전체 #17 · shadow_watch
SYNA · Synaptics Incorporated
Semiconductors · Opportunity 74.57, Risk 38.55, Confidence 100.00, Research Rank 71.29; 현재 선정 경계 71.55 미만
Research Rank
71.29
Opportunity
74.57
Risk
38.55
Evidence Confidence
100.00
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$122.84
전일
3.10%
52주 위치
71.08%
60일 변동성
82.78%
SA 의견·팩터 등급
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수(1~5) | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | Strong Buy | 4.85 | — |
| sa analyst | HOLD | 3.25 | 4 |
| wall street | HOLD | 3.30 | 13 |
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | C- | C+ | C |
| growth | B | B | B+ |
| profitability | C | C+ | C+ |
| momentum | A- | B- | B+ |
| revisions | A | B+ | B- |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | 100.00 | 25% | 25.00 |
| business quality | 73.64 | 20% | 14.73 |
| valuation | 64.30 | 15% | 9.64 |
| price trend | 49.48 | 15% | 7.42 |
| analyst opinion | 70.03 | 12% | 8.40 |
| news sentiment | 54.67 | 8% | 4.37 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 49.71 | 30% | 14.91 |
| expectation valuation | 54.56 | 25% | 13.64 |
| profitability cashflow | 25.70 | 20% | 5.14 |
| negative events | 20.00 | 15% | 3.00 |
| opinion data instability | 18.61 | 10% | 1.86 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Jun 2026 | 4.61 | 27.39% | 4.55 | 4.74 | 13 |
| EPS · Jun 2027 | 5.27 | 14.35% | 4.66 | 5.93 | 12 |
| EPS · Jun 2028 | 6.54 | 24.04% | 5.89 | 6.98 | 6 |
| REVENUE · Jun 2026 | 1.19B | 11.15% | 1.18B | 1.20B | 12 |
| REVENUE · Jun 2027 | 1.30B | 8.88% | 1.23B | 1.35B | 11 |
| REVENUE · Jun 2028 | 1.46B | 12.66% | 1.39B | 1.57B | 6 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2026Q3 | 1.09 | 1.01 | +8.17% |
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 1.21 | 1.15 | +5.16% |
| EPS · FY2026Q1 | 1.09 | 1.06 | +2.59% |
| EPS · FY2025Q4 | 1.01 | 1.00 | +0.66% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q3 | 294200000.00 | 290529500.00 | +1.26% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 302500000.00 | 300308420.00 | +0.73% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q1 | 292500000.00 | 290188890.00 | +0.80% |
| Revenue · FY2025Q4 | 282800000.00 | 280177780.00 | +0.94% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (TTM) | 27.08 | 26.12 | 3.68% | C+ |
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | 25.84 | 24.75 | 4.38% | C+ |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (TTM) | NM | 35.16 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (FWD) | NM | 33.20 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | PEG GAAP (TTM) | - | 0.89 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | 1.08 | 1.35 | -20.26% | B- |
| valuation | EV / Sales (TTM) | 4.38 | 3.78 | 15.82% | C |
| valuation | EV / Sales (FWD) | 4.30 | 3.50 | 22.82% | C |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (TTM) | 58.22 | 19.53 | 198.11% | D |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (FWD) | 20.40 | 14.72 | 38.62% | C- |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (TTM) | NM | 28.14 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (FWD) | 23.25 | 19.40 | 19.87% | C |
| valuation | Price / Sales (TTM) | 3.95 | 3.68 | 7.43% | C+ |
| valuation | Price / Sales (FWD) | 3.90 | 3.37 | 15.67% | C |
| valuation | Price / Book (TTM) | 3.40 | 4.06 | -16.28% | B- |
| valuation | Price / Book (FWD) | 3.59 | 4.69 | -23.41% | B |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (TTM) | 33.48 | 19.21 | 74.35% | D+ |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (FWD) | 20.77 | 18.88 | 10.01% | C+ |
| valuation | Dividend Yield (TTM) | - | 1.15% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | 12.81% | 11.36% | 12.80% | B- |
| growth | Revenue Growth (FWD) | 10.66% | 11.99% | -11.04% | C |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (YoY) | 15.62% | 14.90% | 4.79% | C+ |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (FWD) | 21.32% | 18.71% | 13.96% | C+ |
| growth | EBIT Growth (YoY) | NM | 17.19% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EBIT Growth (FWD) | 26.33% | 20.77% | 26.72% | B- |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (YoY) | NM | 17.08% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | 32.83% | 17.54% | 87.19% | A- |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (YoY) | NM | 12.73% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (FWD) | NM | 17.58% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS FWD Long Term Growth (3-5Y CAGR) | 23.99% | 18.92% | 26.82% | B |
| growth | Levered FCF Growth (YoY) | -17.18% | 8.54% | NM | D+ |
| growth | Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth Rate (FWD) | 24.82% | 17.43% | 42.37% | B- |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (YoY) | -7.21% | 15.41% | NM | D+ |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | 16.72% | 17.12% | -2.35% | C+ |
| growth | ROE Growth (YoY) | NM | 3.24% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | ROE Growth (FWD) | 29.51% | 5.62% | 425.56% | A- |
| growth | Working Capital Growth (YoY) | 9.05% | 8.14% | 11.25% | C+ |
| growth | CAPEX Growth (YoY) | 57.25% | 13.92% | 311.26% | B+ |
