전체 #29 · shadow_watch
SYNA · Synaptics Incorporated
Semiconductors · Opportunity 55.24, Risk 31.60, Confidence 85.42, Research Rank 57.29; 현재 선정 경계 64.72 미만
Research Rank
57.29
Opportunity
55.24
Risk
31.60
Evidence Confidence
85.42
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$96.72
전일
+1.72%
52주 위치
60일 변동성
65.54%
동종 39종목 대비 위치
마커는 이 종목, 세로 눈금은 전체 평균입니다.
기회이 종목 55.24
최하 46.95평균 67.34최상 84.31
위험이 종목 31.60 · 낮을수록 유리
최하 20.99평균 42.85최상 64.40
신뢰이 종목 85.42
최하 79.34평균 83.46최상 85.42
Research Rank이 종목 57.29
최하 47.49평균 62.36최상 75.32
감성이 종목 51.33
최하 47.33평균 51.29최상 55.33
SA 의견·팩터 등급
의견 · 등급 (1~5)
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수 | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | — | 2.72 | — |
| sa analyst | 보유 | 3.33 | 3 |
| wall street | 보유 | 3.30 | 13 |
팩터 등급 추이
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | C+ | D+ | C+ |
| growth | B | B | B |
| profitability | D+ | C+ | C+ |
| momentum | C | A- | B+ |
| revisions | D+ | A- | B+ |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | — | 25% | — |
| business quality | — | 20% | — |
| valuation | — | 15% | — |
| price trend | 44.26 | 15% | 6.64 |
| analyst opinion | 52.93 | 12% | 6.35 |
| news sentiment | 51.33 | 8% | 4.11 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 45.59 | 30% | 13.68 |
| expectation valuation | — | 25% | — |
| profitability cashflow | — | 20% | — |
| negative events | 20.00 | 15% | 3.00 |
| opinion data instability | 7.01 | 10% | 0.70 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Jun 2027 | 5.18 | 13.04% | 4.64 | 5.61 | 11 |
| EPS · Jun 2028 | 6.58 | 27.04% | 5.86 | 6.98 | 6 |
| EPS · Jun 2029 | 7.00 | 6.43% | 7.00 | 7.00 | 1 |
| REVENUE · Jun 2027 | 1.29B | 7.38% | 1.23B | 1.31B | 8 |
| REVENUE · Jun 2028 | 1.47B | 14.14% | 1.39B | 1.57B | 6 |
| REVENUE · Jun 2029 | 1.57B | 7.01% | 1.57B | 1.57B | 1 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q4 | 1.23 | 1.21 | +2.05% |
| EPS · FY2026Q3 | 1.09 | 1.01 | +8.17% |
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 1.21 | 1.15 | +5.16% |
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 1.09 | 1.06 | +2.59% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q4 | 308.00M | 305.32M | +0.88% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q3 | 294.20M | 290.53M | +1.26% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 302.50M | 300.31M | +0.73% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 292.50M | 290.19M | +0.80% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EV / EBITDA (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Price / Sales (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| Revenue Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| EBITDA Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Net Income Margin (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Return on Common Equity (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED | |
| Cash From Operations (TTM) | — | — | — | NOT COVERED |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 51.33; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-06-29 · Gytis Zizys
onsemi: Synaptics와 함께 물리적 AI 내러티브를 한 단계 더 확장하다
- onsemi announced a $7B all-stock acquisition of Synaptics, aiming to build a comprehensive physical-AI and edge stack.
- SYNA brings edge AI compute, connectivity, and human-machine interface capabilities, expanding ON's TAM by $30B to $243B by 2030.
- ON targets $200M in annual synergies but expects non-GAAP EPS accretion only 18 months post-close, with immediate 12% equity dilution.
- I remain on the sidelines due to execution risks, delayed accretion, and increased consumer/wireless exposure diluting ON’s pure-play narrative.
neutral 2026-06-29 · Michael Del Monte
온세미, 70억 달러 규모 시냅틱스 인수로 로보틱스 전환점 대비
- onsemi will acquire Synaptics in a $7B all-equity deal, aiming to expand into industrial robotics and automation.
- The acquisition is expected to be highly accretive, with $200M in cost synergies and a 2% EBITDA margin improvement projected with an expected close in eFY27.
- Both ON and SYNA are rated buy with a $128/share target for ON, reflecting strong growth prospects despite near-term dilution-driven share price declines.
