16 |
| 2026-07-16 | $77.80 | 82.02 | 51.71 | 73.11 |
| 2026-07-17 | $65.97 | 79.64 | 52.04 | 71.28 |
| 2026-07-20 | $60.41 | 79.84 | 51.83 | 71.48 |
| 2026-07-21 | $53.23 | 79.32 | 52.29 | 70.99 |
| 2026-07-22 | $58.10 | 73.73 | 53.16 | 64.18 |
| 2026-07-23 | $59.20 | 73.96 | 52.85 | 64.39 |
| 2026-07-24 | $58.41 | 73.97 | 52.67 | 64.44 |
| 2026-07-27 | $53.85 | 73.47 | 52.99 | 64.06 |
| 2026-07-28 | $52.49 | 72.88 | 53.04 | 63.67 |
| 2026-07-29 | $48.13 | 72.68 | 53.31 | 63.49 |
| 2026-07-30 | $43.70 | 71.01 | 53.91 | 62.33 |
| 2026-07-31 | $51.43 | 71.31 | 53.82 | 62.53 |
| 2026-08-03 | $52.63 | 72.68 | 53.92 | 63.37 |
| 2026-08-04 | $52.60 | 69.68 | 53.95 | 61.48 |
| 2026-08-05 | $57.84 | 69.64 | 53.93 | 61.46 |
| 2026-08-06 | $55.72 | 70.09 | 53.95 | 61.74 |
| 2026-08-07 | $56.26 | 67.90 | 53.91 | 60.38 |
| 2026-08-10 | $58.43 | 72.13 | 53.96 | 63.02 |
| 2026-08-11 | $55.18 | 67.80 | 53.96 | 60.31 |
| 2026-08-12 | $57.33 | 72.39 | 53.92 | 63.19 |
| 2026-08-18 | $63.08 | 76.15 | 53.90 | 65.54 |
| 2026-08-19 | $58.36 | 76.81 | 53.90 | 65.95 |
| 2026-08-20 | $52.95 | 70.31 | 53.89 | 61.89 |
| 2026-08-21 | $51.14 | 69.65 | 53.84 | 61.49 |
| 2026-08-24 | $52.62 | 70.10 | 53.83 | 61.77 |
| 2026-09-01 | $49.08 | 70.56 | 49.62 | 62.94 |