전체 #16 · shadow_watch
ROG · Rogers Corporation
Electronic Components · Opportunity 73.91, Risk 31.50, Confidence 95.28, Research Rank 71.49; 현재 선정 경계 71.55 미만
Research Rank
71.49
Opportunity
73.91
Risk
31.50
Evidence Confidence
95.28
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$137.59
전일
2.05%
52주 위치
70.87%
60일 변동성
51.26%
SA 의견·팩터 등급
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수(1~5) | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | Strong Buy | 4.61 | — |
| sa analyst | HOLD | 3.00 | 1 |
| wall street | STRONG BUY | 4.66 | 3 |
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | C | C- | C |
| growth | B- | C | D |
| profitability | C | C | C |
| momentum | B+ | A- | B |
| revisions | A+ | C+ | C- |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | 87.50 | 25% | 21.88 |
| business quality | 62.71 | 20% | 12.54 |
| valuation | 76.39 | 15% | 11.46 |
| price trend | 60.93 | 15% | 9.14 |
| analyst opinion | 77.21 | 12% | 9.27 |
| news sentiment | 57.83 | 8% | 4.63 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 28.24 | 30% | 8.47 |
| expectation valuation | 44.88 | 25% | 11.22 |
| profitability cashflow | 31.39 | 20% | 6.28 |
| negative events | 24.00 | 15% | 3.60 |
| opinion data instability | 19.25 | 10% | 1.92 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Dec 2026 | 3.64 | 52.30% | 3.50 | 3.80 | 3 |
| EPS · Dec 2027 | 4.37 | 19.96% | 3.90 | 4.70 | 3 |
| EPS · Dec 2028 | 5.70 | 30.53% | 5.70 | 5.70 | 1 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2026 | 860.87M | 6.17% | 858.60M | 864.00M | 3 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2027 | 930.17M | 8.05% | 910.00M | 941.00M | 3 |
| REVENUE · Dec 2028 | 1.02B | 9.96% | 1.02B | 1.02B | 1 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 0.75 | 0.68 | +9.76% |
| EPS · FY2025Q4 | 0.89 | 0.60 | +48.33% |
| EPS · FY2025Q3 | 0.90 | 0.69 | +29.81% |
| EPS · FY2025Q2 | 0.34 | 0.50 | -32.00% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 200500000.00 | 200500000.00 | +0.00% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q4 | 201500000.00 | 196500000.00 | +2.54% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q3 | 216000000.00 | 207533330.00 | +4.08% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q2 | 202800000.00 | 198750000.00 | +2.04% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (TTM) | 46.82 | 26.12 | 79.25% | D+ |
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | 37.04 | 24.75 | 49.64% | D+ |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (TTM) | NM | 35.16 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (FWD) | 41.68 | 33.20 | 25.53% | C |
| valuation | PEG GAAP (TTM) | - | 0.89 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | 1.85 | 1.35 | 37.14% | C- |
| valuation | EV / Sales (TTM) | 2.73 | 3.78 | -27.76% | B- |
| valuation | EV / Sales (FWD) | 2.60 | 3.50 | -25.58% | B- |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (TTM) | 19.08 | 19.53 | -2.28% | B- |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (FWD) | 15.49 | 14.72 | 5.24% | C+ |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (TTM) | 35.56 | 28.14 | 26.38% | C |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (FWD) | 26.36 | 19.40 | 35.90% | C- |
| valuation | Price / Sales (TTM) | 2.96 | 3.68 | -19.47% | B- |
| valuation | Price / Sales (FWD) | 2.80 | 3.37 | -17.04% | B- |
| valuation | Price / Book (TTM) | 2.01 | 4.06 | -50.41% | B+ |
| valuation | Price / Book (FWD) | - | 4.69 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (TTM) | 25.25 | 19.21 | 31.49% | C |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (FWD) | - | 18.88 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Dividend Yield (TTM) | - | 1.15% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | 1.68% | 11.36% | -85.17% | D+ |
| growth | Revenue Growth (FWD) | 3.87% | 11.99% | -67.74% | D |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (YoY) | 29.87% | 14.90% | 100.41% | B |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (FWD) | 10.90% | 18.71% | -41.73% | C- |
| growth | EBIT Growth (YoY) | 47.54% | 17.19% | 176.57% | B+ |
| growth | EBIT Growth (FWD) | 17.54% | 20.77% | -15.55% | C |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (YoY) | NM | 17.08% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | 17.09% | 17.54% | -2.54% | C+ |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (YoY) | NM | 12.73% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (FWD) | 45.36% | 17.58% | 158.04% | A- |
| growth | EPS FWD Long Term Growth (3-5Y CAGR) | 20.00% | 18.92% | 5.72% | B- |
| growth | Levered FCF Growth (YoY) | -10.96% | 8.54% | NM | D+ |
| growth | Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth Rate (FWD) | - | 17.43% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (YoY) | -13.91% | 15.41% | NM | D |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | - | 17.12% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | ROE Growth (YoY) | NM | 3.24% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | ROE Growth (FWD) | - | 5.62% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Working Capital Growth (YoY) | 2.34% | 8.14% | -71.18% | C |