- SYNA shares will track ON shares until the deal close, making investment in either effectively equivalent; the combined entity targets a $100B AI addressable market by 2030.
neutral 2026-06-27 · The Value Investor
온세미: 시냅틱스와 함께 AI 기회에 도전하다
- onsemi announced a $7 billion all-stock acquisition of Synaptics, triggering a sharp share price decline exceeding the deal's value.
- The acquisition aims to expand onsemi's capabilities in Edge AI and physical AI, targeting $200 million in annual synergies and accretive non-GAAP earnings within 18 months.
- Pro forma, Synaptics will contribute 17% to ON's sales, with combined operating margins at 22% and leverage at 0.6x; dilution and integration risks remain.
- Despite the market's negative reaction, I see the pullback as an overreaction, but high expectations and recent momentum temper immediate conviction to buy.
positive 2026-05-29 · Vertex Capital Research
시냅틱스: 당장은 관망, 주가 조정 시 매수 - 로보틱스가 진짜 저평가된 성장 동력
- Synaptics Inc. has evolved beyond its legacy as 'the touchpad company,' now operating across three distinct semiconductor segments.
- SYNA's business model is fabless, focusing on design and innovation rather than manufacturing, which supports margin expansion and scalability.
- The company's current structure and diversification signal a strategic pivot aimed at capturing broader semiconductor market opportunities.
- Investors should reassess SYNA's positioning, as its transformation may unlock new growth drivers and alter its risk profile.
positive 2026-03-16 · Tranzoro Investments
Synaptics: 더 나아진 사업 구조, 그러나 AI 성장 본격화는 아직 기다려야
- Synaptics has pivoted from legacy interface chips to higher-margin embedded compute and edge-AI platforms, driving improved operating performance.
- SYNA's Core IoT segment grew 53% year-over-year, but meaningful Astra edge-AI processor revenue is not expected until 2027.
- Gross margins have structurally improved above 50% as SYNA exits low-margin mobile touch, but total revenue has yet to recover to prior peaks.
- I maintain a Hold rating on SYNA, citing fair valuation, execution timing risk, and the need for top line growth before sentiment improves.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $122.84 | 74.57 | 38.55 | 71.29 |
| 2026-07-16 | $122.84 | 74.38 | 38.83 | 71.08 |
| 2026-07-17 | $115.55 | 73.66 | 38.86 | 70.53 |
| 2026-07-20 | $114.05 | 73.63 | 38.53 | 70.59 |
| 2026-07-21 | $113.60 | 73.73 | 38.38 | 70.70 |
| 2026-07-22 | $119.32 | 60.46 | 35.84 | 59.72 |
| 2026-07-23 | $120.62 | 61.14 | 35.37 | 60.26 |
| 2026-07-24 | $117.60 | 61.16 | 35.47 | 60.25 |
| 2026-07-27 | $113.00 | 60.80 | 35.22 | 60.08 |
| 2026-07-28 | $116.42 | 61.85 | 35.12 | 60.77 |
| 2026-07-29 | $110.87 | 61.47 | 35.16 | 60.52 |
| 2026-07-30 | $103.64 | 60.49 | 35.63 | 59.79 |
| 2026-07-31 | $108.85 | 60.40 | 35.43 | 59.77 |
| 2026-08-03 | $107.32 | 60.01 | 35.41 | 59.53 |
| 2026-08-04 | $105.72 | 60.74 | 35.43 | 59.99 |
| 2026-08-05 | $106.56 | 59.95 | 35.19 | 59.53 |
| 2026-08-06 | $100.12 | 59.16 | 33.84 | 59.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | $102.10 | 58.86 | 33.66 | 59.17 |
| 2026-08-10 | $106.19 | 55.95 | 31.43 | 57.78 |
| 2026-08-11 | $104.71 | 55.48 | 30.96 | 57.58 |
| 2026-08-12 | $106.92 | 56.53 | 31.13 | 58.21 |
| 2026-08-18 | $110.58 | 61.27 | 30.79 | 61.32 |
| 2026-08-19 | $104.83 | 56.60 | 30.94 | 58.30 |
| 2026-08-20 | $100.98 | 55.43 | 30.38 | 57.67 |
| 2026-08-21 | $98.00 | 54.83 | 30.91 | 57.17 |
| 2026-08-24 | $97.66 | 54.82 | 30.98 | 57.15 |
| 2026-09-01 | $96.72 | 55.24 | 31.60 | 57.29 |