전체 #31 · shadow_watch
YEXT · Yext, Inc.
Application Software · Opportunity 68.59, Risk 36.22, Confidence 94.60, Research Rank 66.45; 현재 선정 경계 71.55 미만
Research Rank
66.45
Opportunity
68.59
Risk
36.22
Evidence Confidence
94.60
가격 위치와 추세
현재가
$5.43
전일
4.22%
52주 위치
36.48%
60일 변동성
58.06%
SA 의견·팩터 등급
| 의견 | 등급 | 점수(1~5) | 인원 |
|---|---|---|---|
| quant | Buy | 3.92 | — |
| sa analyst | HOLD | 3.00 | 2 |
| wall street | HOLD | 3.00 | 1 |
| 팩터 | 현재 | 3개월 전 | 6개월 전 |
|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | B | B- | C- |
| growth | C+ | D | C |
| profitability | B- | C+ | B |
| momentum | C | F | C |
| revisions | A | C+ | A- |
점수 산식 분해
Opportunity
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimates revisions | 62.50 | 25% | 15.62 |
| business quality | 75.61 | 20% | 15.12 |
| valuation | 84.44 | 15% | 12.67 |
| price trend | 64.77 | 15% | 9.71 |
| analyst opinion | 57.66 | 12% | 6.92 |
| news sentiment | 44.33 | 8% | 3.55 |
| catalyst | 100.00 | 5% | 5.00 |
Risk
| 축 | 값 | 가중치 | 기여 |
|---|---|---|---|
| price volatility drawdown | 58.74 | 30% | 17.62 |
| expectation valuation | 38.45 | 25% | 9.61 |
| profitability cashflow | 12.50 | 20% | 2.50 |
| negative events | 36.00 | 15% | 5.40 |
| opinion data instability | 10.83 | 10% | 1.08 |
실적 추정치
| 종류·기간 | 추정 | YoY | Low | High | 애널리스트 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · Jan 2027 | 0.68 | 28.30% | 0.68 | 0.68 | 1 |
| EPS · Jan 2028 | 0.66 | -2.94% | 0.66 | 0.66 | 1 |
| EPS · Jan 2029 | 0.64 | -3.03% | 0.64 | 0.64 | 1 |
| REVENUE · Jan 2027 | 443.60M | -0.67% | 443.60M | 443.60M | 1 |
| REVENUE · Jan 2028 | 448.30M | 1.06% | 448.30M | 448.30M | 1 |
| REVENUE · Jan 2029 | 452.60M | 0.96% | 452.60M | 452.60M | 1 |
최근 어닝 서프라이즈
| 종류·분기 | 실제 | 컨센서스 | 서프라이즈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS · FY2027Q1 | 0.14 | 0.13 | +7.69% |
| EPS · FY2026Q4 | 0.14 | 0.14 | +0.00% |
| EPS · FY2026Q3 | 0.14 | 0.12 | +16.67% |
| EPS · FY2026Q2 | 0.12 | 0.12 | +0.00% |
| Revenue · FY2027Q1 | 107917000.00 | 112100000.00 | -3.73% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q4 | 112005000.00 | 113926750.00 | -1.69% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q3 | 111998000.00 | 113137000.00 | -1.01% |
| Revenue · FY2026Q2 | 113094000.00 | 111222750.00 | +1.68% |
종목 vs 섹터 근거
| 영역 | 지표 | 종목 | 섹터 | 차이 | 등급 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (TTM) | 9.65 | 26.12 | -63.06% | A |
| valuation | P/E Non-GAAP (FWD) | 7.66 | 24.75 | -69.05% | A+ |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (TTM) | 63.91 | 35.16 | 81.78% | D+ |
| valuation | P/E GAAP (FWD) | 14.89 | 33.20 | -55.17% | A |
| valuation | PEG GAAP (TTM) | NM | 0.89 | NM | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | PEG Non-GAAP (FWD) | - | 1.35 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | EV / Sales (TTM) | 1.47 | 3.78 | -61.04% | A- |
| valuation | EV / Sales (FWD) | 1.48 | 3.50 | -57.77% | B+ |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (TTM) | 21.30 | 19.53 | 9.08% | C+ |
| valuation | EV / EBITDA (FWD) | 5.41 | 14.72 | -63.21% | A+ |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (TTM) | 105.51 | 28.14 | 274.95% | D- |
| valuation | EV / EBIT (FWD) | 6.03 | 19.40 | -68.90% | A+ |
| valuation | Price / Sales (TTM) | 1.41 | 3.68 | -61.76% | B+ |
| valuation | Price / Sales (FWD) | 1.18 | 3.37 | -65.06% | A- |
| valuation | Price / Book (TTM) | 21.31 | 4.06 | 425.28% | D- |
| valuation | Price / Book (FWD) | - | 4.69 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (TTM) | 9.40 | 19.21 | -51.04% | A- |
| valuation | Price / Cash Flow (FWD) | - | 18.88 | - | NOT COVERED |
| valuation | Dividend Yield (TTM) | - | 1.15% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Revenue Growth (YoY) | 2.43% | 11.36% | -78.59% | D+ |
| growth | Revenue Growth (FWD) | 2.12% | 11.99% | -82.31% | D- |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (YoY) | 10.05% | 14.90% | -32.57% | C- |
| growth | EBITDA Growth (FWD) | 22.42% | 18.71% | 19.87% | B- |
| growth | EBIT Growth (YoY) | -15.18% | 17.19% | NM | D- |
| growth | EBIT Growth (FWD) | 34.11% | 20.77% | 64.19% | B+ |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (YoY) | NM | 17.08% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS Diluted Growth (FWD) | NM | 17.54% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (YoY) | NM | 12.73% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS GAAP Growth (FWD) | NM | 17.58% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | EPS FWD Long Term Growth (3-5Y CAGR) | - | 18.92% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Levered FCF Growth (YoY) | -78.68% | 8.54% | NM | F |
| growth | Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth Rate (FWD) | 26.32% | 17.43% | 50.96% | B |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (YoY) | 11.94% | 15.41% | -22.50% | C |