| growth | Dividend Per Share Growth (FWD) | - | 5.93% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | 1 Year Dividend Growth Rate (TTM) | - | 4.83% | - | NOT COVERED |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | 43.61% | 49.88% | -12.57% | C |
| profitability | EBIT Margin (TTM) | -6.08% | 7.61% | NM | D+ |
| profitability | EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 7.52% | 12.07% | -37.73% | C |
| profitability | Net Income Margin (TTM) | -4.10% | 6.07% | NM | D+ |
| profitability | Levered FCF Margin (TTM) | 12.43% | 10.88% | 14.28% | B- |
| profitability | Return on Common Equity (TTM) | -3.50% | 7.52% | NM | C- |
| profitability | Return on Total Capital (TTM) | -1.97% | 4.63% | NM | C- |
| profitability | Return on Total Assets (TTM) | -1.91% | 3.32% | NM | C- |
| profitability | CAPEX / Sales (TTM) | 3.61% | 2.35% | 53.52% | B |
| profitability | Asset Turnover Ratio (TTM) | 0.46x | 0.63x | -26.63% | D+ |
| profitability | Cash From Operations (TTM) | 139.00M | 149.24M | -6.86% | B- |
| profitability | Cash Per Share (TTM) | 10.44 | 2.34 | 346.36% | A |
| profitability | Net Income Per Employee (TTM) | -28.29K | 14.03K | NM | D+ |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 54.67; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
positive 2026-06-26 ·
ON Semiconductor's deal for Synaptics may help AI, but more details needed: Citi
neutral 2026-05-11 ·
Josh Wolfe's lifecording basket, ranked by Quant: two strong buys, four holds, and a sell
neutral 2026-05-08 ·
Earnings movers: Synaptics, HubSpot, Ubiquiti among tech companies active after reporting
neutral 2026-05-08 ·
Synaptics projects Q4 revenue of $305M and non-GAAP EPS of $1.20 as Astra ramps toward calendar 2027
positive 2026-05-07 ·
Synaptics Non-GAAP EPS of $1.09 beats by $0.08, revenue of $294.2M beats by $3.67M
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-06-29 · Gytis Zizys
onsemi: Pushing Further Into The Physical AI Narrative With Synaptics
- onsemi announced a $7B all-stock acquisition of Synaptics, aiming to build a comprehensive physical-AI and edge stack.
- SYNA brings edge AI compute, connectivity, and human-machine interface capabilities, expanding ON's TAM by $30B to $243B by 2030.
- ON targets $200M in annual synergies but expects non-GAAP EPS accretion only 18 months post-close, with immediate 12% equity dilution.
- I remain on the sidelines due to execution risks, delayed accretion, and increased consumer/wireless exposure diluting ON’s pure-play narrative.
neutral 2026-06-29 · Michael Del Monte
onsemi's $7B Synaptics Acquisition Positions The Combined Company For The Robotics Inflection
- onsemi will acquire Synaptics in a $7B all-equity deal, aiming to expand into industrial robotics and automation.
- The acquisition is expected to be highly accretive, with $200M in cost synergies and a 2% EBITDA margin improvement projected with an expected close in eFY27.
- Both ON and SYNA are rated buy with a $128/share target for ON, reflecting strong growth prospects despite near-term dilution-driven share price declines.
- SYNA shares will track ON shares until the deal close, making investment in either effectively equivalent; the combined entity targets a $100B AI addressable market by 2030.
neutral 2026-06-27 · The Value Investor
onsemi: Chasing AI Opportunities With Synaptics
- onsemi announced a $7 billion all-stock acquisition of Synaptics, triggering a sharp share price decline exceeding the deal's value.
- The acquisition aims to expand onsemi's capabilities in Edge AI and physical AI, targeting $200 million in annual synergies and accretive non-GAAP earnings within 18 months.
- Pro forma, Synaptics will contribute 17% to ON's sales, with combined operating margins at 22% and leverage at 0.6x; dilution and integration risks remain.
- Despite the market's negative reaction, I see the pullback as an overreaction, but high expectations and recent momentum temper immediate conviction to buy.
neutral 2026-05-29 · Vertex Capital Research
Synaptics: Hold For Now, Buy The Pullback - Robotics Is The Real Underpriced Catalyst
- Synaptics Inc. has evolved beyond its legacy as 'the touchpad company,' now operating across three distinct semiconductor segments.
- SYNA's business model is fabless, focusing on design and innovation rather than manufacturing, which supports margin expansion and scalability.
- The company's current structure and diversification signal a strategic pivot aimed at capturing broader semiconductor market opportunities.
- Investors should reassess SYNA's positioning, as its transformation may unlock new growth drivers and alter its risk profile.
neutral 2026-03-16 · Tranzoro Investments
Synaptics: A Better Business, But Still Waiting For The AI Ramp
- Synaptics has pivoted from legacy interface chips to higher-margin embedded compute and edge-AI platforms, driving improved operating performance.
- SYNA's Core IoT segment grew 53% year-over-year, but meaningful Astra edge-AI processor revenue is not expected until 2027.
- Gross margins have structurally improved above 50% as SYNA exits low-margin mobile touch, but total revenue has yet to recover to prior peaks.
- I maintain a Hold rating on SYNA, citing fair valuation, execution timing risk, and the need for top line growth before sentiment improves.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $122.84 | 74.57 | 38.55 | 71.29 |