| growth | CAPEX Growth (YoY) | -55.24% | 13.92% | NM | F |
| growth | Dividend Per Share Growth (FWD) | - | 5.93% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | 1 Year Dividend Growth Rate (TTM) | - | 4.83% | - | NOT COVERED |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | 32.21% | 49.88% | -35.42% | D+ |
| profitability | EBIT Margin (TTM) | 7.68% | 7.61% | 0.86% | B- |
| profitability | EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 14.30% | 12.07% | 18.48% | B |
| profitability | Net Income Margin (TTM) | -6.81% | 6.07% | NM | D+ |
| profitability | Levered FCF Margin (TTM) | 10.80% | 10.88% | -0.72% | C+ |
| profitability | Return on Common Equity (TTM) | -4.54% | 7.52% | NM | C- |
| profitability | Return on Total Capital (TTM) | 3.12% | 4.63% | -32.60% | C+ |
| profitability | Return on Total Assets (TTM) | -3.92% | 3.32% | NM | D+ |
| profitability | CAPEX / Sales (TTM) | 3.07% | 2.35% | 30.59% | B- |
| profitability | Asset Turnover Ratio (TTM) | 0.56x | 0.63x | -11.18% | C |
| profitability | Cash From Operations (TTM) | 95.30M | 149.24M | -36.14% | C+ |
| profitability | Cash Per Share (TTM) | 11 | 2.34 | 370.30% | A |
| profitability | Net Income Per Employee (TTM) | -18.63K | 14.03K | NM | C- |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 57.83; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
neutral 2026-04-28 ·
Rogers forecasts Q2 adjusted EPS of $0.90 to $1.10 with adjusted EBITDA margin at 17.7% midpoint
positive 2026-02-17 ·
Rogers targets 5% sales growth and 530 bps EBITDA margin expansion in Q1 2026 while accelerating design wins
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
negative 2026-05-16 · Wolf Report
Rogers: 50x P/E+ Without A Yield And With Significant Risk
- Rogers Corporation is rated 'HOLD' despite recent price surges, with a new price target of $68/share reflecting cautious optimism.
- ROG's valuation is seen as disconnected from fundamentals, trading at a TTM P/E above 44x despite modest historical earnings growth and no dividend.
- Recent upside is attributed to aggressive cost-cutting, improved forecasts, and insider activity, but underlying revenue and profit trends remain unproven.
- AI and data center tailwinds are speculative for ROG; significant revenue from these segments is unlikely before 2027-2028, reinforcing the company's high-risk profile.
neutral 2026-01-09 · Wolf Report
Rogers Corporation: The Thesis For 2026 Is Mixed
- Rogers Corporation (ROG) is a niche engineered materials leader, but current valuation is excessive relative to peers and fundamentals.
- ROG's 3Q25 results showed solid EBITDA margin and top-line growth, yet end-market demand remains uncertain and forecasts are volatile.
- I assign a 'Hold' rating with a $55/share entry target, citing high P/E, lack of dividend, and macro risks.
- Peers like Littlefuse and Amphenol offer better relative value; I recommend waiting for a correction before considering ROG.
neutral 2025-06-09 · Wolf Report
Rogers Corporation: Lowering Price Target, I Would Look At DuPont Instead
- Rogers Corporation's current valuation is unattractive, with a high P/E and no dividend, despite solid operations and a strong net cash position.
- Recent results show continued EPS and margin declines, with little evidence of a near-term turnaround or stable growth in cyclical end-markets.
- Peers like DuPont and 3M offer better fundamentals, yields, and upside, making ROG less compelling for long-term investment at current prices.
- I lower my price target to $45/share and maintain a 'Hold' rating, awaiting a more favorable entry point given ongoing risks and limited upside.
neutral 2025-03-22 · Wolf Report
Rogers: Glad I Rotated And Still A 'Hold'
- I achieved over 50% annualized RoR by rotating out of Rogers Corporation in 2023, avoiding a subsequent 56% decline.
- Rogers Corporation's strengths include global leadership in engineered materials, but geopolitical tensions and lack of dividends pose significant risks.
- Despite decent 2024 results, I foresee a challenging 2025-2026E recovery, with high P/E and no dividends making it less attractive.
- I rate Rogers Corporation a "hold" at current levels, recommending a buy only below $50/share for a more favorable risk/reward profile.
positive 2024-09-24 · Kempano Investor
Rogers Corporation Eyes Growth In EV And Renewable Energy Markets Despite Profit Challenges
- Rogers Corporation is strategically expanding ceramic power substrate production and investing in sustainable materials to capitalize on the electric vehicle and renewable energy sectors.
- Despite challenges like lower gross margins and geopolitical risks, Rogers' initiatives in China and renewable energy position it for long-term growth.
- Financial trends show declining revenues but improved gross margins due to cost reductions, with a projected 1.8% revenue growth and -9.5% earnings decline next year.
- Given the potential benefits from its strategic investments, Rogers' stock could be a Buy, anticipating growth and recovery in high-growth markets.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $137.59 | 73.91 | 31.50 | 71.49 |