| growth | Operating Cash Flow Growth (FWD) | 29.60% | 17.12% | 72.88% | B+ |
| growth | ROE Growth (YoY) | NM | 3.24% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | ROE Growth (FWD) | - | 5.62% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | Working Capital Growth (YoY) | NM | 8.14% | NM | NOT COVERED |
| growth | CAPEX Growth (YoY) | 21.20% | 13.92% | 52.29% | B- |
| growth | Dividend Per Share Growth (FWD) | - | 5.93% | - | NOT COVERED |
| growth | 1 Year Dividend Growth Rate (TTM) | - | 4.83% | - | NOT COVERED |
| profitability | Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | 74.79% | 49.88% | 49.96% | A- |
| profitability | EBIT Margin (TTM) | 1.40% | 7.61% | -81.67% | C- |
| profitability | EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 6.91% | 12.07% | -42.76% | C |
| profitability | Net Income Margin (TTM) | 8.93% | 6.07% | 46.99% | B |
| profitability | Levered FCF Margin (TTM) | 6.57% | 10.88% | -39.62% | C |
| profitability | Return on Common Equity (TTM) | 47.72% | 7.52% | 534.60% | A+ |
| profitability | Return on Total Capital (TTM) | 1.60% | 4.63% | -65.33% | C |
| profitability | Return on Total Assets (TTM) | 7.95% | 3.32% | 139.56% | B+ |
| profitability | CAPEX / Sales (TTM) | 0.54% | 2.35% | -76.83% | D |
| profitability | Asset Turnover Ratio (TTM) | 0.83x | 0.63x | 31.95% | B+ |
| profitability | Cash From Operations (TTM) | 55.55M | 149.24M | -62.78% | C |
| profitability | Cash Per Share (TTM) | 0.92 | 2.34 | -60.77% | C- |
| profitability | Net Income Per Employee (TTM) | 35.47K | 14.03K | 152.88% | B |
뉴스 10건
제목 기반 감성 44.33; 원문 링크로 근거 확인
neutral 2026-03-09 ·
Yext Non-GAAP EPS of $0.15 beats by $0.01, revenue of $112.01M misses by $1.92M
분석 글 5건과 핵심 주장
neutral 2026-06-04 · Small Cap Connoisseur
Yext: Quietly Winning Despite Headlines
- Yext faces declining revenues and gross margin compression amid ongoing strategic pivots, yet continues to expand net profit.
- Management targets higher-quality, >$50k ARR customers for greater retention, but revenue contraction and margin pressure challenge the growth narrative.
- Gross margin fell from 75% to 73% due to AI-related infrastructure costs; management expects margins to normalize but lacks concrete expansion plans.
- Despite operational headwinds, YEXT’s P/E of 10.1 and growing profitability support a buy rating, anticipating eventual investor re-rating.
neutral 2026-06-03 · Gary Alexander
Yext: Poor Underlying Economics And Weak Customer Retention
- Yext remains a value trap, with no visible catalysts for a rebound and worsening business fundamentals.
- I reiterate my sell rating on YEXT, citing declining customer retention and eroding economics despite sector rebounds elsewhere.
- The failed CEO-led buyout and subsequent stock decline highlight YEXT's lack of strategic direction and investor confidence.
- YEXT's investments in AI have reduced its gross margin while not boosting the top line, further supporting a bearish outlook.
negative 2026-03-11 · Gary Alexander
Yext: With Buyout No Longer On The Table, This Declining Software Company Is Risky (Downgrade)
- Yext faces persistent revenue declines, ARR stagnation, and customer churn, undermining its positioning as an AI-era discovery platform.
- The withdrawal of the $9/share CEO-led buyout bid eliminates a key exit catalyst and signals diminished insider confidence.
- YEXT's pivot toward larger customers has not stemmed churn, and both segments are contracting, raising doubts about the new strategy.
- Planned $140M buyback could deplete cash and increase debt, compounding risks as profitability remains uncertain; I downgrade YEXT to sell.
neutral 2026-02-12 · Ivan Mutaftchiev
Your Yext Tender Offer Opportunity
- Yext, Inc. launched a $180M modified Dutch auction tender offer at $5.75–$6.50 per share.
- Even following the announcement, the shares traded below the minimum offer price, enabling arbitrage opportunities.
- YEXT will repurchase up to 25.5% of outstanding shares.
- Risks include potential offer cancellation, oversubscription, or revisions of the terms of the offer.
negative 2025-12-15 · Gary Alexander
Yext: Testing Investors' Patience As Churn Persists (Downgrade)
- Yext is downgraded to "Neutral" as its risk/reward profile has become balanced after a recent rally.
- YEXT's share price is up ~30% YTD, primarily due to CEO Michael Walrath's $9/share take-private offer.
- Lack of updates on the acquisition and cessation of earnings calls have increased investor uncertainty.
- With many SMID-cap software peers now deeply discounted, YEXT's value proposition is less compelling.
일별 트래킹
| 날짜 | 가격 | 기회 | 위험 | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $5.43 | 68.59 | 36.22 | 66.45 |